Indications and results of systemic to pulmonary shunts: results from a national database. 2016

Dan Mihai Dorobantu, and Ragini Pandey, and Mansour Taghavi Sharabiani, and Alireza Shahidzadeh Mahani, and Gianni Davide Angelini, and Robin Peter Martin, and Serban Constantin Stoica
Department of Cardiac Surgery, University Hospitals Bristol NHS Trust, Bristol, UK Department of Cardiology, 'Prof. C.C. Iliescu' Emergency Institute for Cardiovascular Diseases, Bucharest, Romania dan.dorobantu@bristol.ac.uk.

OBJECTIVE The systemic-to-pulmonary shunt (SPS) remains an important palliative therapy in many congenital heart defects. Unlike other surgical treatments, the mortality after shunt operations has risen. We used an audit dataset to investigate potential reasons for this change and to report national results. METHODS A total of 1993 patients classified in 13 diagnoses underwent an SPS procedure between 2000 and 2013. Indication trends by era and also results before repair or next stage are reported. A dynamic hazard model with competing risks and modulated renewal was used to determine predictors of outcomes. RESULTS The usage of SPS in Tetralogy of Fallot (ToF) has significantly decreased in the last decade, with cases of single ventricle (SV) and pulmonary atresia (PA) with septal communication increasing (P < 0.001 for trends). This is correlated with an increase of early mortality from 5.1% in the first half of the decade to 9.8% in the latter (P = 0.007 for trend). At 1.5 years, 13.9% of patients have died, 17.8% had a shunt reintervention and 68.3% of patients are alive and reintervention-free. Low weight, PA-intact septum, SV and central shunt type are among the factors associated with increased mortality, whereas PA-ventricular septal defect, corrected transposition, isomerism, central shunt and low weight are among those associated with increased reintervention, also having a dynamic effect on the relative risk when compared with ToF patients. Shunt reinterventions are not associated with worse outcomes when adjusted by other covariates, but they do have higher 30-day mortality if occurring earlier than 30 days from the index (P < 0.001). Patients operated in later years were found to have significantly lower survival at a distance from index. CONCLUSIONS The observed historical rise in mortality for shunt operations relates to complex factors including changing practice for repair of ToF and for univentricular palliation. PA and SV patients are the groups of patients at the highest risk of death. Small size, shunt type and underlying anatomical defect are the main determinants of outcomes. Trends in indication and mortality seem to indicate that more severely ill patients benefit from shunting, but with an increase in mortality.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007223 Infant A child between 1 and 23 months of age. Infants
D007231 Infant, Newborn An infant during the first 28 days after birth. Neonate,Newborns,Infants, Newborn,Neonates,Newborn,Newborn Infant,Newborn Infants
D008297 Male Males
D008485 Medical Audit A detailed review and evaluation of selected clinical records by qualified professional personnel for evaluating quality of medical care. Audit, Medical,Audits, Medical,Medical Audits
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D012086 Reoperation A repeat operation for the same condition in the same patient due to disease progression or recurrence, or as followup to failed previous surgery. Revision, Joint,Revision, Surgical,Surgery, Repeat,Surgical Revision,Repeat Surgery,Revision Surgery,Joint Revision,Revision Surgeries,Surgery, Revision
D005260 Female Females
D006113 United Kingdom Country in northwestern Europe including Great Britain and the northern one-sixth of the island of Ireland, located between the North Sea and north Atlantic Ocean. The capital is London. Great Britain,Isle of Man
D006330 Heart Defects, Congenital Developmental abnormalities involving structures of the heart. These defects are present at birth but may be discovered later in life. Congenital Heart Disease,Heart Abnormalities,Abnormality, Heart,Congenital Heart Defect,Congenital Heart Defects,Defects, Congenital Heart,Heart Defect, Congenital,Heart, Malformation Of,Congenital Heart Diseases,Defect, Congenital Heart,Disease, Congenital Heart,Heart Abnormality,Heart Disease, Congenital,Malformation Of Heart,Malformation Of Hearts
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man

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