King's College Hospital Criteria for non-acetaminophen induced acute liver failure in an international cohort of children. 2013

Vinay Sundaram, and Benjamin L Shneider, and Anil Dhawan, and Vicky L Ng, and Kyungah Im, and Steven Belle, and Robert H Squires
Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA, USA. vsundaram@llu.edu

OBJECTIVE To validate King's College Hospital criteria (KCHC) in children with non-acetaminophen induced pediatric acute liver failure (PALF) and to determine whether re-optimizing the KCHC would improve predictive accuracy. METHODS We used the PALF study group database. Primary outcomes were survival without liver transplantation vs death at 21 days following enrollment. Classification and regression tree analysis was used to determine if modification of KCHC parameters would improve classification of death vs survival. RESULTS Among 163 patients who met KCHC, 54 patients (33.1%) died within 21 days. Sensitivity of KCHC in this cohort was significantly lower than in the original study (61% vs 91%, P = .002), and specificity did not differ significantly. The positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of KCHC for this cohort was 33% and 88% respectively. Classification and regression tree analysis yielded the following optimized parameters to predict death: grade 2-4 encephalopathy, international normalized ratio >4.02, and total bilirubin >2.02 mg/dL. These parameters did not improve PPV, but NPV was significantly better (88% vs 92%, P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS KCHC does not reliably predict death in PALF. With a PPV of 33%, twice as many participants who met KCHC recovered spontaneously than died, indicating that using KCHC may cause over utilization of liver transplantation. Re-optimized cutpoints for KCHC parameters improved NPV, but not PPV. Parameters beyond the KCHC should be evaluated to create a predictive model for PALF.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007223 Infant A child between 1 and 23 months of age. Infants
D008111 Liver Function Tests Blood tests that are used to evaluate how well a patient's liver is working and also to help diagnose liver conditions. Function Test, Liver,Function Tests, Liver,Liver Function Test,Test, Liver Function,Tests, Liver Function
D008297 Male Males
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D002648 Child A person 6 to 12 years of age. An individual 2 to 5 years old is CHILD, PRESCHOOL. Children
D002675 Child, Preschool A child between the ages of 2 and 5. Children, Preschool,Preschool Child,Preschool Children
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000082 Acetaminophen Analgesic antipyretic derivative of acetanilide. It has weak anti-inflammatory properties and is used as a common analgesic, but may cause liver, blood cell, and kidney damage. Acetamidophenol,Hydroxyacetanilide,Paracetamol,APAP,Acamol,Acephen,Acetaco,Acetominophen,Algotropyl,Anacin-3,Datril,N-(4-Hydroxyphenyl)acetanilide,N-Acetyl-p-aminophenol,Panadol,Tylenol,p-Acetamidophenol,p-Hydroxyacetanilide,Anacin 3,Anacin3

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