Prediction of Adverse Events in Patients Undergoing Major Cardiovascular Procedures. 2017

Bobak J Mortazavi, and Nihar Desai, and Jing Zhang, and Andreas Coppi, and Fred Warner, and Harlan M Krumholz, and Sahand Negahban

Electronic health records (EHR) provide opportunities to leverage vast arrays of data to help prevent adverse events, improve patient outcomes, and reduce hospital costs. This paper develops a postoperative complications prediction system by extracting data from the EHR and creating features. The analytic engine then provides model accuracy, calibration, feature ranking, and personalized feature responses. This allows clinicians to interpret the likelihood of an adverse event occurring, general causes for these events, and the contributing factors for each specific patient. The patient cohort considered was 5214 patients in Yale-New Haven Hospital undergoing major cardiovascular procedures. Cohort-specific models predicted the likelihood of postoperative respiratory failure and infection, and achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.81 for respiratory failure and 0.83 for infection.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D011183 Postoperative Complications Pathologic processes that affect patients after a surgical procedure. They may or may not be related to the disease for which the surgery was done, and they may or may not be direct results of the surgery. Complication, Postoperative,Complications, Postoperative,Postoperative Complication
D006348 Cardiac Surgical Procedures Surgery performed on the heart. Cardiac Surgical Procedure,Heart Surgical Procedure,Heart Surgical Procedures,Procedure, Cardiac Surgical,Procedure, Heart Surgical,Procedures, Cardiac Surgical,Procedures, Heart Surgical,Surgical Procedure, Cardiac,Surgical Procedure, Heart,Surgical Procedures, Cardiac,Surgical Procedures, Heart
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000069550 Machine Learning A type of ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE that enable COMPUTERS to independently initiate and execute LEARNING when exposed to new data. Transfer Learning,Learning, Machine,Learning, Transfer
D015233 Models, Statistical Statistical formulations or analyses which, when applied to data and found to fit the data, are then used to verify the assumptions and parameters used in the analysis. Examples of statistical models are the linear model, binomial model, polynomial model, two-parameter model, etc. Probabilistic Models,Statistical Models,Two-Parameter Models,Model, Statistical,Models, Binomial,Models, Polynomial,Statistical Model,Binomial Model,Binomial Models,Model, Binomial,Model, Polynomial,Model, Probabilistic,Model, Two-Parameter,Models, Probabilistic,Models, Two-Parameter,Polynomial Model,Polynomial Models,Probabilistic Model,Two Parameter Models,Two-Parameter Model
D057286 Electronic Health Records Media that facilitate transportability of pertinent information concerning patient's illness across varied providers and geographic locations. Some versions include direct linkages to online CONSUMER HEALTH INFORMATION that is relevant to the health conditions and treatments related to a specific patient. Electronic Health Record Data,Electronic Medical Record,Electronic Medical Records,Computerized Medical Record,Computerized Medical Records,Electronic Health Record,Medical Record, Computerized,Medical Records, Computerized,Health Record, Electronic,Health Records, Electronic,Medical Record, Electronic,Medical Records, Electronic

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