Underuse of risk assessment and overuse of computed tomography pulmonary angiography in patients with suspected pulmonary thromboembolism. 2017

Michael Perera, and Leena Aggarwal, and Ian A Scott, and Nicholas Cocks
Department of General and Acute Medicine, Princess Alexandra Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.

BACKGROUND Evidence suggests the potential overuse of computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) in patients with suspected pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) in the absence of consistent use of pre-test clinical prediction rules and D-dimer assays. OBJECTIVE To evaluate use and diagnostic utility of clinical prediction rules and D-dimer assay in patients with suspected PTE and quantify potentially avoidable overuse of CTPA in low risk patients. METHODS A total of 344 consecutive patients undergoing CTPA at a tertiary hospital was studied with regards to the use of D-dimer assays and clinical prediction rules for PTE. For each patient, a modified Wells score (mWS), revised Geneva score and PISA model were calculated retrospectively; performance characteristics for each rule for PTE were determined with reference to results of CTPA. Results for the mWS and D-dimer assays (when performed) were used to estimate the overuse of CTPA according to risk category. RESULTS Use of a clinical prediction rule was documented in only 5.0% of cases. Of 269 low-risk patients who had a calculated mWS ≤4, only 64 (23.8%) had a D-dimer assay performed, with 30 (11.1%) having a PTE on CTPA. Among 75 patients with an mWS >4, 23 (30.7%) had a PTE on CTPA (P < 0.001). Compared to other prediction rules, an mWS>4 had the highest positive predictive value (31.0%) for PTE; all rules demonstrated similar negative predictive values for low-risk scores (87-89%). After adjusting for an 11% false negative rate for PTE in patients with low-risk mWS, overuse of CTPA was reported in up to 190 (55.2%) patients. CONCLUSIONS More than 50% of patients with suspected PTE may be subject to unwarranted use of CTPA in the absence of pre-test clinical prediction rules coupled with D-dimer assays.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D011655 Pulmonary Embolism Blocking of the PULMONARY ARTERY or one of its branches by an EMBOLUS. Pulmonary Thromboembolism,Thromboembolism, Pulmonary,Embolism, Pulmonary,Embolisms, Pulmonary,Pulmonary Embolisms,Pulmonary Thromboembolisms,Thromboembolisms, Pulmonary
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000072226 Computed Tomography Angiography A non-invasive method that uses a CT scanner for capturing images of blood vessels and tissues. A CONTRAST MATERIAL is injected, which helps produce detailed images that aid in diagnosing VASCULAR DISEASES. Angiography, CT,Angiography, Computed Tomography,CT Angiography,Angiographies, CT,Angiographies, Computed Tomography,CT Angiographies,Computed Tomography Angiographies,Tomography Angiographies, Computed,Tomography Angiography, Computed
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly
D000369 Aged, 80 and over Persons 80 years of age and older. Oldest Old
D012189 Retrospective Studies Studies used to test etiologic hypotheses in which inferences about an exposure to putative causal factors are derived from data relating to characteristics of persons under study or to events or experiences in their past. The essential feature is that some of the persons under study have the disease or outcome of interest and their characteristics are compared with those of unaffected persons. Retrospective Study,Studies, Retrospective,Study, Retrospective

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