Clinical signs that predict death in children with severe pneumonia. 1989

F Shann, and J Barker, and P Poore
Goroka Hospital (FS), Kundiawa Hospital, Papua New Guinea.

It is important to define clinical signs that can be used to identify children who have a high risk of dying from pneumonia so that these children can be given more intensive therapy. We prospectively studied 748 children in Papua New Guinea who had severe pneumonia, as defined by the World Health Organization. There was a very high mortality in children with a prolonged illness, severe roentgenogram changes, cyanosis, leukocytosis, hepatomegaly or inability to feed, and there was a trend toward a higher mortality in children with grunting or severe chest indrawing. Afebrile malnourished children had a particularly high mortality, but afebrile children had an increased mortality only if they were malnourished, and malnourished children had an increased mortality only if they were afebrile. Mortality was not increased in very young children or in children with tachypnea or tachycardia. The World Health Organization has suggested that most children with pneumonia in developing countries can be treated with penicillin but has recommended that children who are cyanotic or too sick to feed be treated with chloramphenicol because of their high risk of dying; our findings confirm that children who are cyanotic or too sick to feed have a very high risk of dying from pneumonia.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007223 Infant A child between 1 and 23 months of age. Infants
D007964 Leukocytosis A transient increase in the number of leukocytes in a body fluid. Pleocytosis,Leukocytoses,Pleocytoses
D009752 Nutritional Status State of the body in relation to the consumption and utilization of nutrients. Nutrition Status,Status, Nutrition,Status, Nutritional
D010219 Papua New Guinea A country consisting of the eastern half of the island of New Guinea and adjacent islands, including New Britain, New Ireland, the Admiralty Islands, and New Hanover in the Bismarck Archipelago; Bougainville and Buka in the northern Solomon Islands; the D'Entrecasteaux and Trobriand Islands; Woodlark (Murua) Island; and the Louisiade Archipelago. It became independent on September 16, 1975. Formerly, the southern part was the Australian Territory of Papua, and the northern part was the UN Trust Territory of New Guinea, administered by Australia. They were administratively merged in 1949 and named Papua and New Guinea, and renamed Papua New Guinea in 1971. New Guinea, East,New Guinea, Papua
D011014 Pneumonia Infection of the lung often accompanied by inflammation. Experimental Lung Inflammation,Lobar Pneumonia,Lung Inflammation,Pneumonia, Lobar,Pneumonitis,Pulmonary Inflammation,Experimental Lung Inflammations,Inflammation, Experimental Lung,Inflammation, Lung,Inflammation, Pulmonary,Inflammations, Lung,Inflammations, Pulmonary,Lobar Pneumonias,Lung Inflammation, Experimental,Lung Inflammations,Lung Inflammations, Experimental,Pneumonias,Pneumonias, Lobar,Pneumonitides,Pulmonary Inflammations
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D011446 Prospective Studies Observation of a population for a sufficient number of persons over a sufficient number of years to generate incidence or mortality rates subsequent to the selection of the study group. Prospective Study,Studies, Prospective,Study, Prospective
D011674 Pulse The rhythmical expansion and contraction of an ARTERY produced by waves of pressure caused by the ejection of BLOOD from the left ventricle of the HEART as it contracts. Pulses
D012119 Respiration The act of breathing with the LUNGS, consisting of INHALATION, or the taking into the lungs of the ambient air, and of EXHALATION, or the expelling of the modified air which contains more CARBON DIOXIDE than the air taken in (Blakiston's Gould Medical Dictionary, 4th ed.). This does not include tissue respiration ( Breathing

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