Estimation of k for the poly-k test with application to animal carcinogenicity studies. 2003

Hojin Moon, and Hongshik Ahn, and Ralph L Kodell, and J Jack Lee
Division of Biometry and Risk Assessment, National Center for Toxicological Research, Food and Drug Administration, 3900 NCTR Road, Jefferson, AR 72079, U.S.A. hmoon@nctr.fda.gov

This paper extends the survival-adjusted Cochran-Armitage test in order to achieve improved robustness to a variety of tumour onset distributions. The Cochran-Armitage test is routinely applied for detecting a linear trend in the incidence of a tumour of interest across dose groups. To improve the robustness to the effects of differential mortality across groups, Bailer and Portier introduced the poly-3 test by a survival adjustment using a fractional weighting scheme for subjects not at full risk of tumour development. The performance of the poly-3 test depends on how closely it represents the correct specification of the time-at-risk weight in the data. Bailer and Portier further suggested that this test can be improved by using a general k reflecting the shape of the tumour onset distribution. In this paper, we propose a method to estimate k by equating the empirical lifetime tumour incidence rate obtained from the data based on the fractional weighting scheme to a separately estimated cumulative lifetime tumour incidence rate. This poly-k test with the statistically estimated k appears to perform better than the poly-3 test which is conducted without prior knowledge of the tumour onset distribution. Our simulation shows that the proposed method improves the robustness to various tumour onset distributions in addition to the robustness to the effects of mortality achieved by the poly-3 test. Large sample properties are shown via simulations to illustrate the consistency of the proposed method. The proposed methods are applied to analyse two real data sets. One is to find a dose-related linear trend on animal carcinogenicity, and the other is to test an effect of calorie restriction on experimental animals.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008807 Mice, Inbred BALB C An inbred strain of mouse that is widely used in IMMUNOLOGY studies and cancer research. BALB C Mice, Inbred,BALB C Mouse, Inbred,Inbred BALB C Mice,Inbred BALB C Mouse,Mice, BALB C,Mouse, BALB C,Mouse, Inbred BALB C,BALB C Mice,BALB C Mouse
D009374 Neoplasms, Experimental Experimentally induced new abnormal growth of TISSUES in animals to provide models for studying human neoplasms. Experimental Neoplasms,Experimental Neoplasm,Neoplasm, Experimental
D011916 Rats, Inbred F344 An inbred strain of rat that is used for general BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH purposes. Fischer Rats,Rats, Inbred CDF,Rats, Inbred Fischer 344,Rats, F344,Rats, Inbred Fisher 344,CDF Rat, Inbred,CDF Rats, Inbred,F344 Rat,F344 Rat, Inbred,F344 Rats,F344 Rats, Inbred,Inbred CDF Rat,Inbred CDF Rats,Inbred F344 Rat,Inbred F344 Rats,Rat, F344,Rat, Inbred CDF,Rat, Inbred F344,Rats, Fischer
D002273 Carcinogens Substances that increase the risk of NEOPLASMS in humans or animals. Both genotoxic chemicals, which affect DNA directly, and nongenotoxic chemicals, which induce neoplasms by other mechanism, are included. Carcinogen,Oncogen,Oncogens,Tumor Initiator,Tumor Initiators,Tumor Promoter,Tumor Promoters,Initiator, Tumor,Initiators, Tumor,Promoter, Tumor,Promoters, Tumor
D003627 Data Interpretation, Statistical Application of statistical procedures to analyze specific observed or assumed facts from a particular study. Data Analysis, Statistical,Data Interpretations, Statistical,Interpretation, Statistical Data,Statistical Data Analysis,Statistical Data Interpretation,Analyses, Statistical Data,Analysis, Statistical Data,Data Analyses, Statistical,Interpretations, Statistical Data,Statistical Data Analyses,Statistical Data Interpretations
D004305 Dose-Response Relationship, Drug The relationship between the dose of an administered drug and the response of the organism to the drug. Dose Response Relationship, Drug,Dose-Response Relationships, Drug,Drug Dose-Response Relationship,Drug Dose-Response Relationships,Relationship, Drug Dose-Response,Relationships, Drug Dose-Response
D005260 Female Females
D005508 Food Deprivation The withholding of food in a structured experimental situation. Deprivation, Food,Deprivations, Food,Food Deprivations
D000818 Animals Unicellular or multicellular, heterotrophic organisms, that have sensation and the power of voluntary movement. Under the older five kingdom paradigm, Animalia was one of the kingdoms. Under the modern three domain model, Animalia represents one of the many groups in the domain EUKARYOTA. Animal,Metazoa,Animalia
D001699 Biometry The use of statistical and mathematical methods to analyze biological observations and phenomena. Biometric Analysis,Biometrics,Analyses, Biometric,Analysis, Biometric,Biometric Analyses

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