Cost effectiveness of thrombolytic therapy with streptokinase in elderly patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction. 1992

H M Krumholz, and R C Pasternak, and M C Weinstein, and G C Friesinger, and P M Ridker, and A N Tosteson, and L Goldman
Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Hospital, Boston.

BACKGROUND There is a lack of consensus among cardiologists about the potential benefit of thrombolytic therapy for suspected acute myocardial infarction in older patients. To investigate this issue, we constructed a decision-analytic model for patients 75 years of age or older who present with ST-segment elevation within six hours of the onset of symptoms suggesting acute myocardial infarction. METHODS The variables incorporated in this model were the probability that the patient has an acute myocardial infarction, the probability of in-hospital death among patients with acute myocardial infarction who do not receive thrombolytic therapy, the probability of a fatal or incapacitating complication resulting from thrombolytic therapy, and the expected relative reduction in the risk of death associated with thrombolytic therapy in patients with acute myocardial infarction. Our analyses were based primarily on the use of streptokinase as the thrombolytic agent. RESULTS Given our base-line assumptions, the probability of dying in the hospital was 21.4 percent if thrombolytic therapy was given and 24.4 percent if it was not given. In one-way sensitivity analyses, thrombolytic therapy decreased the risk of dying if the probability that the patient had an acute myocardial infarction was assumed to be greater than 9 percent, if the probability of dying in the hospital after an acute myocardial infarction without thrombolytic therapy was assumed to be greater than 3 percent, if the rate of fatal or incapacitating complications due to thrombolytic therapy was assumed to be 4 percent or less, or if the relative reduction in the risk of death associated with thrombolytic therapy was assumed to be greater than 1 percent. On the basis of our base-line assumptions, our estimate of the cost effectiveness of streptokinase therapy (the cost per year of life saved) for an 80-year-old patient with suspected acute myocardial infarction was $21,200. For a wide range of assumptions about risks, benefits, and costs, the cost per year of life saved remained less than $55,000. CONCLUSIONS Within the limitations imposed by the assumptions used in our analysis, thrombolytic therapy with streptokinase was found to be a beneficial and cost-effective treatment for suspected acute myocardial infarction in elderly patients in a wide variety of clinical circumstances.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D009203 Myocardial Infarction NECROSIS of the MYOCARDIUM caused by an obstruction of the blood supply to the heart (CORONARY CIRCULATION). Cardiovascular Stroke,Heart Attack,Myocardial Infarct,Cardiovascular Strokes,Heart Attacks,Infarct, Myocardial,Infarction, Myocardial,Infarctions, Myocardial,Infarcts, Myocardial,Myocardial Infarctions,Myocardial Infarcts,Stroke, Cardiovascular,Strokes, Cardiovascular
D011336 Probability The study of chance processes or the relative frequency characterizing a chance process. Probabilities
D003362 Cost-Benefit Analysis A method of comparing the cost of a program with its expected benefits in dollars (or other currency). The benefit-to-cost ratio is a measure of total return expected per unit of money spent. This analysis generally excludes consideration of factors that are not measured ultimately in economic terms. In contrast a cost effectiveness in general compares cost with qualitative outcomes. Cost and Benefit,Cost-Benefit Data,Benefits and Costs,Cost Benefit,Cost Benefit Analysis,Cost-Utility Analysis,Costs and Benefits,Economic Evaluation,Marginal Analysis,Analyses, Cost Benefit,Analysis, Cost Benefit,Analysis, Cost-Benefit,Analysis, Cost-Utility,Analysis, Marginal,Benefit and Cost,Cost Benefit Analyses,Cost Benefit Data,Cost Utility Analysis,Cost-Benefit Analyses,Cost-Utility Analyses,Data, Cost-Benefit,Economic Evaluations,Evaluation, Economic,Marginal Analyses
D003661 Decision Support Techniques Mathematical or statistical procedures used as aids in making a decision. They are frequently used in medical decision-making. Decision Analysis,Decision Modeling,Models, Decision Support,Analysis, Decision,Decision Aids,Decision Support Technics,Aid, Decision,Aids, Decision,Analyses, Decision,Decision Aid,Decision Analyses,Decision Support Model,Decision Support Models,Decision Support Technic,Decision Support Technique,Model, Decision Support,Modeling, Decision,Technic, Decision Support,Technics, Decision Support,Technique, Decision Support,Techniques, Decision Support
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000367 Age Factors Age as a constituent element or influence contributing to the production of a result. It may be applicable to the cause or the effect of a circumstance. It is used with human or animal concepts but should be differentiated from AGING, a physiological process, and TIME FACTORS which refers only to the passage of time. Age Reporting,Age Factor,Factor, Age,Factors, Age
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly
D000369 Aged, 80 and over Persons 80 years of age and older. Oldest Old
D012680 Sensitivity and Specificity Binary classification measures to assess test results. Sensitivity or recall rate is the proportion of true positives. Specificity is the probability of correctly determining the absence of a condition. (From Last, Dictionary of Epidemiology, 2d ed) Specificity,Sensitivity,Specificity and Sensitivity
D013300 Streptokinase Streptococcal fibrinolysin . An enzyme produced by hemolytic streptococci. It hydrolyzes amide linkages and serves as an activator of plasminogen. It is used in thrombolytic therapy and is used also in mixtures with streptodornase (STREPTODORNASE AND STREPTOKINASE). EC 3.4.-. Avelizin,Awelysin,Celiase,Distreptase,Kabikinase,Kabivitrum,Streptase,Streptodecase

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