Modelling the cost effectiveness of lamivudine/zidovudine combination therapy in HIV infection. 1997

J V Chancellor, and A M Hill, and C A Sabin, and K N Simpson, and M Youle
Glaxo Wellcome UK Ltd, Uxbridge, Middlesex, England. jc16268@ggr.co.uk

The use of combination antiretroviral therapy is supported by clinical evidence for its superiority over monotherapy. Lamivudine (3TC) has been studied in combination with zidovudine (ZDV) and is recommended for use specifically in combination therapy. With the associated increase in drug acquisition cost, the economics of combination therapy versus monotherapy warrant study. An economic evaluation was undertaken to compare 3TC/ZDV combination therapy with ZDV monotherapy, taking a UK public finance perspective. The cost effectiveness of each of the 2 treatments was estimated using a Markov model of progression through 3 HIV-positive disease states: (i) CD4 cells > 200 and < 500 cells/mm3; (ii) CD4 < 200 cells/mm3, non-AIDS; and (iii) AIDS to eventual death. Progression probabilities and life expectancy were derived from a cohort treated at Chelsea and Westminster Hospital in London, using data for 1987 to 1995, along with cost data for a ZDV intent-to-treat population for 1994 and 1995. The relative risk of progression for 3TC/ZDV compared with ZDV monotherapy was estimated from meta-analysis of 4 completed comparative trials. To predict the effect of 3TC/ZDV on life expectancy and lifetime costs, progression probabilities were adjusted by the relative risk statistic for the duration of treatment with 3TC/ZDV. On the basis of an estimated relative risk of progression of 0.509 (95% CI 0.365 to 0.710), treatment with 3TC/ZDV is predicted to yield an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of Pounds 6276 (95% CI Pounds 5337 to Pounds 9075) per life year saved (discounted at 6% per year). Extensive sensitivity analyses were performed to test the effects of varying values of input parameters on the model results. Under reasonable assumptions, the predicted cost effectiveness of 3TC/ZDV combination therapy compares favourably with previously reported economic analyses of various HIV treatments.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D003362 Cost-Benefit Analysis A method of comparing the cost of a program with its expected benefits in dollars (or other currency). The benefit-to-cost ratio is a measure of total return expected per unit of money spent. This analysis generally excludes consideration of factors that are not measured ultimately in economic terms. In contrast a cost effectiveness in general compares cost with qualitative outcomes. Cost and Benefit,Cost-Benefit Data,Benefits and Costs,Cost Benefit,Cost Benefit Analysis,Cost-Utility Analysis,Costs and Benefits,Economic Evaluation,Marginal Analysis,Analyses, Cost Benefit,Analysis, Cost Benefit,Analysis, Cost-Benefit,Analysis, Cost-Utility,Analysis, Marginal,Benefit and Cost,Cost Benefit Analyses,Cost Benefit Data,Cost Utility Analysis,Cost-Benefit Analyses,Cost-Utility Analyses,Data, Cost-Benefit,Economic Evaluations,Evaluation, Economic,Marginal Analyses
D004338 Drug Combinations Single preparations containing two or more active agents, for the purpose of their concurrent administration as a fixed dose mixture. Drug Combination,Combination, Drug,Combinations, Drug
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D015215 Zidovudine A dideoxynucleoside compound in which the 3'-hydroxy group on the sugar moiety has been replaced by an azido group. This modification prevents the formation of phosphodiester linkages which are needed for the completion of nucleic acid chains. The compound is a potent inhibitor of HIV replication, acting as a chain-terminator of viral DNA during reverse transcription. It improves immunologic function, partially reverses the HIV-induced neurological dysfunction, and improves certain other clinical abnormalities associated with AIDS. Its principal toxic effect is dose-dependent suppression of bone marrow, resulting in anemia and leukopenia. AZT (Antiviral),Azidothymidine,3'-Azido-2',3'-Dideoxythymidine,3'-Azido-3'-deoxythymidine,AZT Antiviral,AZT, Antiviral,BW A509U,BWA-509U,Retrovir,3' Azido 2',3' Dideoxythymidine,3' Azido 3' deoxythymidine,Antiviral AZT,BWA 509U,BWA509U
D015497 HIV-1 The type species of LENTIVIRUS and the etiologic agent of AIDS. It is characterized by its cytopathic effect and affinity for the T4-lymphocyte. Human immunodeficiency virus 1,HIV-I,Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1,Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1, Human
D015658 HIV Infections Includes the spectrum of human immunodeficiency virus infections that range from asymptomatic seropositivity, thru AIDS-related complex (ARC), to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). HTLV-III Infections,HTLV-III-LAV Infections,T-Lymphotropic Virus Type III Infections, Human,HIV Coinfection,Coinfection, HIV,Coinfections, HIV,HIV Coinfections,HIV Infection,HTLV III Infections,HTLV III LAV Infections,HTLV-III Infection,HTLV-III-LAV Infection,Infection, HIV,Infection, HTLV-III,Infection, HTLV-III-LAV,Infections, HIV,Infections, HTLV-III,Infections, HTLV-III-LAV,T Lymphotropic Virus Type III Infections, Human
D018803 Models, Economic Statistical models of the production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services, as well as of financial considerations. For the application of statistics to the testing and quantifying of economic theories MODELS, ECONOMETRIC is available. Economic Models,Economic Model,Model, Economic

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