Effect of meteorological factors on incidence of tuberculosis: A 15-year retrospective study based on Chinese medicine theory of five circuits and six qi. 2015

Xuan Zhang, and Yu Hao, and Zhan-yang Fei, and Juan He
School of Basic Medicial Science, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100029, China.

OBJECTIVE To analyze the correlations between the incidence of tuberculosis and meteorological factors over the same period and previous periods including 1, 2 and 3 years ago, defined according to the Chinese medicine theory of five circuits (Wu Yun) and six qi, to establish medical-meteorological forecast models for the Beijing area of China. METHODS Data regarding the incidence of tuberculosis between 1990 and 2004 were obtained from the Beijing Center for Disease Control and Prevention, and the data regarding the meteorological factors (including daily average temperatures, wind speeds, precipitations, relative humidities, vapor pressures and low cloud covers) between 1987 and 2004 were collected from the Beijing Meteorological Observatory and analyzed. Descriptive statistics and a back-propagation artificial neural network were adopted to analyze the data. RESULTS There were significant correlations between the incidence of tuberculosis and the meteorological factors in the corresponding year and previous years. Among these correlations, wind speed was the factor with the strongest influence on tuberculosis (the standardized significance was 100%). Additionally, all prediction models would successfully established, suggesting the use of a collection of meteorological factors spanning from three years ago to the present is superior to the use of single data. CONCLUSIONS The incidence of tuberculosis in Beijing area is correlated to meteorological factors in the current year and previous years, which verifies the practicality of the theory of five circuits and six qi.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008516 Medicine, Chinese Traditional A system of traditional medicine which is based on the beliefs and practices of the Chinese culture. Chinese Medicine, Traditional,Chung I Hsueh,Traditional Medicine, Chinese,Zhong Yi Xue,Chinese Traditional Medicine,Traditional Chinese Medicine,Traditional Tongue Assessment,Traditional Tongue Diagnosis,Hsueh, Chung I,Tongue Assessment, Traditional,Tongue Diagnoses, Traditional,Tongue Diagnosis, Traditional,Traditional Tongue Assessments,Traditional Tongue Diagnoses
D008685 Meteorological Concepts The atmospheric properties, characteristics and other atmospheric phenomena especially pertaining to WEATHER or CLIMATE. Meteorological Factors,Meteorologic Factors,Concept, Meteorological,Concepts, Meteorological,Factor, Meteorologic,Factor, Meteorological,Factors, Meteorologic,Factors, Meteorological,Meteorologic Factor,Meteorological Concept,Meteorological Factor
D005544 Forecasting The prediction or projection of the nature of future problems or existing conditions based upon the extrapolation or interpretation of existing scientific data or by the application of scientific methodology. Futurology,Projections and Predictions,Future,Predictions and Projections
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000068476 Beijing Capital of CHINA. Peking
D014376 Tuberculosis Any of the infectious diseases of man and other animals caused by species of MYCOBACTERIUM TUBERCULOSIS. Koch's Disease,Kochs Disease,Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection,Infection, Mycobacterium tuberculosis,Infections, Mycobacterium tuberculosis,Koch Disease,Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infections,Tuberculoses

Related Publications

Xuan Zhang, and Yu Hao, and Zhan-yang Fei, and Juan He
January 2011, Zhonghua yi shi za zhi (Beijing, China : 1980),
Xuan Zhang, and Yu Hao, and Zhan-yang Fei, and Juan He
December 2019, Chinese journal of integrative medicine,
Xuan Zhang, and Yu Hao, and Zhan-yang Fei, and Juan He
December 1987, Journal of traditional Chinese medicine = Chung i tsa chih ying wen pan,
Xuan Zhang, and Yu Hao, and Zhan-yang Fei, and Juan He
April 1987, Zhong xi yi jie he za zhi = Chinese journal of modern developments in traditional medicine,
Xuan Zhang, and Yu Hao, and Zhan-yang Fei, and Juan He
February 2021, PLoS neglected tropical diseases,
Xuan Zhang, and Yu Hao, and Zhan-yang Fei, and Juan He
November 2023, European journal of ophthalmology,
Xuan Zhang, and Yu Hao, and Zhan-yang Fei, and Juan He
February 2023, International journal of environmental research and public health,
Copied contents to your clipboard!