Factors predicting 10-year survival after heart transplantation. 2005

Branislav Radovancevic, and Cuneyt Konuralp, and Bojan Vrtovec, and Rajko Radovancevic, and Cynthia D Thomas, and Munir Zaqqa, and William K Vaughn, and O H Frazier
Department of Cardiopulmonary Transplantation, Texas Heart Institute at St. Luke's Episcopal Hospital, Houston, TX 77225, USA. bradovancevic@heart.thi.tmc.edu

BACKGROUND We sought to identify factors predictive of long-term (>10-year) survival in heart transplant (HTx) recipients. METHODS Four hundred fifteen adult patients underwent HTx at our institution between August 1982 and May 1997. The 158 patients who survived >10 years (Group A) and the 116 patients who died between 2 and 6 years (Group B) of HTx were compared in terms of gender, gender mismatch, ethnicity, age, height, weight, United Network for Organ Sharing status, type of induction therapy (OKT3 or anti-thymocyte globulin), infections (bacterial, viral, fungal and protozoal), cytomegalovirus (CMV) status, CMV mismatch, diabetes mellitus, hypertension and incidence of rejection episodes and transplant coronary artery disease within 2 years of HTx. RESULTS Group A (135 men, 23 women; mean age 48 +/- 11 years) had significantly fewer post-HTx rejection episodes and viral, bacterial, fungal and total infections than did Group B (95 men, 21 women; mean age 49 +/- 12 years). Group A also had a significantly lower mean donor age, a lower incidence of pre-HTx diabetes, and a lower mean cholesterol level 1 year after HTx. In a multivariate analysis, fewer bacterial infections and rejection episodes after HTx, the absence of pre-HTx diabetes, and lower donor age were associated with longer survival. CONCLUSIONS Pre-HTx diabetes, donor age and incidences of infection and rejection within 2 years of HTx predict long-term (>10-year) survival. Better control of infection and rejection during the first 2 years after HTx may improve survival.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007239 Infections Invasion of the host organism by microorganisms or their toxins or by parasites that can cause pathological conditions or diseases. Infection,Infection and Infestation,Infections and Infestations,Infestation and Infection,Infestations and Infections
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D011183 Postoperative Complications Pathologic processes that affect patients after a surgical procedure. They may or may not be related to the disease for which the surgery was done, and they may or may not be direct results of the surgery. Complication, Postoperative,Complications, Postoperative,Postoperative Complication
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D005260 Female Females
D005500 Follow-Up Studies Studies in which individuals or populations are followed to assess the outcome of exposures, procedures, or effects of a characteristic, e.g., occurrence of disease. Followup Studies,Follow Up Studies,Follow-Up Study,Followup Study,Studies, Follow-Up,Studies, Followup,Study, Follow-Up,Study, Followup
D006084 Graft Rejection An immune response with both cellular and humoral components, directed against an allogeneic transplant, whose tissue antigens are not compatible with those of the recipient. Transplant Rejection,Rejection, Transplant,Transplantation Rejection,Graft Rejections,Rejection, Graft,Rejection, Transplantation,Rejections, Graft,Rejections, Transplant,Rejections, Transplantation,Transplant Rejections,Transplantation Rejections
D006331 Heart Diseases Pathological conditions involving the HEART including its structural and functional abnormalities. Cardiac Disorders,Heart Disorders,Cardiac Diseases,Cardiac Disease,Cardiac Disorder,Heart Disease,Heart Disorder

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