Ratio of blood urea nitrogen to serum creatinine at initiation of dialysis is associated with mortality: a multicenter prospective cohort study. 2018

Daijo Inaguma, and Shigehisa Koide, and Eri Ito, and Kazuo Takahashi, and Hiroki Hayashi, and Midori Hasegawa, and Yukio Yuzawa, and
Department of Nephrology, Fujita Health University School of Medicine, Toyoake, Aichi, Japan. daijo@fujita-hu.ac.jp.

BACKGROUND Some studies have shown that the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at the time of initiating dialysis was associated with mortality. However, the relationship between ratio of blood urea nitrogen to serum creatinine (BUN/Cr) and mortality is unknown. METHODS The study was a multicenter, prospective cohort analysis including 1520 patients. Patients were classified into four quartiles based on the BUN/Cr ratio at the dialysis initiation, with Q1 having the lowest ratio and Q4 the highest. All-cause mortality after initiating dialysis was compared using the log-rank test. All-cause mortality of Q1, Q2, and Q3 was compared with that of Q4 using multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. Moreover, we compared the renal parameters including BUN/Cr ratio, eGFR, and creatinine clearance for sensitivity and specificity using receiver operative characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS Significant differences were observed in all-cause mortality among the four groups (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that all-cause mortality was significantly higher in Q4 than in Q1 [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.82, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.24-2.67, p = 0.002]. The increase in BUN/Cr ratio was positively associated with mortality (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.02-1.06, p = 0.002). The sensitivity and specificity of BUN/Cr ratio for 180, 365, 730, and 1095 days mortality ranged between 0.60-0.72 and 0.59-0.71, respectively. The area under the curve of BUN/Cr for all-cause mortality was the highest among the renal parameters. CONCLUSIONS The BUN/Cr ratio at the time of initiation of dialysis was associated with all-cause mortality.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007564 Japan A country in eastern Asia, island chain between the North Pacific Ocean and the Sea of Japan, east of the Korean Peninsula. The capital is Tokyo. Bonin Islands
D007668 Kidney Body organ that filters blood for the secretion of URINE and that regulates ion concentrations. Kidneys
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D011446 Prospective Studies Observation of a population for a sufficient number of persons over a sufficient number of years to generate incidence or mortality rates subsequent to the selection of the study group. Prospective Study,Studies, Prospective,Study, Prospective
D001806 Blood Urea Nitrogen The urea concentration of the blood stated in terms of nitrogen content. Serum (plasma) urea nitrogen is approximately 12% higher than blood urea nitrogen concentration because of the greater protein content of red blood cells. Increases in blood or serum urea nitrogen are referred to as azotemia and may have prerenal, renal, or postrenal causes. (From Saunders Dictionary & Encyclopedia of Laboratory Medicine and Technology, 1984) BUN,Nitrogen, Blood Urea,Urea Nitrogen, Blood
D003404 Creatinine Creatinine Sulfate Salt,Krebiozen,Salt, Creatinine Sulfate,Sulfate Salt, Creatinine
D005260 Female Females
D005919 Glomerular Filtration Rate The volume of water filtered out of plasma through glomerular capillary walls into Bowman's capsules per unit of time. It is considered to be equivalent to INULIN clearance. Filtration Rate, Glomerular,Filtration Rates, Glomerular,Glomerular Filtration Rates,Rate, Glomerular Filtration,Rates, Glomerular Filtration

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