Prognostic value of coronary CTA in coronary bypass patients: a long-term follow-up study. 2014

Saima Mushtaq, and Daniele Andreini, and Gianluca Pontone, and Erika Bertella, and Antonio L Bartorelli, and Edoardo Conte, and Andrea Baggiano, and Andrea Annoni, and Alberto Formenti, and Daniela Trabattoni, and Fabrizio Veglia, and Francesco Alamanni, and Cesare Fiorentini, and Mauro Pepi
Centro Cardiologico Monzino, IRCCS, Milan, Italy.

OBJECTIVE The goal of this study was to determine the long-term prognostic value of coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) in a large coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) population. BACKGROUND Coronary CTA has shown prognostic utility in patients without previous revascularization. However, prognostication with coronary CTA in CABG patients has not been fully assessed. METHODS Between March 2005 and April 2009, 887 consecutive CABG patients (mean age 66.8 ± 8.4 years) were considered for the inclusion in the study. Patients were classified by the number of unprotected coronary territories (UCTs) and a summary of native vessel disease and graft patency: the coronary artery protection score (CAPS). A primary endpoint (cardiovascular [CV] death, nonfatal myocardial infarction [MI]) and a secondary combined adverse events endpoint (CV death, MI, unstable angina, and late revascularizations) were recorded. RESULTS Among the 887 evaluated, 166 did not meet the inclusion criteria. The final study population consisted of 721 subjects. Ten patients were excluded for unevaluable coronary CTA images. Of the remaining 711 patients, follow-up (mean 73.5 ± 14 months) was obtained in 698. Three hundred forty-seven events were recorded. By univariable analysis, the strongest coronary CTA predictors of events were UCT 2 and 3 (hazard ratio [HR] for CV death/MI: 7.5 and 10.19, p < 0.0001 and p < 0.0003, respectively) and CAPS 4 (HR for CV death/MI: 24.1, p < 0.0001). A high number of UCTs was also a strong multivariable independent predictor of CV death/MI (HR: 7.78 and 10.18 for UCT 2 and 3, p < 0.0001 and p < 0.0007, respectively). Cumulative survival rates for CV death/MI and composite adverse CV events were 86% and 73% with UCT 0, 84% and 49% with UCT 1, 53% and 3% with UCT 2, and 29% and 0% with UCT 3, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Coronary CTA appears to be a promising tool for long-term risk stratification of CABG patients. The UCT score has significant prognostic value to predict CV deaths/MI.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D003327 Coronary Disease An imbalance between myocardial functional requirements and the capacity of the CORONARY VESSELS to supply sufficient blood flow. It is a form of MYOCARDIAL ISCHEMIA (insufficient blood supply to the heart muscle) caused by a decreased capacity of the coronary vessels. Coronary Heart Disease,Coronary Diseases,Coronary Heart Diseases,Disease, Coronary,Disease, Coronary Heart,Diseases, Coronary,Diseases, Coronary Heart,Heart Disease, Coronary,Heart Diseases, Coronary
D005260 Female Females
D005500 Follow-Up Studies Studies in which individuals or populations are followed to assess the outcome of exposures, procedures, or effects of a characteristic, e.g., occurrence of disease. Followup Studies,Follow Up Studies,Follow-Up Study,Followup Study,Studies, Follow-Up,Studies, Followup,Study, Follow-Up,Study, Followup
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly
D001026 Coronary Artery Bypass Surgical therapy of ischemic coronary artery disease achieved by grafting a section of saphenous vein, internal mammary artery, or other substitute between the aorta and the obstructed coronary artery distal to the obstructive lesion. Aortocoronary Bypass,Bypass, Coronary Artery,Bypass Surgery, Coronary Artery,Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting,Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery,Aortocoronary Bypasses,Artery Bypass, Coronary,Artery Bypasses, Coronary,Bypass, Aortocoronary,Bypasses, Aortocoronary,Bypasses, Coronary Artery,Coronary Artery Bypasses
D015999 Multivariate Analysis A set of techniques used when variation in several variables are studied simultaneously. In statistics, multivariate analysis is interpreted as any analytic method that allows simultaneous study of two or more dependent variables. Analysis, Multivariate,Multivariate Analyses

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