Seasonal variation in child mortality in rural Guinea-Bissau. 2017

Bibi Uhre Nielsen, and Stine Byberg, and Peter Aaby, and Amabelia Rodrigues, and Christine Stabell Benn, and Ane Baerent Fisker
Bandim Health Project, INDEPTH Network, Bissau, Guinea-Bissau.

In many African countries, child mortality is higher in the rainy season than in the dry season. We investigated the effect of season on child mortality by time periods, sex and age in rural Guinea-Bissau. Bandim health project follows children under-five in a health and demographic surveillance system in rural Guinea-Bissau. We compared the mortality in the rainy season (June to November) between 1990 and 2013 with the mortality in the dry season (December to May) in Cox proportional hazards models providing rainy vs. dry season mortality rate ratios (r/d-mrr). Seasonal effects were estimated in strata defined by time periods with different frequency of vaccination campaigns, sex and age (<1 month, 1-11 months, 12-59 months). Verbal autopsies were interpreted using InterVa-4 software. From 1990 to 2013, overall mortality was declined by almost two-thirds among 81 292 children (10 588 deaths). Mortality was 51% (95% ci: 45-58%) higher in the rainy season than in the dry season throughout the study period. The seasonal difference increased significantly with age, the r/d-mrr being 0.94 (0.86-1.03) among neonates, 1.57 (1.46-1.69) in post-neonatal infants and 1.83 (1.72-1.95) in under-five children (P for same effect <0.001). According to the InterVa, malaria deaths were the main reason for the seasonal mortality difference, causing 50% of all deaths in the rainy season, but only if the InterVa included season of death, making the argument self-confirmatory. The mortality declined throughout the study, yet rainy season continued to be associated with 51% higher overall mortality.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007223 Infant A child between 1 and 23 months of age. Infants
D007231 Infant, Newborn An infant during the first 28 days after birth. Neonate,Newborns,Infants, Newborn,Neonates,Newborn,Newborn Infant,Newborn Infants
D008297 Male Males
D002675 Child, Preschool A child between the ages of 2 and 5. Children, Preschool,Preschool Child,Preschool Children
D002980 Climate The longterm manifestations of WEATHER. (McGraw-Hill Dictionary of Scientific and Technical Terms, 6th ed) Climates
D005260 Female Females
D006169 Guinea-Bissau A republic in western Africa, south of SENEGAL and west of GUINEA. Its capital is Bissau. Guinea, Portuguese,Portuguese Guinea,Guinea-Bissau, Republic of,Republic of Guinea-Bissau
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000367 Age Factors Age as a constituent element or influence contributing to the production of a result. It may be applicable to the cause or the effect of a circumstance. It is used with human or animal concepts but should be differentiated from AGING, a physiological process, and TIME FACTORS which refers only to the passage of time. Age Reporting,Age Factor,Factor, Age,Factors, Age
D012424 Rural Population The inhabitants of rural areas or of small towns classified as rural. Rural Residence,Rural Communities,Rural Spatial Distribution,Communities, Rural,Community, Rural,Distribution, Rural Spatial,Distributions, Rural Spatial,Population, Rural,Populations, Rural,Residence, Rural,Rural Community,Rural Populations,Rural Residences,Rural Spatial Distributions

Related Publications

Bibi Uhre Nielsen, and Stine Byberg, and Peter Aaby, and Amabelia Rodrigues, and Christine Stabell Benn, and Ane Baerent Fisker
July 1983, Lancet (London, England),
Bibi Uhre Nielsen, and Stine Byberg, and Peter Aaby, and Amabelia Rodrigues, and Christine Stabell Benn, and Ane Baerent Fisker
December 2015, The Pediatric infectious disease journal,
Bibi Uhre Nielsen, and Stine Byberg, and Peter Aaby, and Amabelia Rodrigues, and Christine Stabell Benn, and Ane Baerent Fisker
March 2014, Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene,
Bibi Uhre Nielsen, and Stine Byberg, and Peter Aaby, and Amabelia Rodrigues, and Christine Stabell Benn, and Ane Baerent Fisker
September 2011, BMC public health,
Bibi Uhre Nielsen, and Stine Byberg, and Peter Aaby, and Amabelia Rodrigues, and Christine Stabell Benn, and Ane Baerent Fisker
April 2004, International journal of epidemiology,
Bibi Uhre Nielsen, and Stine Byberg, and Peter Aaby, and Amabelia Rodrigues, and Christine Stabell Benn, and Ane Baerent Fisker
January 1995, World health statistics quarterly. Rapport trimestriel de statistiques sanitaires mondiales,
Bibi Uhre Nielsen, and Stine Byberg, and Peter Aaby, and Amabelia Rodrigues, and Christine Stabell Benn, and Ane Baerent Fisker
January 2020, BMJ global health,
Bibi Uhre Nielsen, and Stine Byberg, and Peter Aaby, and Amabelia Rodrigues, and Christine Stabell Benn, and Ane Baerent Fisker
September 2015, Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America,
Bibi Uhre Nielsen, and Stine Byberg, and Peter Aaby, and Amabelia Rodrigues, and Christine Stabell Benn, and Ane Baerent Fisker
February 2001, BMJ (Clinical research ed.),
Bibi Uhre Nielsen, and Stine Byberg, and Peter Aaby, and Amabelia Rodrigues, and Christine Stabell Benn, and Ane Baerent Fisker
January 1984, The Journal of infection,
Copied contents to your clipboard!