Serum calcium as an indicator of persistent organ failure in acute pancreatitis. 2017

Tao Peng, and Xin Peng, and Min Huang, and Jing Cui, and Yushun Zhang, and Heshui Wu, and Chunyou Wang
Pancreatic Disease Institute, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, Hubei Province, People's Republic of China.

OBJECTIVE Decreased level of serum calcium was commonly seen in critical illness. Hypocalcemia was significantly more frequent in patients with severe form of acute pancreatitis (AP), and a negative correlation was observed between endotoxemia and serum calcium in AP. AP patients with persistent organ failure (POF) show an extremely high mortality. The association underlying calcium and POF in AP has not been characterized. METHODS We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients who presented within 72hours from symptom onset of AP at our center between January 2014 and May 2015. Demographic parameters on admission, organ failure assessment, laboratory data and in-hospital mortality were compared between patients with and without POF. Uni-and multi-variate logistic regression analyses were utilized to evaluated the predictive ability of serum calcium. RESULTS A total of 128 consecutive AP patients, including 29 with POF, were included. Compared to patients without POF, patients with POF showed a significantly lower value of serum calcium on admission (2.11±0.46 vs. 1.55±0.36mmol/L, P<0.001). After multivariate logistic analysis, serum calcium remained an independent risk factor for POF (Hazard ratio 0.21, 95% confident interval: 0.08-0.58; P=0.002). A calcium value of 1.97mmol/L predicted POF with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.888, a sensitivity with 89.7% and specificity with 74.8%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Our results indicate that serum calcium on admission is independently associated with POF in AP and may serve as a potential prognostic factor.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D009102 Multiple Organ Failure A progressive condition usually characterized by combined failure of several organs such as the lungs, liver, kidney, along with some clotting mechanisms, usually postinjury or postoperative. MODS,Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome,Organ Dysfunction Syndrome, Multiple,Organ Failure, Multiple,Failure, Multiple Organ,Multiple Organ Failures
D010195 Pancreatitis INFLAMMATION of the PANCREAS. Pancreatitis is classified as acute unless there are computed tomographic or endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatographic findings of CHRONIC PANCREATITIS (International Symposium on Acute Pancreatitis, Atlanta, 1992). The two most common forms of acute pancreatitis are ALCOHOLIC PANCREATITIS and gallstone pancreatitis. Acute Edematous Pancreatitis,Acute Pancreatitis,Pancreatic Parenchyma with Edema,Pancreatic Parenchymal Edema,Pancreatitis, Acute,Pancreatitis, Acute Edematous,Peripancreatic Fat Necrosis,Acute Edematous Pancreatitides,Acute Pancreatitides,Edema, Pancreatic Parenchymal,Edematous Pancreatitides, Acute,Edematous Pancreatitis, Acute,Fat Necrosis, Peripancreatic,Necrosis, Peripancreatic Fat,Pancreatic Parenchymal Edemas,Pancreatitides, Acute,Pancreatitides, Acute Edematous,Parenchymal Edema, Pancreatic,Peripancreatic Fat Necroses
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D002681 China A country spanning from central Asia to the Pacific Ocean. Inner Mongolia,Manchuria,People's Republic of China,Sinkiang,Mainland China
D004635 Emergency Medicine The branch of medicine concerned with the evaluation and initial treatment of urgent and emergent medical problems, such as those caused by accidents, trauma, sudden illness, poisoning, or disasters. Emergency medical care can be provided at the hospital or at sites outside the medical facility. Medicine, Emergency
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man

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