Comparison of regulatory method estimated drinking water exposure concentrations with monitoring results from surface drinking water supplies. 2005

Scott Jackson, and Paul Hendley, and Russell Jones, and Nick Poletika, and Mark Russell
BASF Corporation, 26 Davis Drive, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709, USA jacksosh@basf-corp.com

Crop-protection compounds are useful tools that enhance the quality of the food we enjoy. However, crop-protection products can enter aquatic systems either by direct or by indirect application. To better understand the possible frequency and magnitude of exposure to water resources, the regulatory community has developed a set of relatively straightforward models for estimating exposure to these water systems. The focus of this research was to compare how well the estimates of exposure to drinking water based on model calculations relate to actual monitoring data. Physical/chemical property data were entered in the EPA's exposure model FIRST and into PRZM/EXAMS. The predictions from FIRST and PRZM/EXAMS were then compared to actual monitoring data from a USGS/EPA cooperative program, which monitored for pesticides in vulnerable surface drinking water supplies during 1999 and 2000. Results from this examination indicate the exposure from the models can overpredict concentrations found in water by several orders of magnitude. An overprediction factor is presented that corrects model predictions to more closely approximate concentrations found in reservoirs (p = 0.05).

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008962 Models, Theoretical Theoretical representations that simulate the behavior or activity of systems, processes, or phenomena. They include the use of mathematical equations, computers, and other electronic equipment. Experimental Model,Experimental Models,Mathematical Model,Model, Experimental,Models (Theoretical),Models, Experimental,Models, Theoretic,Theoretical Study,Mathematical Models,Model (Theoretical),Model, Mathematical,Model, Theoretical,Models, Mathematical,Studies, Theoretical,Study, Theoretical,Theoretical Model,Theoretical Models,Theoretical Studies
D010575 Pesticides Chemicals used to destroy pests of any sort. The concept includes fungicides (FUNGICIDES, INDUSTRIAL); INSECTICIDES; RODENTICIDES; etc. Pesticide
D004781 Environmental Exposure The exposure to potentially harmful chemical, physical, or biological agents in the environment or to environmental factors that may include ionizing radiation, pathogenic organisms, or toxic chemicals. Exposure, Environmental,Environmental Exposures,Exposures, Environmental
D004784 Environmental Monitoring The monitoring of the level of toxins, chemical pollutants, microbial contaminants, or other harmful substances in the environment (soil, air, and water), workplace, or in the bodies of people and animals present in that environment. Monitoring, Environmental,Environmental Surveillance,Surveillance, Environmental
D014481 United States A country in NORTH AMERICA between CANADA and MEXICO.
D014484 United States Environmental Protection Agency An agency in the Executive Branch of the Federal Government. It was created as an independent regulatory agency responsible for the implementation of federal laws designed to protect the environment. Its mission is to protect human health and the ENVIRONMENT. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S.),Environmental Protection Agency,Environmental Protection Agency, United States,USEPA
D014873 Water Pollutants Substances or organisms which pollute the water or bodies of water. Use for water pollutants in general or those for which there is no specific heading. Water Pollutant,Pollutant, Water,Pollutants, Water
D014881 Water Supply Means or process of supplying water (as for a community) usually including reservoirs, tunnels, and pipelines and often the watershed from which the water is ultimately drawn. (Webster, 3d ed) Supplies, Water,Supply, Water,Water Supplies

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