[Benefit-risk analysis of mass screening for lung cancer]. 1990

T Iinuma, and Y Tateno
Division of Clinical Research, National Institute of Radiological Sciences.

The mass screening of lung cancer has been started with financial support of the Japanese Government from 1987. It should be emphasized, however, that mass screening programs of any kind have to be evaluated by means of benefit-risk analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis. This is the first report on the benefit-risk analysis for mass screening program of lung cancer in Japan. The benefit of the lung cancer mass screening is defined as a net elongation of average life expectancy due to early detection of the cancer. It is calculated as a function of age and sex. While, the risk of the screening program is defined as a net shortage of average life expectancy due to radiation carcinogenesis of leukemia and lung cancer. In the case of radiation carcinogenesis, latent time and plateau period are considered in the calculation of the risk. Since the benefit increases with age and the risk decreases with age for both sexes, one can obtain a certain age at which the benefit and the risk cross. Assuming dose equivalent of lung of 1 mSv and risk coefficient of 15.1 X 10(-3) Sv-1, the crossing ages of men and women are about 42 y.o. and 47 y.o. respectively. We consider that these ages are rather high when chest radiograph is to be used as a screening test. It is recommended that the dose equivalent of lung should be lowered to 0.1 mSv if the mass screening of lung cancer is to be performed.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007564 Japan A country in eastern Asia, island chain between the North Pacific Ocean and the Sea of Japan, east of the Korean Peninsula. The capital is Tokyo. Bonin Islands
D008017 Life Expectancy Based on known statistical data, the number of years which any person of a given age may reasonably be expected to live. Life Extension,Years of Potential Life Lost,Expectancies, Life,Expectancy, Life,Life Expectancies
D008175 Lung Neoplasms Tumors or cancer of the LUNG. Cancer of Lung,Lung Cancer,Pulmonary Cancer,Pulmonary Neoplasms,Cancer of the Lung,Neoplasms, Lung,Neoplasms, Pulmonary,Cancer, Lung,Cancer, Pulmonary,Cancers, Lung,Cancers, Pulmonary,Lung Cancers,Lung Neoplasm,Neoplasm, Lung,Neoplasm, Pulmonary,Pulmonary Cancers,Pulmonary Neoplasm
D008297 Male Males
D008403 Mass Screening Organized periodic procedures performed on large groups of people for the purpose of detecting disease. Screening,Mass Screenings,Screening, Mass,Screenings,Screenings, Mass
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000293 Adolescent A person 13 to 18 years of age. Adolescence,Youth,Adolescents,Adolescents, Female,Adolescents, Male,Teenagers,Teens,Adolescent, Female,Adolescent, Male,Female Adolescent,Female Adolescents,Male Adolescent,Male Adolescents,Teen,Teenager,Youths
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults

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