Selecting a prognostic renal surrogate for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing transarterial chemoembolization. 2012

Yun-Hsuan Lee, and Chia-Yang Hsu, and Yi-Hsiang Huang, and Chien-Wei Su, and Han-Chieh Lin, and Rheun-Chuan Lee, and Yi-You Chiou, and Teh-Ia Huo, and Shou-Dong Lee
Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.

OBJECTIVE Renal insufficiency (RI) often coexists with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and predicts a poor outcome in patients receiving transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). The modification of diet in renal disease (MDRD) and chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations are used to provide estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). This study aimed to determine a prognsotic renal surrogate for outcome prediction in HCC patients receiving TACE. METHODS A total of 684 patients with HCC undergoing TACE were retrospectively analyzed. The prognostic ability between the MDRD and CKD-EPI equation was compared by the Akaike information criterion (AIC). RESULTS Patients were categorized by eGFR into > 60, 30-60 and < 30 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) (equivalent to CKD stages 1-2, 3, and 4-5, respectively) groups. The eGFR generated by the MDRD equation had a better predictive accuracy by having a lower AIC score (3234.5) compared to the CKD-EPI equation (3236.7). The adjusted risk ratio for patients with eGFR 30-60 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) by the MDRD was 1.313 (P = 0.041) compared with patients with eGFR > 60 mL/min per 1.73 m(2) in the multivariate Cox model. The eGFR defined by the MDRD equation consistently had better prognostic ability when patients were stratified by the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score of 5 and > 5 and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program score 0 to 1 and > 1. CONCLUSIONS The eGFR according the MDRD equation may provide better prognostic accuracy than the CKD-EPI equation independent of liver functional reserve and tumor staging, and is a more feasible renal surrogate for outcome prediction in CKD stage 1-3 HCC patients receiving TACE.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007668 Kidney Body organ that filters blood for the secretion of URINE and that regulates ion concentrations. Kidneys
D008113 Liver Neoplasms Tumors or cancer of the LIVER. Cancer of Liver,Hepatic Cancer,Liver Cancer,Cancer of the Liver,Cancer, Hepatocellular,Hepatic Neoplasms,Hepatocellular Cancer,Neoplasms, Hepatic,Neoplasms, Liver,Cancer, Hepatic,Cancer, Liver,Cancers, Hepatic,Cancers, Hepatocellular,Cancers, Liver,Hepatic Cancers,Hepatic Neoplasm,Hepatocellular Cancers,Liver Cancers,Liver Neoplasm,Neoplasm, Hepatic,Neoplasm, Liver
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D008954 Models, Biological Theoretical representations that simulate the behavior or activity of biological processes or diseases. For disease models in living animals, DISEASE MODELS, ANIMAL is available. Biological models include the use of mathematical equations, computers, and other electronic equipment. Biological Model,Biological Models,Model, Biological,Models, Biologic,Biologic Model,Biologic Models,Model, Biologic
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D005240 Feasibility Studies Studies to determine the advantages or disadvantages, practicability, or capability of accomplishing a projected plan, study, or project. Feasibility Study,Studies, Feasibility,Study, Feasibility
D005260 Female Females
D005919 Glomerular Filtration Rate The volume of water filtered out of plasma through glomerular capillary walls into Bowman's capsules per unit of time. It is considered to be equivalent to INULIN clearance. Filtration Rate, Glomerular,Filtration Rates, Glomerular,Glomerular Filtration Rates,Rate, Glomerular Filtration,Rates, Glomerular Filtration
D006528 Carcinoma, Hepatocellular A primary malignant neoplasm of epithelial liver cells. It ranges from a well-differentiated tumor with EPITHELIAL CELLS indistinguishable from normal HEPATOCYTES to a poorly differentiated neoplasm. The cells may be uniform or markedly pleomorphic, or form GIANT CELLS. Several classification schemes have been suggested. Hepatocellular Carcinoma,Hepatoma,Liver Cancer, Adult,Liver Cell Carcinoma,Liver Cell Carcinoma, Adult,Adult Liver Cancer,Adult Liver Cancers,Cancer, Adult Liver,Cancers, Adult Liver,Carcinoma, Liver Cell,Carcinomas, Hepatocellular,Carcinomas, Liver Cell,Cell Carcinoma, Liver,Cell Carcinomas, Liver,Hepatocellular Carcinomas,Hepatomas,Liver Cancers, Adult,Liver Cell Carcinomas

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