Predicting the risk of osteopenia for women aged 40-55 years. 2017

Jen-Hau Chen, and Yen-Ching Chen, and Min-Kuang Tsai, and Jeng-Min Chiou, and Wen-Chung Lee, and Chwen-Keng Tsao, and Keh-Sung Tsai, and Wei-Chu Chie
Department of Geriatrics and Gerontology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan; Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.

OBJECTIVE Osteoporosis has been linked to an increased fracture risk and subsequent mortality in the later life. Previous prediction models have focused on osteoporosis in postmenopausal women; however, a prediction tool for osteopenia is needed. Our objective was to establish a prediction model for osteopenia risk in women aged 40-55 years. METHODS This was a cross-sectional study. A total of 1350 Taiwanese women aged 40-55 years were recruited from a health checkup center from 2009 to 2010. The main outcome measure was osteopenia (-1≥bone mineral density T-score > -2.5). RESULTS The Osteoporosis Preclinical Assessment Tool (OPAT) developed in this study was based on variables with biological importance to osteopenia and variables that remained significant (p<0.05) in the multivariable analysis, which include age, menopausal status, weight, and alkaline phosphatase level. The OPAT has a total score that ranges from 0 to 7, and categorizes women into high-, moderate-, and low-risk groups. The predictive ability of the OPAT (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve=0.77) was significantly better than that of the Osteoporosis Self-assessment Tool for Asians (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve=0.69). The inclusion of serum total alkaline phosphatase level in the model, which is easy to obtain from routine health checkups, significantly enhanced the sensitivity (McNemar test, p=0.004) for detecting osteopenia in women aged 40-55 years. CONCLUSIONS Our findings provide an important tool for identifying women at risk of osteoporosis at the preclinical phase.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D001851 Bone Diseases, Metabolic Diseases that affect the METABOLIC PROCESSES of BONE TISSUE. Low Bone Density,Low Bone Mineral Density,Osteopenia,Metabolic Bone Diseases,Bone Density, Low,Bone Disease, Metabolic,Low Bone Densities,Metabolic Bone Disease,Osteopenias
D003430 Cross-Sectional Studies Studies in which the presence or absence of disease or other health-related variables are determined in each member of the study population or in a representative sample at one particular time. This contrasts with LONGITUDINAL STUDIES which are followed over a period of time. Disease Frequency Surveys,Prevalence Studies,Analysis, Cross-Sectional,Cross Sectional Analysis,Cross-Sectional Survey,Surveys, Disease Frequency,Analyses, Cross Sectional,Analyses, Cross-Sectional,Analysis, Cross Sectional,Cross Sectional Analyses,Cross Sectional Studies,Cross Sectional Survey,Cross-Sectional Analyses,Cross-Sectional Analysis,Cross-Sectional Study,Cross-Sectional Surveys,Disease Frequency Survey,Prevalence Study,Studies, Cross-Sectional,Studies, Prevalence,Study, Cross-Sectional,Study, Prevalence,Survey, Cross-Sectional,Survey, Disease Frequency,Surveys, Cross-Sectional
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D012307 Risk Factors An aspect of personal behavior or lifestyle, environmental exposure, inborn or inherited characteristic, which, based on epidemiological evidence, is known to be associated with a health-related condition considered important to prevent. Health Correlates,Risk Factor Scores,Risk Scores,Social Risk Factors,Population at Risk,Populations at Risk,Correlates, Health,Factor, Risk,Factor, Social Risk,Factors, Social Risk,Risk Factor,Risk Factor Score,Risk Factor, Social,Risk Factors, Social,Risk Score,Score, Risk,Score, Risk Factor,Social Risk Factor
D012372 ROC Curve A graphic means for assessing the ability of a screening test to discriminate between healthy and diseased persons; may also be used in other studies, e.g., distinguishing stimuli responses as to a faint stimuli or nonstimuli. ROC Analysis,Receiver Operating Characteristic,Analysis, ROC,Analyses, ROC,Characteristic, Receiver Operating,Characteristics, Receiver Operating,Curve, ROC,Curves, ROC,ROC Analyses,ROC Curves,Receiver Operating Characteristics
D012647 Self-Assessment Appraisal of one's own personal qualities or traits. Self Assessment,Self Assessment (Psychology),Assessment, Self,Self-Criticism,Assessment, Self (Psychology),Assessments, Self,Assessments, Self (Psychology),Self Assessments,Self Assessments (Psychology),Self Criticism,Self-Assessments,Self-Criticisms
D013624 Taiwan Country in eastern Asia, islands bordering the East China Sea, Philippine Sea, South China Sea, and Taiwan Strait, north of the Philippines, off the southeastern coast of China. The capital is Taipei. The alternate country name is Republic of China. Formosa,Republic of China

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