Mean residual life regression with functional principal component analysis on longitudinal data for dynamic prediction. 2018

Xiao Lin, and Tao Lu, and Fangrong Yan, and Ruosha Li, and Xuelin Huang
Research Center of Biostatistics and Computational Pharmacy, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing 210009, P.R. China.

Predicting patient life expectancy is of great importance for clinicians in making treatment decisions. This prediction needs to be conducted in a dynamic manner, based on longitudinal biomarkers repeatedly measured during the patient's post-treatment follow-up period. The prediction is updated any time a new biomarker measurement is obtained. The heterogeneity across patients of biomarker trajectories over time requires flexible and powerful approaches to model noisy and irregularly measured longitudinal data. In this article, we use functional principal component analysis (FPCA) to extract the dominant features of the biomarker trajectory of each individual, and use these features as time-dependent predictors (covariates) in a transformed mean residual life (MRL) regression model to conduct dynamic prediction. Simulation studies demonstrate the improved performance of the transformed MRL model that includes longitudinal biomarker information in the prediction. We apply the proposed method to predict the remaining time expectancy until disease progression for patients with chronic myeloid leukemia, using the transcript levels of an oncogene, BCR-ABL.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008017 Life Expectancy Based on known statistical data, the number of years which any person of a given age may reasonably be expected to live. Life Extension,Years of Potential Life Lost,Expectancies, Life,Expectancy, Life,Life Expectancies
D008137 Longitudinal Studies Studies in which variables relating to an individual or group of individuals are assessed over a period of time. Bogalusa Heart Study,California Teachers Study,Framingham Heart Study,Jackson Heart Study,Longitudinal Survey,Tuskegee Syphilis Study,Bogalusa Heart Studies,California Teachers Studies,Framingham Heart Studies,Heart Studies, Bogalusa,Heart Studies, Framingham,Heart Studies, Jackson,Heart Study, Bogalusa,Heart Study, Framingham,Heart Study, Jackson,Jackson Heart Studies,Longitudinal Study,Longitudinal Surveys,Studies, Bogalusa Heart,Studies, California Teachers,Studies, Jackson Heart,Studies, Longitudinal,Study, Bogalusa Heart,Study, California Teachers,Study, Longitudinal,Survey, Longitudinal,Surveys, Longitudinal,Syphilis Studies, Tuskegee,Syphilis Study, Tuskegee,Teachers Studies, California,Teachers Study, California,Tuskegee Syphilis Studies
D003198 Computer Simulation Computer-based representation of physical systems and phenomena such as chemical processes. Computational Modeling,Computational Modelling,Computer Models,In silico Modeling,In silico Models,In silico Simulation,Models, Computer,Computerized Models,Computer Model,Computer Simulations,Computerized Model,In silico Model,Model, Computer,Model, Computerized,Model, In silico,Modeling, Computational,Modeling, In silico,Modelling, Computational,Simulation, Computer,Simulation, In silico,Simulations, Computer
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D001699 Biometry The use of statistical and mathematical methods to analyze biological observations and phenomena. Biometric Analysis,Biometrics,Analyses, Biometric,Analysis, Biometric,Biometric Analyses
D012333 RNA, Messenger RNA sequences that serve as templates for protein synthesis. Bacterial mRNAs are generally primary transcripts in that they do not require post-transcriptional processing. Eukaryotic mRNA is synthesized in the nucleus and must be exported to the cytoplasm for translation. Most eukaryotic mRNAs have a sequence of polyadenylic acid at the 3' end, referred to as the poly(A) tail. The function of this tail is not known for certain, but it may play a role in the export of mature mRNA from the nucleus as well as in helping stabilize some mRNA molecules by retarding their degradation in the cytoplasm. Messenger RNA,Messenger RNA, Polyadenylated,Poly(A) Tail,Poly(A)+ RNA,Poly(A)+ mRNA,RNA, Messenger, Polyadenylated,RNA, Polyadenylated,mRNA,mRNA, Non-Polyadenylated,mRNA, Polyadenylated,Non-Polyadenylated mRNA,Poly(A) RNA,Polyadenylated mRNA,Non Polyadenylated mRNA,Polyadenylated Messenger RNA,Polyadenylated RNA,RNA, Polyadenylated Messenger,mRNA, Non Polyadenylated
D013997 Time Factors Elements of limited time intervals, contributing to particular results or situations. Time Series,Factor, Time,Time Factor
D015415 Biomarkers Measurable and quantifiable biological parameters (e.g., specific enzyme concentration, specific hormone concentration, specific gene phenotype distribution in a population, presence of biological substances) which serve as indices for health- and physiology-related assessments, such as disease risk, psychiatric disorders, ENVIRONMENTAL EXPOSURE and its effects, disease diagnosis; METABOLIC PROCESSES; SUBSTANCE ABUSE; PREGNANCY; cell line development; EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES; etc. Biochemical Markers,Biological Markers,Biomarker,Clinical Markers,Immunologic Markers,Laboratory Markers,Markers, Biochemical,Markers, Biological,Markers, Clinical,Markers, Immunologic,Markers, Laboratory,Markers, Serum,Markers, Surrogate,Markers, Viral,Serum Markers,Surrogate Markers,Viral Markers,Biochemical Marker,Biologic Marker,Biologic Markers,Clinical Marker,Immune Marker,Immune Markers,Immunologic Marker,Laboratory Marker,Marker, Biochemical,Marker, Biological,Marker, Clinical,Marker, Immunologic,Marker, Laboratory,Marker, Serum,Marker, Surrogate,Serum Marker,Surrogate End Point,Surrogate End Points,Surrogate Endpoint,Surrogate Endpoints,Surrogate Marker,Viral Marker,Biological Marker,End Point, Surrogate,End Points, Surrogate,Endpoint, Surrogate,Endpoints, Surrogate,Marker, Biologic,Marker, Immune,Marker, Viral,Markers, Biologic,Markers, Immune
D015464 Leukemia, Myelogenous, Chronic, BCR-ABL Positive Clonal hematopoetic disorder caused by an acquired genetic defect in PLURIPOTENT STEM CELLS. It starts in MYELOID CELLS of the bone marrow, invades the blood and then other organs. The condition progresses from a stable, more indolent, chronic phase (LEUKEMIA, MYELOID, CHRONIC PHASE) lasting up to 7 years, to an advanced phase composed of an accelerated phase (LEUKEMIA, MYELOID, ACCELERATED PHASE) and BLAST CRISIS. Granulocytic Leukemia, Chronic,Leukemia, Granulocytic, Chronic,Leukemia, Myelocytic, Chronic,Leukemia, Myelogenous, Chronic,Leukemia, Myeloid, Chronic,Myelocytic Leukemia, Chronic,Myelogenous Leukemia, Chronic,Myeloid Leukemia, Chronic,Leukemia, Chronic Myelogenous,Leukemia, Chronic Myeloid,Leukemia, Myelogenous, Ph1 Positive,Leukemia, Myelogenous, Ph1-Positive,Leukemia, Myeloid, Ph1 Positive,Leukemia, Myeloid, Ph1-Positive,Leukemia, Myeloid, Philadelphia Positive,Leukemia, Myeloid, Philadelphia-Positive,Myelogenous Leukemia, Ph1-Positive,Myeloid Leukemia, Ph1-Positive,Myeloid Leukemia, Philadelphia-Positive,Chronic Granulocytic Leukemia,Chronic Granulocytic Leukemias,Chronic Myelocytic Leukemia,Chronic Myelocytic Leukemias,Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia,Chronic Myelogenous Leukemias,Chronic Myeloid Leukemia,Chronic Myeloid Leukemias,Granulocytic Leukemias, Chronic,Leukemia, Chronic Granulocytic,Leukemia, Chronic Myelocytic,Leukemia, Ph1-Positive Myelogenous,Leukemia, Ph1-Positive Myeloid,Leukemia, Philadelphia-Positive Myeloid,Leukemias, Chronic Granulocytic,Leukemias, Chronic Myelocytic,Leukemias, Chronic Myelogenous,Leukemias, Chronic Myeloid,Leukemias, Ph1-Positive Myelogenous,Leukemias, Ph1-Positive Myeloid,Leukemias, Philadelphia-Positive Myeloid,Myelocytic Leukemias, Chronic,Myelogenous Leukemia, Ph1 Positive,Myelogenous Leukemias, Chronic,Myelogenous Leukemias, Ph1-Positive,Myeloid Leukemia, Ph1 Positive,Myeloid Leukemia, Philadelphia Positive,Myeloid Leukemias, Chronic,Myeloid Leukemias, Ph1-Positive,Myeloid Leukemias, Philadelphia-Positive,Ph1-Positive Myelogenous Leukemia,Ph1-Positive Myelogenous Leukemias,Ph1-Positive Myeloid Leukemia,Ph1-Positive Myeloid Leukemias,Philadelphia-Positive Myeloid Leukemia,Philadelphia-Positive Myeloid Leukemias
D016313 Genes, abl Retrovirus-associated DNA sequences (abl) originally isolated from the Abelson murine leukemia virus (Ab-MuLV). The proto-oncogene abl (c-abl) codes for a protein that is a member of the tyrosine kinase family. The human c-abl gene is located at 9q34.1 on the long arm of chromosome 9. It is activated by translocation to bcr on chromosome 22 in chronic myelogenous leukemia. abl Genes,c-abl Genes,v-abl Genes,abl Oncogene,bcr-abl Proto-Oncogenes,bcr-v-abl Oncogenes,c-abl Proto-Oncogenes,v-abl Oncogenes,Gene, abl,Gene, c-abl,Gene, v-abl,Genes, c-abl,Genes, v-abl,Oncogene, abl,Oncogene, bcr-v-abl,Oncogene, v-abl,Oncogenes, abl,Oncogenes, bcr-v-abl,Oncogenes, v-abl,Proto-Oncogene, bcr-abl,Proto-Oncogene, c-abl,Proto-Oncogenes, bcr-abl,Proto-Oncogenes, c-abl,abl Gene,abl Oncogenes,bcr abl Proto Oncogenes,bcr v abl Oncogenes,bcr-abl Proto-Oncogene,bcr-v-abl Oncogene,c abl Genes,c abl Proto Oncogenes,c-abl Gene,c-abl Proto-Oncogene,v abl Genes,v abl Oncogenes,v-abl Gene,v-abl Oncogene

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