Prediction of mortality in pediatric trauma patients: new injury severity score outperforms injury severity score in the severely injured. 2003

Thomas Sullivan, and Adil Haider, and Stephen M DiRusso, and Peter Nealon, and Aasma Shaukat, and Michel Slim
Department of Surgery, New York Medical College, Valhalla, 10595, USA.

BACKGROUND The Injury Severity Score (ISS) is a widely accepted method of measuring severity of traumatic injury. A modification has been proposed--the New Injury Severity Score (NISS). This has been shown to predict mortality better in adult trauma patients, but it had no predictive benefit in pediatric patients. The aim of this study was to determine whether the NISS outperforms the ISS in a large pediatric trauma population. METHODS Admissions in the National Pediatric Trauma Registry between April 1996 and September 1999 were included. The ISS and NISS were calculated for each patient. The study endpoints were mortality at hospital discharge, functional outcome in three domains (expression, locomotion, and feeding), and discharge disposition for the survivors. Predictive ability of each score was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS The NISS and ISS performed equally well at predicting mortality in patients with lower injury severity (ISS < 25), but the NISS was significantly better at predicting mortality in the more severely injured patients. Both scores performed equally well at predicting expression and feeding ability. The NISS was superior to the ISS in predicting locomotion ability at discharge. Thirty-seven percent of patients had an NISS that was higher than their ISS. These patients had a significantly higher mortality and suffered worse functional outcomes. CONCLUSIONS The NISS performs as well as the ISS in pediatric patients with lower injury severity and outperforms the ISS in those with higher injury severity.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007223 Infant A child between 1 and 23 months of age. Infants
D008297 Male Males
D010351 Patient Discharge The administrative process of discharging the patient, alive or dead, from hospitals or other health facilities. Discharge Planning,Discharge Plannings,Discharge, Patient,Discharges, Patient,Patient Discharges,Planning, Discharge,Plannings, Discharge
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D012042 Registries The systems and processes involved in the establishment, support, management, and operation of registers, e.g., disease registers. Parish Registers,Population Register,Parish Register,Population Registers,Register, Parish,Register, Population,Registers, Parish,Registers, Population,Registry
D002648 Child A person 6 to 12 years of age. An individual 2 to 5 years old is CHILD, PRESCHOOL. Children
D002675 Child, Preschool A child between the ages of 2 and 5. Children, Preschool,Preschool Child,Preschool Children
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000203 Activities of Daily Living The performance of the basic activities of self care, such as dressing, ambulation, or eating. ADL,Chronic Limitation of Activity,Limitation of Activity, Chronic,Activities, Daily Living,Activity, Daily Living,Daily Living Activities,Daily Living Activity,Living Activities, Daily,Living Activity, Daily

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