Strategies for power calculations in predictive biomarker studies in survival data. 2016

Dung-Tsa Chen, and Po-Yu Huang, and Hui-Yi Lin, and Eric B Haura, and Scott J Antonia, and W Douglas Cress, and Jhanelle E Gray
Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, FL, USA.

OBJECTIVE Biomarkers and genomic signatures represent potentially predictive tools for precision medicine. Validation of predictive biomarkers in prospective or retrospective studies requires statistical justification of power and sample size. However, the design of these studies is complex and the statistical methods and associated software are limited, especially in survival data. Herein, we address common statistical design issues relevant to these two types of studies and provide guidance and a general template for analysis. METHODS A statistical interaction effect in the Cox proportional hazards model is used to describe predictive biomarkers. The analytic form by Peterson et al. and Lachin is utilized to calculate the statistical power for both prospective and retrospective studies. RESULTS We demonstrate that the common mistake of using only Hazard Ratio's Ratio (HRR) or two hazard ratios (HRs) can mislead power calculations. We establish that the appropriate parameter settings for prospective studies require median survival time (MST) in 4 subgroups (treatment and control in positive biomarker, treatment and control in negative biomarker). For the retrospective study which has fixed survival time and censored status, we develop a strategy to harmonize the hypothesized parameters and the study cohort. Moreover, we provide an easily-adapted R software application to generate a template of statistical plan for predictive biomarker validation so investigators can easily incorporate into their study proposals. CONCLUSIONS Our study provides guidance and software to help biostatisticians and clinicians design sound clinical studies for testing predictive biomarkers.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D009369 Neoplasms New abnormal growth of tissue. Malignant neoplasms show a greater degree of anaplasia and have the properties of invasion and metastasis, compared to benign neoplasms. Benign Neoplasm,Cancer,Malignant Neoplasm,Tumor,Tumors,Benign Neoplasms,Malignancy,Malignant Neoplasms,Neoplasia,Neoplasm,Neoplasms, Benign,Cancers,Malignancies,Neoplasias,Neoplasm, Benign,Neoplasm, Malignant,Neoplasms, Malignant
D011446 Prospective Studies Observation of a population for a sufficient number of persons over a sufficient number of years to generate incidence or mortality rates subsequent to the selection of the study group. Prospective Study,Studies, Prospective,Study, Prospective
D012107 Research Design A plan for collecting and utilizing data so that desired information can be obtained with sufficient precision or so that an hypothesis can be tested properly. Experimental Design,Data Adjustment,Data Reporting,Design, Experimental,Designs, Experimental,Error Sources,Experimental Designs,Matched Groups,Methodology, Research,Problem Formulation,Research Methodology,Research Proposal,Research Strategy,Research Technics,Research Techniques,Scoring Methods,Adjustment, Data,Adjustments, Data,Data Adjustments,Design, Research,Designs, Research,Error Source,Formulation, Problem,Formulations, Problem,Group, Matched,Groups, Matched,Matched Group,Method, Scoring,Methods, Scoring,Problem Formulations,Proposal, Research,Proposals, Research,Reporting, Data,Research Designs,Research Proposals,Research Strategies,Research Technic,Research Technique,Scoring Method,Source, Error,Sources, Error,Strategies, Research,Strategy, Research,Technic, Research,Technics, Research,Technique, Research,Techniques, Research
D003627 Data Interpretation, Statistical Application of statistical procedures to analyze specific observed or assumed facts from a particular study. Data Analysis, Statistical,Data Interpretations, Statistical,Interpretation, Statistical Data,Statistical Data Analysis,Statistical Data Interpretation,Analyses, Statistical Data,Analysis, Statistical Data,Data Analyses, Statistical,Interpretations, Statistical Data,Statistical Data Analyses,Statistical Data Interpretations
D005819 Genetic Markers A phenotypically recognizable genetic trait which can be used to identify a genetic locus, a linkage group, or a recombination event. Chromosome Markers,DNA Markers,Markers, DNA,Markers, Genetic,Genetic Marker,Marker, Genetic,Chromosome Marker,DNA Marker,Marker, Chromosome,Marker, DNA,Markers, Chromosome
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D012189 Retrospective Studies Studies used to test etiologic hypotheses in which inferences about an exposure to putative causal factors are derived from data relating to characteristics of persons under study or to events or experiences in their past. The essential feature is that some of the persons under study have the disease or outcome of interest and their characteristics are compared with those of unaffected persons. Retrospective Study,Studies, Retrospective,Study, Retrospective
D013997 Time Factors Elements of limited time intervals, contributing to particular results or situations. Time Series,Factor, Time,Time Factor
D014408 Biomarkers, Tumor Molecular products metabolized and secreted by neoplastic tissue and characterized biochemically in cells or BODY FLUIDS. They are indicators of tumor stage and grade as well as useful for monitoring responses to treatment and predicting recurrence. Many chemical groups are represented including HORMONES; ANTIGENS; amino and NUCLEIC ACIDS; ENZYMES; POLYAMINES; and specific CELL MEMBRANE PROTEINS and LIPIDS. Biochemical Tumor Marker,Cancer Biomarker,Carcinogen Markers,Markers, Tumor,Metabolite Markers, Neoplasm,Tumor Biomarker,Tumor Marker,Tumor Markers, Biochemical,Tumor Markers, Biological,Biochemical Tumor Markers,Biological Tumor Marker,Biological Tumor Markers,Biomarkers, Cancer,Marker, Biochemical Tumor,Marker, Biologic Tumor,Marker, Biological Tumor,Marker, Neoplasm Metabolite,Marker, Tumor Metabolite,Markers, Biochemical Tumor,Markers, Biological Tumor,Markers, Neoplasm Metabolite,Markers, Tumor Metabolite,Metabolite Markers, Tumor,Neoplasm Metabolite Markers,Tumor Markers, Biologic,Tumor Metabolite Marker,Biologic Tumor Marker,Biologic Tumor Markers,Biomarker, Cancer,Biomarker, Tumor,Cancer Biomarkers,Marker, Tumor,Markers, Biologic Tumor,Markers, Carcinogen,Metabolite Marker, Neoplasm,Metabolite Marker, Tumor,Neoplasm Metabolite Marker,Tumor Biomarkers,Tumor Marker, Biochemical,Tumor Marker, Biologic,Tumor Marker, Biological,Tumor Markers,Tumor Metabolite Markers
D015203 Reproducibility of Results The statistical reproducibility of measurements (often in a clinical context), including the testing of instrumentation or techniques to obtain reproducible results. The concept includes reproducibility of physiological measurements, which may be used to develop rules to assess probability or prognosis, or response to a stimulus; reproducibility of occurrence of a condition; and reproducibility of experimental results. Reliability and Validity,Reliability of Result,Reproducibility Of Result,Reproducibility of Finding,Validity of Result,Validity of Results,Face Validity,Reliability (Epidemiology),Reliability of Results,Reproducibility of Findings,Test-Retest Reliability,Validity (Epidemiology),Finding Reproducibilities,Finding Reproducibility,Of Result, Reproducibility,Of Results, Reproducibility,Reliabilities, Test-Retest,Reliability, Test-Retest,Result Reliabilities,Result Reliability,Result Validities,Result Validity,Result, Reproducibility Of,Results, Reproducibility Of,Test Retest Reliability,Validity and Reliability,Validity, Face

Related Publications

Dung-Tsa Chen, and Po-Yu Huang, and Hui-Yi Lin, and Eric B Haura, and Scott J Antonia, and W Douglas Cress, and Jhanelle E Gray
May 2004, Genetic epidemiology,
Dung-Tsa Chen, and Po-Yu Huang, and Hui-Yi Lin, and Eric B Haura, and Scott J Antonia, and W Douglas Cress, and Jhanelle E Gray
January 2004, Human heredity,
Dung-Tsa Chen, and Po-Yu Huang, and Hui-Yi Lin, and Eric B Haura, and Scott J Antonia, and W Douglas Cress, and Jhanelle E Gray
June 2012, Cold Spring Harbor protocols,
Dung-Tsa Chen, and Po-Yu Huang, and Hui-Yi Lin, and Eric B Haura, and Scott J Antonia, and W Douglas Cress, and Jhanelle E Gray
January 2009, International journal of knowledge engineering and soft data paradigms,
Dung-Tsa Chen, and Po-Yu Huang, and Hui-Yi Lin, and Eric B Haura, and Scott J Antonia, and W Douglas Cress, and Jhanelle E Gray
December 1988, Biometrics,
Dung-Tsa Chen, and Po-Yu Huang, and Hui-Yi Lin, and Eric B Haura, and Scott J Antonia, and W Douglas Cress, and Jhanelle E Gray
November 2003, American journal of industrial medicine,
Dung-Tsa Chen, and Po-Yu Huang, and Hui-Yi Lin, and Eric B Haura, and Scott J Antonia, and W Douglas Cress, and Jhanelle E Gray
October 2010, Biometrical journal. Biometrische Zeitschrift,
Dung-Tsa Chen, and Po-Yu Huang, and Hui-Yi Lin, and Eric B Haura, and Scott J Antonia, and W Douglas Cress, and Jhanelle E Gray
April 2016, Statistics in medicine,
Dung-Tsa Chen, and Po-Yu Huang, and Hui-Yi Lin, and Eric B Haura, and Scott J Antonia, and W Douglas Cress, and Jhanelle E Gray
July 2009, Statistics in medicine,
Dung-Tsa Chen, and Po-Yu Huang, and Hui-Yi Lin, and Eric B Haura, and Scott J Antonia, and W Douglas Cress, and Jhanelle E Gray
May 2022, Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science,
Copied contents to your clipboard!