Risk stratification analysis of operative mortality in coronary artery bypass surgery. 2001

Y Kawachi, and A Nakashima, and Y Toshima, and I Komesu, and S Kimura, and K Arinaga
Clinical Research Institute, National Kyushu Medical Center Hospital, Fukuoka, Japan.

OBJECTIVE We assessed the operative mortality of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery using risk stratification. METHODS In 294 consecutive patients who underwent CABG with or without concomitant surgery from August 1994 to December 1999, we compared operative mortality calculated conventionally and by risk stratification. Scores for each patient were calculated using the Parsonnet additive model and stratified based on the probability of operative mortality. RESULTS Overall crude hospital mortality was 4.8%-4.0% among patients younger than 80 years and 14% among those 80 years of age or older (p = 0.0692). Hospital mortality was 12% in urgent/emergency surgery, and 1.5% in elective surgery (p < 0.0002), and 4.5% in CABG alone and 7.4% in CABG with concomitant surgery (p = 0.3763), and 25% in patients receiving vein grafts only and 3.0% in those receiving at least 1 artery graft (p = 0.0003). Overall patient distribution was 32% good, 20% fair, 20% poor, 11% high-risk, and 16% extremely high-risk. Predicted mortality was 2.2% for patients who were a good risk, 6.7% for fair-risk, 12% for poor-risk, 16% for high-risk, and 25% for extremely high-risk patients. Actual operative mortality was 1.0% for good-risk, 0% for fair-risk, 3.4% for poor-risk, 6.3% for high-risk, and 18% for extremely high-risk patients, making actual mortality significantly lower than that predicted. CONCLUSIONS Comparing predicted mortality and actual mortality enabled us to objectively calculate operative results and assess operative quality.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000367 Age Factors Age as a constituent element or influence contributing to the production of a result. It may be applicable to the cause or the effect of a circumstance. It is used with human or animal concepts but should be differentiated from AGING, a physiological process, and TIME FACTORS which refers only to the passage of time. Age Reporting,Age Factor,Factor, Age,Factors, Age
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly
D000369 Aged, 80 and over Persons 80 years of age and older. Oldest Old
D001026 Coronary Artery Bypass Surgical therapy of ischemic coronary artery disease achieved by grafting a section of saphenous vein, internal mammary artery, or other substitute between the aorta and the obstructed coronary artery distal to the obstructive lesion. Aortocoronary Bypass,Bypass, Coronary Artery,Bypass Surgery, Coronary Artery,Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting,Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery,Aortocoronary Bypasses,Artery Bypass, Coronary,Artery Bypasses, Coronary,Bypass, Aortocoronary,Bypasses, Aortocoronary,Bypasses, Coronary Artery,Coronary Artery Bypasses
D012307 Risk Factors An aspect of personal behavior or lifestyle, environmental exposure, inborn or inherited characteristic, which, based on epidemiological evidence, is known to be associated with a health-related condition considered important to prevent. Health Correlates,Risk Factor Scores,Risk Scores,Social Risk Factors,Population at Risk,Populations at Risk,Correlates, Health,Factor, Risk,Factor, Social Risk,Factors, Social Risk,Risk Factor,Risk Factor Score,Risk Factor, Social,Risk Factors, Social,Risk Score,Score, Risk,Score, Risk Factor,Social Risk Factor

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