StratBAM: A Discrete-Event Simulation Model to Support Strategic Hospital Bed Capacity Decisions. 2015

Priyantha Devapriya, and Christopher T B Strömblad, and Matthew D Bailey, and Seth Frazier, and John Bulger, and Sharon T Kemberling, and Kenneth E Wood
Geisinger Health System, Danville, PA, USA.

The ability to accurately measure and assess current and potential health care system capacities is an issue of local and national significance. Recent joint statements by the Institute of Medicine and the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality have emphasized the need to apply industrial and systems engineering principles to improving health care quality and patient safety outcomes. To address this need, a decision support tool was developed for planning and budgeting of current and future bed capacity, and evaluating potential process improvement efforts. The Strategic Bed Analysis Model (StratBAM) is a discrete-event simulation model created after a thorough analysis of patient flow and data from Geisinger Health System's (GHS) electronic health records. Key inputs include: timing, quantity and category of patient arrivals and discharges; unit-level length of care; patient paths; and projected patient volume and length of stay. Key outputs include: admission wait time by arrival source and receiving unit, and occupancy rates. Electronic health records were used to estimate parameters for probability distributions and to build empirical distributions for unit-level length of care and for patient paths. Validation of the simulation model against GHS operational data confirmed its ability to model real-world data consistently and accurately. StratBAM was successfully used to evaluate the system impact of forecasted patient volumes and length of stay in terms of patient wait times, occupancy rates, and cost. The model is generalizable and can be appropriately scaled for larger and smaller health care settings.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007902 Length of Stay The period of confinement of a patient to a hospital or other health facility. Hospital Stay,Hospital Stays,Stay Length,Stay Lengths,Stay, Hospital,Stays, Hospital
D003198 Computer Simulation Computer-based representation of physical systems and phenomena such as chemical processes. Computational Modeling,Computational Modelling,Computer Models,In silico Modeling,In silico Models,In silico Simulation,Models, Computer,Computerized Models,Computer Model,Computer Simulations,Computerized Model,In silico Model,Model, Computer,Model, Computerized,Model, In silico,Modeling, Computational,Modeling, In silico,Modelling, Computational,Simulation, Computer,Simulation, In silico,Simulations, Computer
D003661 Decision Support Techniques Mathematical or statistical procedures used as aids in making a decision. They are frequently used in medical decision-making. Decision Analysis,Decision Modeling,Models, Decision Support,Analysis, Decision,Decision Aids,Decision Support Technics,Aid, Decision,Aids, Decision,Analyses, Decision,Decision Aid,Decision Analyses,Decision Support Model,Decision Support Models,Decision Support Technic,Decision Support Technique,Model, Decision Support,Modeling, Decision,Technic, Decision Support,Technics, Decision Support,Technique, Decision Support,Techniques, Decision Support
D006739 Hospital Administration Management of the internal organization of the hospital. Hospital Organization and Administration,Organization and Administration, Hospital,Administration, Hospital
D006742 Hospital Bed Capacity The number of beds which a hospital has been designed and constructed to contain. It may also refer to the number of beds set up and staffed for use. Bed Capacity, Hospital,Bed Size, Hospital,Bed Capacities, Hospital,Bed Size,Bed Sizes,Bed Sizes, Hospital,Capacities, Hospital Bed,Capacity, Hospital Bed,Hospital Bed Size,Hospital Bed Sizes,Size, Bed,Size, Hospital Bed,Sizes, Bed,Sizes, Hospital Bed,Hospital Bed Capacities
D006760 Hospitalization The confinement of a patient in a hospital. Hospitalizations
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D013997 Time Factors Elements of limited time intervals, contributing to particular results or situations. Time Series,Factor, Time,Time Factor
D014481 United States A country in NORTH AMERICA between CANADA and MEXICO.
D014850 Waiting Lists Prospective patient listings for appointments or treatments. List, Waiting,Lists, Waiting,Waiting List

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