Ecological niche modeling of Cryptococcus gattii in British Columbia, Canada. 2010

Sunny Mak, and Brian Klinkenberg, and Karen Bartlett, and Murray Fyfe
Epidemiology Services, British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. sunny.mak@bccdc.ca

BACKGROUND Cryptococcus gattii emerged on Vancouver Island, British Columbia (BC), Canada, in 1999, causing human and animal illness. Environmental sampling for C.gattii in southwestern BC has isolated the fungal organism from native vegetation, soil, air, and water. OBJECTIVE Our aim was to help public health officials in BC delineate where C.gattii is currently established and forecast areas that could support C.gattii in the future. We also examined the utility of ecological niche modeling (ENM) based on human and animal C.gattii disease surveillance data. METHODS We performed ENM using the Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Prediction (GARP) to predict the optimal and potential ecological niche areas of C.gattii in BC. Human and animal surveillance and environmental sampling data were used to build and test the models based on 15 predictor environmental data layers. RESULTS ENM provided very accurate predictions (> 98% accuracy, p-value < 0.001) for C.gattii in BC. The models identified optimal C.gattii ecological niche areas along the central and south eastern coast of Vancouver Island and within the Vancouver Lower Mainland. Elevation, biogeoclimatic zone, and January temperature were good predictors for identifying the ecological niche of C.gattii in BC. CONCLUSIONS The use of human and animal case data for ENM proved useful and effective in identifying the ecological niche of C.gattii in BC. These results are shared with public health to increase public and physician awareness of cryptococcal disease in regions at risk of environmental colonization of C.gattii.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008954 Models, Biological Theoretical representations that simulate the behavior or activity of biological processes or diseases. For disease models in living animals, DISEASE MODELS, ANIMAL is available. Biological models include the use of mathematical equations, computers, and other electronic equipment. Biological Model,Biological Models,Model, Biological,Models, Biologic,Biologic Model,Biologic Models,Model, Biologic
D001955 British Columbia A province of Canada on the Pacific coast. Its capital is Victoria. The name given in 1858 derives from the Columbia River which was named by the American captain Robert Gray for his ship Columbia which in turn was named for Columbus. (From Webster's New Geographical Dictionary, 1988, p178 & Room, Brewer's Dictionary of Names, 1992, p81-2)
D003453 Cryptococcosis Fungal infection caused by genus CRYPTOCOCCUS. C gattii Infection,C neoformans Infection,C. gattii Infection,C. neoformans Infection,Cryptococcus Infection,Cryptococcus Infections,Cryptococcus gattii Infection,Torulosis,Cryptococcus neoformans Infection,C gattii Infections,C neoformans Infections,C. gattii Infections,C. neoformans Infections,Cryptococcoses,Cryptococcus gattii Infections,Cryptococcus neoformans Infections,Infection, C gattii,Infection, C neoformans,Infection, C. gattii,Infection, C. neoformans,Infection, Cryptococcus,Infection, Cryptococcus gattii,Infection, Cryptococcus neoformans,Infections, C gattii,Infections, C. neoformans,Toruloses
D004781 Environmental Exposure The exposure to potentially harmful chemical, physical, or biological agents in the environment or to environmental factors that may include ionizing radiation, pathogenic organisms, or toxic chemicals. Exposure, Environmental,Environmental Exposures,Exposures, Environmental
D004782 Environmental Health The science of controlling or modifying those conditions, influences, or forces surrounding man which relate to promoting, establishing, and maintaining health. Environmental Health Science,Health, Environmental,Environmental Health Sciences,Environmental Healths,Health Science, Environmental,Health Sciences, Environmental,Healths, Environmental,Science, Environmental Health,Sciences, Environmental Health
D004783 Environmental Microbiology The study of microorganisms living in a variety of environments (air, soil, water, etc.) and their pathogenic relationship to other organisms including man. Microbiology, Environmental
D004784 Environmental Monitoring The monitoring of the level of toxins, chemical pollutants, microbial contaminants, or other harmful substances in the environment (soil, air, and water), workplace, or in the bodies of people and animals present in that environment. Monitoring, Environmental,Environmental Surveillance,Surveillance, Environmental
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000818 Animals Unicellular or multicellular, heterotrophic organisms, that have sensation and the power of voluntary movement. Under the older five kingdom paradigm, Animalia was one of the kingdoms. Under the modern three domain model, Animalia represents one of the many groups in the domain EUKARYOTA. Animal,Metazoa,Animalia
D017753 Ecosystem A functional system which includes the organisms of a natural community together with their environment. (McGraw Hill Dictionary of Scientific and Technical Terms, 4th ed) Ecosystems,Biome,Ecologic System,Ecologic Systems,Ecological System,Habitat,Niche, Ecological,System, Ecological,Systems, Ecological,Biomes,Ecological Niche,Ecological Systems,Habitats,System, Ecologic,Systems, Ecologic

Related Publications

Sunny Mak, and Brian Klinkenberg, and Karen Bartlett, and Murray Fyfe
January 2007, Emerging infectious diseases,
Sunny Mak, and Brian Klinkenberg, and Karen Bartlett, and Murray Fyfe
January 2010, Journal of medical entomology,
Sunny Mak, and Brian Klinkenberg, and Karen Bartlett, and Murray Fyfe
February 2010, Emerging infectious diseases,
Sunny Mak, and Brian Klinkenberg, and Karen Bartlett, and Murray Fyfe
February 2011, Emerging infectious diseases,
Sunny Mak, and Brian Klinkenberg, and Karen Bartlett, and Murray Fyfe
January 2006, Journal of wildlife diseases,
Sunny Mak, and Brian Klinkenberg, and Karen Bartlett, and Murray Fyfe
October 2011, Medical mycology,
Sunny Mak, and Brian Klinkenberg, and Karen Bartlett, and Murray Fyfe
July 2016, Journal of wildlife diseases,
Sunny Mak, and Brian Klinkenberg, and Karen Bartlett, and Murray Fyfe
June 2012, Mycopathologia,
Sunny Mak, and Brian Klinkenberg, and Karen Bartlett, and Murray Fyfe
January 2007, Emerging infectious diseases,
Sunny Mak, and Brian Klinkenberg, and Karen Bartlett, and Murray Fyfe
December 2004, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,
Copied contents to your clipboard!