Biomaterial Database

Will generalist physician supply meet demands of an increasing and aging population? 2008

Jack M Colwill, and James M Cultice, and Robin L Kruse

University of Missouri-Columbia, USA. colwillj@health.missouri.edu

We predict that population growth and aging will increase family physicians' and general internists' workloads by 29 percent between 2005 and 2025. We expect a 13 percent increased workload for care of children by pediatricians and family physicians. However, the supply of generalists for adult care, adjusted for age and sex, will increase 7 percent, or only 2 percent if the number of graduates continues to decline through 2008. We expect deficits of 35,000-44,000 adult care generalists, although the supply for care of children should be adequate. These forces threaten the nation's foundation of primary care for adults.

UI	MeSH Term	Description	Entries
D007388	Internal Medicine	A medical specialty concerned with the diagnosis and treatment of diseases of the internal organ systems of adults.	General Internal Medicine,Medicine, Internal,Internal Medicine, General,Medicine, General Internal
D007396	Internship and Residency	Programs of EDUCATION, MEDICAL, GRADUATE training to meet the requirements established by accrediting authorities.	House Staff,Internship, Dental,Residency, Dental,Residency, Medical,Dental Internship,Dental Internships,Dental Residencies,Dental Residency,Internship,Internship, Medical,Internships, Dental,Medical Residencies,Medical Residency,Residencies, Dental,Residencies, Medical,Residency,Residency and Internship,Internships, Medical,Medical Internship,Medical Internships,Residencies,Staff, House
D010372	Pediatrics	A medical specialty concerned with maintaining health and providing medical care to children from birth to adolescence.
D010821	Physicians, Family	Those physicians who have completed the education requirements specified by the American Academy of Family Physicians.	Family Physician,Family Physicians,Physician, Family
D011158	Population Growth	Increase, over a specific period of time, in the number of individuals living in a country or region.	Population Explosion,Baby Boom,Baby Bust,High Fertility Population,Natural Increase,Past Trends,Population Growth and Natural Resources,Population Size and Growth,Zero Population Growth,Baby Booms,Baby Busts,Explosion, Population,Explosions, Population,Growth, Population,High Fertility Populations,Increase, Natural,Increases, Natural,Natural Increases,Past Trend,Population Explosions,Population, High Fertility,Populations, High Fertility,Trend, Past,Trends, Past
D005544	Forecasting	The prediction or projection of the nature of future problems or existing conditions based upon the extrapolation or interpretation of existing scientific data or by the application of scientific methodology.	Futurology,Projections and Predictions,Future,Predictions and Projections
D006301	Health Services Needs and Demand	Health services required by a population or community as well as the health services that the population or community is able and willing to pay for.	Health Services Needs,Needs,Needs and Demand, Health Services,Target Population,Health Services Need,Need, Health Services,Needs, Health Services,Population, Target,Populations, Target,Target Populations
D006801	Humans	Members of the species Homo sapiens.	Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000078329	Workforce	The number of people working or available for work or service.	Human Resources,Labor Supply,Manpower,Staffing,Womanpower,Human Resource,Labor Supplies,Manpowers,Staffings,Supply, Labor,Womanpowers,Workforces
D000328	Adult	A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available.	Adults