Predictors of mortality and length of stay for neonates admitted to children's hospital neonatal intensive care units. 2008

M A Berry, and P S Shah, and R T Brouillette, and J Hellmann
Department of Pediatrics, Montreal Children's Hospital and McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC, Canada.

OBJECTIVE Current scoring systems, which adjust prediction for severity of illness, do not account for higher observed mortality in neonatal intensive care units (NICUs) of children's hospitals than that of perinatal centers. We hypothesized that three potential predictors, (a) admission from another NICU, (b) presence of congenital anomalies and (c) need for surgery, would modify expected mortality and/or length of stay for infants admitted to NICUs in children's hospitals. METHODS We reviewed consecutive admissions to two NICUs in children's hospitals in Canada. We performed regression analyses to evaluate these potential predictors and severity-of-illness indices for the outcomes of mortality and length of stay. RESULTS Of 625 neonatal admissions, transfer from another NICU, congenital anomalies requiring admission and surgery were identified in 371 (59%). Using logistic regression, mortality was predicted based on admission from another NICU (odds ratio (OR) 1.92; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04, 3.57), congenital anomalies (OR 7.28; 95% CI 3.69, 14.36) and a validated severity-of-illness score, the Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology Perinatal Extension Version II (SNAPPE-II; OR 1.07; 95% CI 1.05, 1.09 per point). By contrast, surgical intervention was predictive of survival (OR 0.35; 95% CI 0.18, 0.67). Length of stay >or=21 days was predicted by SNAPPE-II (OR 1.02; 95% CI 1.01, 1.03 per point), congenital anomalies (OR 2.47; 95% CI 1.60, 3.79) and surgery (OR 2.73; 95% CI 1.77, 4.21). CONCLUSIONS Fair performance comparisons of NICUs with different case-mixes, such as children's hospital and perinatal NICUs, in addition to severity-of-illness indices, should account for admissions from another NICU, congenital anomalies and surgery.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007231 Infant, Newborn An infant during the first 28 days after birth. Neonate,Newborns,Infants, Newborn,Neonates,Newborn,Newborn Infant,Newborn Infants
D007363 Intensive Care Units, Neonatal Hospital units providing continuing surveillance and care to acutely ill newborn infants. Neonatal Intensive Care Unit,Neonatal Intensive Care Units,Newborn Intensive Care Unit,Newborn Intensive Care Units,ICU, Neonatal,Neonatal ICU,Newborn ICU,Newborn Intensive Care Units (NICU),ICU, Newborn,ICUs, Neonatal,ICUs, Newborn,Neonatal ICUs,Newborn ICUs
D007902 Length of Stay The period of confinement of a patient to a hospital or other health facility. Hospital Stay,Hospital Stays,Stay Length,Stay Lengths,Stay, Hospital,Stays, Hospital
D008297 Male Males
D012044 Regression Analysis Procedures for finding the mathematical function which best describes the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. In linear regression (see LINEAR MODELS) the relationship is constrained to be a straight line and LEAST-SQUARES ANALYSIS is used to determine the best fit. In logistic regression (see LOGISTIC MODELS) the dependent variable is qualitative rather than continuously variable and LIKELIHOOD FUNCTIONS are used to find the best relationship. In multiple regression, the dependent variable is considered to depend on more than a single independent variable. Regression Diagnostics,Statistical Regression,Analysis, Regression,Analyses, Regression,Diagnostics, Regression,Regression Analyses,Regression, Statistical,Regressions, Statistical,Statistical Regressions
D002170 Canada The largest country in North America, comprising 10 provinces and three territories. Its capital is Ottawa.
D005260 Female Females
D006776 Hospitals, Pediatric Special hospitals which provide care for ill children. Pediatric Hospitals,Hospital, Pediatric,Pediatric Hospital
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D012189 Retrospective Studies Studies used to test etiologic hypotheses in which inferences about an exposure to putative causal factors are derived from data relating to characteristics of persons under study or to events or experiences in their past. The essential feature is that some of the persons under study have the disease or outcome of interest and their characteristics are compared with those of unaffected persons. Retrospective Study,Studies, Retrospective,Study, Retrospective

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