Continued declining incidence and improved survival of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy in HIV/AIDS patients in the current era. 2014

J L Casado, and I Corral, and J García, and J Martinez-San Millán, and E Navas, and A Moreno, and S Moreno
Department of Infectious Diseases, Ramón y Cajal Hospital, 28034, Madrid, Spain, jcasado.hrc@gmail.com.

To evaluate the situation and perspectives of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients, we investigated changes in the incidence, causes, and long-term outcome of this disease in 72 acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) patients who were diagnosed with PML from 1996 to 2011. Patients were classified according to the date of diagnosis in the first (1996-2000, n = 35), second (2001-2006, n = 26), and recent or third highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) period (2007-2011, n = 11). Overall, the incidence of PML decreased from 14.8 cases/1,000 patients/year in 1996 to 2.6 in 2005 and 0.8 in 2011, and nearly two-thirds of recent cases (64 %) were observed in HIV patients not attending clinical visits. The baseline median CD4+ count was higher in recently PML-diagnosed patients (77 vs. 86 vs. 101 cells/mm(3); p < 0.01), and this fact was associated with a cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) inflammatory profile (from 11 to 31 to 55 %, p = 0.007) and with a significantly longer survival (attributable death, 54 vs. 35 vs. 36 %, respectively, p < 0.01). Thus, the overall 1-year and 3-year survival rates were 55 and 50 %, respectively, increasing to 79 % at 1 year for patients with CD4+ count above 100 cells/mm(3) at diagnosis. In a Cox regression analysis, an older age (hazard ratio, HR 0.76), a baseline CD4+ count above 100 cells/mm(3) (HR 0.33), and a CSF inflammatory profile (HR 0.12) were significantly associated with a longer survival. The clinical presentation and outcome of PML in AIDS patients continue to change dramatically. Now, a declining incidence and long-term survival is observed.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007968 Leukoencephalopathy, Progressive Multifocal An opportunistic viral infection of the central nervous system associated with conditions that impair cell-mediated immunity (e.g., ACQUIRED IMMUNODEFICIENCY SYNDROME and other IMMUNOLOGIC DEFICIENCY SYNDROMES; HEMATOLOGIC NEOPLASMS; IMMUNOSUPPRESSION; and COLLAGEN DISEASES). The causative organism is JC Polyomavirus (JC VIRUS) which primarily affects oligodendrocytes, resulting in multiple areas of demyelination. Clinical manifestations include DEMENTIA; ATAXIA; visual disturbances; and other focal neurologic deficits, generally progressing to a vegetative state within 6 months. (From Joynt, Clinical Neurology, 1996, Ch26, pp36-7) Encephalitis, JC Polyomavirus,Progressive Multifocal Leukoencephalopathy,JC Polyomavirus Encephalopathy,Encephalopathies, JC Polyomavirus,Encephalopathy, JC Polyomavirus,JC Polyomavirus Encephalitis,Leukoencephalopathies, Progressive Multifocal,Multifocal Leukoencephalopathies, Progressive,Multifocal Leukoencephalopathy, Progressive,Progressive Multifocal Leukoencephalopathies
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000163 Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome An acquired defect of cellular immunity associated with infection by the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), a CD4-positive T-lymphocyte count under 200 cells/microliter or less than 14% of total lymphocytes, and increased susceptibility to opportunistic infections and malignant neoplasms. Clinical manifestations also include emaciation (wasting) and dementia. These elements reflect criteria for AIDS as defined by the CDC in 1993. AIDS,Immunodeficiency Syndrome, Acquired,Immunologic Deficiency Syndrome, Acquired,Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome,Acquired Immuno-Deficiency Syndrome,Acquired Immuno Deficiency Syndrome,Acquired Immuno-Deficiency Syndromes,Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndromes,Immuno-Deficiency Syndrome, Acquired,Immuno-Deficiency Syndromes, Acquired,Immunodeficiency Syndromes, Acquired,Syndrome, Acquired Immuno-Deficiency,Syndrome, Acquired Immunodeficiency,Syndromes, Acquired Immuno-Deficiency,Syndromes, Acquired Immunodeficiency
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D015331 Cohort Studies Studies in which subsets of a defined population are identified. These groups may or may not be exposed to factors hypothesized to influence the probability of the occurrence of a particular disease or other outcome. Cohorts are defined populations which, as a whole, are followed in an attempt to determine distinguishing subgroup characteristics. Birth Cohort Studies,Birth Cohort Study,Closed Cohort Studies,Cohort Analysis,Concurrent Studies,Historical Cohort Studies,Incidence Studies,Analysis, Cohort,Cohort Studies, Closed,Cohort Studies, Historical,Studies, Closed Cohort,Studies, Concurrent,Studies, Historical Cohort,Analyses, Cohort,Closed Cohort Study,Cohort Analyses,Cohort Studies, Birth,Cohort Study,Cohort Study, Birth,Cohort Study, Closed,Cohort Study, Historical,Concurrent Study,Historical Cohort Study,Incidence Study,Studies, Birth Cohort,Studies, Cohort,Studies, Incidence,Study, Birth Cohort,Study, Closed Cohort,Study, Cohort,Study, Concurrent,Study, Historical Cohort,Study, Incidence
D015994 Incidence The number of new cases of a given disease during a given period in a specified population. It also is used for the rate at which new events occur in a defined population. It is differentiated from PREVALENCE, which refers to all cases in the population at a given time. Attack Rate,Cumulative Incidence,Incidence Proportion,Incidence Rate,Person-time Rate,Secondary Attack Rate,Attack Rate, Secondary,Attack Rates,Cumulative Incidences,Incidence Proportions,Incidence Rates,Incidence, Cumulative,Incidences,Person time Rate,Person-time Rates,Proportion, Incidence,Rate, Attack,Rate, Incidence,Rate, Person-time,Rate, Secondary Attack,Secondary Attack Rates
D016019 Survival Analysis A class of statistical procedures for estimating the survival function (function of time, starting with a population 100% well at a given time and providing the percentage of the population still well at later times). The survival analysis is then used for making inferences about the effects of treatments, prognostic factors, exposures, and other covariates on the function. Analysis, Survival,Analyses, Survival,Survival Analyses

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