Regression analyses of prognostic factors in metastatic malignant melanoma. 1989

K Heimdal, and E Hannisdal, and S Gundersen
Department of Medical Oncology and Radiotherapy, Norwegian Radium Hospital, Oslo, Norway.

Patients entered into phase II trials in metastatic malignant melanoma should be carefully selected in order to ensure that they live long enough to permit a meaningful evaluation of the efficacy of a given drug. In this selection emphasis has been put on performance status. However, also for patients with a good performance status, survival is often short. The purpose of this study has been to identify supplementary prognostic factors as these could be of help in the design of phase II trials. From 1978-1986, 177 consecutive patients were given various chemotherapy regimens for metastatic malignant melanoma in the Norwegian Radium Hospital. About 92% had a performance status of ECOG 0-2. Median survival was 4.0 months (0-30 months). Multivariate survival analysis selected lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) greater than 450 U/l, presence of brain metastases, leukocyte count greater than 10 x 10(9)/l, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) greater than 15 mm/h as significant prognostic factors indicating short survival with low probability of surviving 3 months. Patients with normal values of LDH, leukocyte count, and ESR had a median survival of 11.5 months with 94% surviving 3 months. We conclude that this information could have an impact on the design of phase II trials.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008545 Melanoma A malignant neoplasm derived from cells that are capable of forming melanin, which may occur in the skin of any part of the body, in the eye, or, rarely, in the mucous membranes of the genitalia, anus, oral cavity, or other sites. It occurs mostly in adults and may originate de novo or from a pigmented nevus or malignant lentigo. Melanomas frequently metastasize widely, and the regional lymph nodes, liver, lungs, and brain are likely to be involved. The incidence of malignant skin melanomas is rising rapidly in all parts of the world. (Stedman, 25th ed; from Rook et al., Textbook of Dermatology, 4th ed, p2445) Malignant Melanoma,Malignant Melanomas,Melanoma, Malignant,Melanomas,Melanomas, Malignant
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D012044 Regression Analysis Procedures for finding the mathematical function which best describes the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. In linear regression (see LINEAR MODELS) the relationship is constrained to be a straight line and LEAST-SQUARES ANALYSIS is used to determine the best fit. In logistic regression (see LOGISTIC MODELS) the dependent variable is qualitative rather than continuously variable and LIKELIHOOD FUNCTIONS are used to find the best relationship. In multiple regression, the dependent variable is considered to depend on more than a single independent variable. Regression Diagnostics,Statistical Regression,Analysis, Regression,Analyses, Regression,Diagnostics, Regression,Regression Analyses,Regression, Statistical,Regressions, Statistical,Statistical Regressions
D002648 Child A person 6 to 12 years of age. An individual 2 to 5 years old is CHILD, PRESCHOOL. Children
D002675 Child, Preschool A child between the ages of 2 and 5. Children, Preschool,Preschool Child,Preschool Children
D004341 Drug Evaluation Any process by which toxicity, metabolism, absorption, elimination, preferred route of administration, safe dosage range, etc., for a drug or group of drugs is determined through clinical assessment in humans or veterinary animals. Evaluation Studies, Drug,Drug Evaluation Studies,Drug Evaluation Study,Drug Evaluations,Evaluation Study, Drug,Evaluation, Drug,Evaluations, Drug,Studies, Drug Evaluation,Study, Drug Evaluation
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man

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