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Inference in ensemble experiments. 2007

Jonathan Rougier, and David M H Sexton
Department of Mathematics, University of Bristol, University Walk, Bristol, UK. j.c.rougier@bristol.ac.uk

We consider inference based on ensembles of climate model evaluations, and contrast the Monte Carlo approach, in which the evaluations are selected at random from the model-input space, with a more overtly statistical approach using emulators and experimental design.

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