Chronic bioassays: relevance to quantitative risk assessment of carcinogens. 1989

J P Rieth, and T B Starr
Chemical Industry Institute of Toxicology, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27709.

Conventional carcinogenic potency estimates for chemicals have been compared across rodent species. The high correlations previously demonstrated between maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) for chemicals identified as positive carcinogens in both rats and mice (r = 0.83, n = 83) are shown to occur also for chemicals that were negative in both species (r = 0.85, n = 51), for chemicals causing tumors in rats but not mice (r = 0.55, n = 15), and for those causing tumors in mice but not rats (r = 0.68, n = 25). Corresponding upper-bound estimates of carcinogenic potency are also highly correlated across rodent species. The correlations arise from (i) the strong interspecies correlation between maximum doses tested in chronic bioassays, (ii) the small group sizes utilized, and (iii) the narrow range of doses typically tested. These factors constrain conventional ML and upper-bound potency estimates to lie very close to the inverse maximum doses tested, irrespective of the bioassay's qualitative outcomes. The potency estimates are thus artifacts of experimental design and would seem to provide little information on the actual human cancer risks from chemical exposure. Risk assessment models can reveal true potency differences across species, but they must incorporate relevant mechanistic information before quantitative risk extrapolation from rodents to humans is scientifically defensible.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D011916 Rats, Inbred F344 An inbred strain of rat that is used for general BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH purposes. Fischer Rats,Rats, Inbred CDF,Rats, Inbred Fischer 344,Rats, F344,Rats, Inbred Fisher 344,CDF Rat, Inbred,CDF Rats, Inbred,F344 Rat,F344 Rat, Inbred,F344 Rats,F344 Rats, Inbred,Inbred CDF Rat,Inbred CDF Rats,Inbred F344 Rat,Inbred F344 Rats,Rat, F344,Rat, Inbred CDF,Rat, Inbred F344,Rats, Fischer
D002273 Carcinogens Substances that increase the risk of NEOPLASMS in humans or animals. Both genotoxic chemicals, which affect DNA directly, and nongenotoxic chemicals, which induce neoplasms by other mechanism, are included. Carcinogen,Oncogen,Oncogens,Tumor Initiator,Tumor Initiators,Tumor Promoter,Tumor Promoters,Initiator, Tumor,Initiators, Tumor,Promoter, Tumor,Promoters, Tumor
D002908 Chronic Disease Diseases which have one or more of the following characteristics: they are permanent, leave residual disability, are caused by nonreversible pathological alteration, require special training of the patient for rehabilitation, or may be expected to require a long period of supervision, observation, or care (Dictionary of Health Services Management, 2d ed). For epidemiological studies chronic disease often includes HEART DISEASES; STROKE; CANCER; and diabetes (DIABETES MELLITUS, TYPE 2). Chronic Condition,Chronic Illness,Chronically Ill,Chronic Conditions,Chronic Diseases,Chronic Illnesses,Condition, Chronic,Disease, Chronic,Illness, Chronic
D005260 Female Females
D000818 Animals Unicellular or multicellular, heterotrophic organisms, that have sensation and the power of voluntary movement. Under the older five kingdom paradigm, Animalia was one of the kingdoms. Under the modern three domain model, Animalia represents one of the many groups in the domain EUKARYOTA. Animal,Metazoa,Animalia
D012306 Risk The probability that an event will occur. It encompasses a variety of measures of the probability of a generally unfavorable outcome. Relative Risk,Relative Risks,Risk, Relative,Risks,Risks, Relative
D013045 Species Specificity The restriction of a characteristic behavior, anatomical structure or physical system, such as immune response; metabolic response, or gene or gene variant to the members of one species. It refers to that property which differentiates one species from another but it is also used for phylogenetic levels higher or lower than the species. Species Specificities,Specificities, Species,Specificity, Species
D051379 Mice The common name for the genus Mus. Mice, House,Mus,Mus musculus,Mice, Laboratory,Mouse,Mouse, House,Mouse, Laboratory,Mouse, Swiss,Mus domesticus,Mus musculus domesticus,Swiss Mice,House Mice,House Mouse,Laboratory Mice,Laboratory Mouse,Mice, Swiss,Swiss Mouse,domesticus, Mus musculus
D051381 Rats The common name for the genus Rattus. Rattus,Rats, Laboratory,Rats, Norway,Rattus norvegicus,Laboratory Rat,Laboratory Rats,Norway Rat,Norway Rats,Rat,Rat, Laboratory,Rat, Norway,norvegicus, Rattus

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