Sudden infant deaths and cold weather: was the rise in infant mortality in 1986 in England and Wales due to the weather? 1991

M J Campbell, and L Rodrigues, and A J Macfarlane, and M F Murphy
University of Southampton, England.

Using the daily number of deaths due to sudden infant death syndrome in England and Wales from 1979 to 1985, and the daily temperature recorded at the London Weather Centre, two models were constructed, one including a temperature term and one without it, and the models used to predict the mortality in 1986. It was found that the model using temperature had a slightly better predictive power and successfully accounted for the increased mortality in February 1986. Thus, we conclude that the excess mortality of February 1986 was associated with the unusually cold weather during that month.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007226 Infant Mortality Postnatal deaths from BIRTH to 365 days after birth in a given population. Postneonatal mortality represents deaths between 28 days and 365 days after birth (as defined by National Center for Health Statistics). Neonatal mortality represents deaths from birth to 27 days after birth. Neonatal Mortality,Mortality, Infant,Postneonatal Mortality,Infant Mortalities,Mortalities, Infant,Mortalities, Neonatal,Mortalities, Postneonatal,Mortality, Neonatal,Mortality, Postneonatal,Neonatal Mortalities,Postneonatal Mortalities
D007231 Infant, Newborn An infant during the first 28 days after birth. Neonate,Newborns,Infants, Newborn,Neonates,Newborn,Newborn Infant,Newborn Infants
D003081 Cold Climate A climate characterized by COLD TEMPERATURE for a majority of the time during the year. Polar Regions,Climate, Cold,Climates, Cold,Cold Climates,Polar Region,Region, Polar,Regions, Polar
D004739 England A part of Great Britain within the United Kingdom.
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D012621 Seasons Divisions of the year according to some regularly recurrent phenomena usually astronomical or climatic. (From McGraw-Hill Dictionary of Scientific and Technical Terms, 6th ed) Seasonal Variation,Season,Seasonal Variations,Variation, Seasonal,Variations, Seasonal
D013398 Sudden Infant Death The abrupt and unexplained death of an apparently healthy infant under one year of age, remaining unexplained after a thorough case investigation, including performance of a complete autopsy, examination of the death scene, and review of the clinical history. (Pediatr Pathol 1991 Sep-Oct;11(5):677-84) Cot Death,Crib Death,SIDS,Death, Sudden Infant,SID,Sudden Infant Death Syndrome,Cot Deaths,Death, Cot,Death, Crib,Infant Death, Sudden
D014852 Wales A region of the United Kingdom, in the southwestern area of Great Britain.

Related Publications

M J Campbell, and L Rodrigues, and A J Macfarlane, and M F Murphy
January 2005, Health statistics quarterly,
M J Campbell, and L Rodrigues, and A J Macfarlane, and M F Murphy
September 1979, Journal of epidemiology and community health,
M J Campbell, and L Rodrigues, and A J Macfarlane, and M F Murphy
March 1989, BMJ (Clinical research ed.),
M J Campbell, and L Rodrigues, and A J Macfarlane, and M F Murphy
January 2021, BMJ (Clinical research ed.),
M J Campbell, and L Rodrigues, and A J Macfarlane, and M F Murphy
December 2023, BMJ (Clinical research ed.),
M J Campbell, and L Rodrigues, and A J Macfarlane, and M F Murphy
April 1987, MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report,
M J Campbell, and L Rodrigues, and A J Macfarlane, and M F Murphy
April 2020, BMJ (Clinical research ed.),
M J Campbell, and L Rodrigues, and A J Macfarlane, and M F Murphy
March 1995, BMJ (Clinical research ed.),
M J Campbell, and L Rodrigues, and A J Macfarlane, and M F Murphy
September 2022, BMJ (Clinical research ed.),
M J Campbell, and L Rodrigues, and A J Macfarlane, and M F Murphy
August 2019, BMJ (Clinical research ed.),
Copied contents to your clipboard!