[Prognostic value of differences between peripheral arterial and venous blood gas analysis in patients with septic shock]. 2018

Wei Gao, and Qiyong Zhu, and Haibin Ni, and Jialiu Zhang, and Dandan Zhou, and Liping Yin, and Feng Zhang, and Hao Chen, and Beibei Zhang, and Wei Li
Department of Intensive Care Unit, Affiliated Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing 210028, Jiangsu, China. Corresponding author: Zhu Qiyong, Email: 13813804264@163.com.

OBJECTIVE To investigate the value of the difference between peripheral arterial and venous blood gas analysis for the prognosis of patients with septic shock after resuscitation. METHODS Patients with septic shock aged 18 to 80 years admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) of Affiliated Hospital of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine from May 2016 to December 2017 were enrolled. The peripheral arterial blood and peripheral venous blood gas analysis were measured simultaneously after the early 6 hours resuscitation, including pH, partial pressure of oxygen (PO2), partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PCO2), base excess (BE), bicarbonate (HCO3-) and lactate (Lac) level, and the difference values between peripheral arterial and venous blood were calculated. According to the 28-day survival, the patients were divided into survival group and death group. Multiple Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors of death, and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to analyze the prognostic value of blood gas analysis parameters for prognosis. RESULTS A total of 65 patients with septic shock resuscitation were enrolled in the study, 35 survived while 30 died during the 28-day period. (1) There was no significant difference in gender, age, and mean arterial pressure (MAP), central venous pressure (CVP), central venous oxygen saturation (ScvO2) and norepinephrine (NE) dose between the two groups. (2) The arterial and venous Lac, the difference of Lac (ΔLac) and PCO2 (ΔPCO2) between arterial and venous blood in death group were significantly higher than those in survival group [arterial Lac (mmol/L): 7.40±3.10 vs. 4.82±2.91, venous Lac (mmol/L): 9.17±3.27 vs. 5.81±3.29, ΔLac (mmol/L): 1.77±0.54 vs. 0.99±0.60, ΔPCO2 (mmHg, 1 mmHg = 0.133 kPa): 9.64±5.08 vs. 6.70±3.71, all P < 0.01], and there was no significant difference in the other arterial and venous blood gas analysis index and its corresponding differential difference between two groups. (3) Multiple Logistic regression analysis showed that ΔPCO2 [β = 0.247, odd ratio (OR) = 1.280, 95% confidential interval (95%CI) = 1.057-1.550, P = 0.011], and ΔLac (β = 2.696, OR = 14.820, 95%CI = 2.916-75.324, P = 0.001) were the independent risk factors for the prognosis of septic shock. (4) It was shown by ROC curve analysis that arterial blood Lac, ΔLac and ΔPCO2 had predictive value on prognosis of septic shock, the area under ROC curve (AUC) was 0.792, 0.857, 0.680, respectively (all P < 0.05). When the best cut-off value of arterial Lac was 4.00 mmol/L, the sensitivity was 100%, and the specificity was 62.86% for predictor of death in 28-day; when the best cut-off value of ΔLac was 1.25 mmol/L, the sensitivity was 93.33%, and the specificity was 68.57% for predictor of death in 28-day; when the best cut-off value of ΔPCO2 was 4.35 mmHg, the sensitivity was 83.33%, and the specificity was 37.14% for predictor of death in 28-day. CONCLUSIONS Compared to other parameters, the difference between peripheral arterial and venous blood gas analysis, ΔPCO2 and ΔLac had the best correlation with the prognosis of septic shock. The ΔPCO2 and ΔLac are the independent prognostic predictors for 28-day survival.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D012151 Resuscitation The restoration to life or consciousness of one apparently dead. (Dorland, 27th ed) Resuscitations
D001784 Blood Gas Analysis Measurement of oxygen and carbon dioxide in the blood. Analysis, Blood Gas,Analyses, Blood Gas,Blood Gas Analyses,Gas Analyses, Blood,Gas Analysis, Blood
D002496 Central Venous Pressure The blood pressure in the central large VEINS of the body. It is distinguished from peripheral venous pressure which occurs in an extremity. Venous Pressure, Central,Central Venous Pressures,Pressure, Central Venous,Pressures, Central Venous,Venous Pressures, Central
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000293 Adolescent A person 13 to 18 years of age. Adolescence,Youth,Adolescents,Adolescents, Female,Adolescents, Male,Teenagers,Teens,Adolescent, Female,Adolescent, Male,Female Adolescent,Female Adolescents,Male Adolescent,Male Adolescents,Teen,Teenager,Youths
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly
D000369 Aged, 80 and over Persons 80 years of age and older. Oldest Old

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