Predicting Polygenic Risk of Psychiatric Disorders. 2019

Alicia R Martin, and Mark J Daly, and Elise B Robinson, and Steven E Hyman, and Benjamin M Neale
Analytic and Translational Genetics Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts; Program in Medical and Population Genetics, Broad Institute of Harvard and MIT, Cambridge, Massachusetts; Stanley Center for Psychiatric Research, Broad Institute of Harvard and MIT, Cambridge, Massachusetts. Electronic address: armartin@broadinstitute.org.

Genetics provides two major opportunities for understanding human disease-as a transformative line of etiological inquiry and as a biomarker for heritable diseases. In psychiatry, biomarkers are very much needed for both research and treatment, given the heterogenous populations identified by current phenomenologically based diagnostic systems. To date, however, useful and valid biomarkers have been scant owing to the inaccessibility and complexity of human brain tissue and consequent lack of insight into disease mechanisms. Genetic biomarkers are therefore especially promising for psychiatric disorders. Genome-wide association studies of common diseases have matured over the last decade, generating the knowledge base for increasingly informative individual-level genetic risk prediction. In this review, we discuss fundamental concepts involved in computing genetic risk with current methods, strengths and weaknesses of various approaches, assessments of utility, and applications to various psychiatric disorders and related traits. Although genetic risk prediction has become increasingly straightforward to apply and common in published studies, there are important pitfalls to avoid. At present, the clinical utility of genetic risk prediction is still low; however, there is significant promise for future clinical applications as the ancestral diversity and sample sizes of genome-wide association studies increase. We discuss emerging data and methods aimed at improving the value of genetic risk prediction for disentangling disease mechanisms and stratifying subjects for epidemiological and clinical studies. For all applications, it is absolutely critical that polygenic risk prediction is applied with appropriate methodology and control for confounding to avoid repeating some mistakes of the candidate geneĀ era.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D011237 Predictive Value of Tests In screening and diagnostic tests, the probability that a person with a positive test is a true positive (i.e., has the disease), is referred to as the predictive value of a positive test; whereas, the predictive value of a negative test is the probability that the person with a negative test does not have the disease. Predictive value is related to the sensitivity and specificity of the test. Negative Predictive Value,Positive Predictive Value,Predictive Value Of Test,Predictive Values Of Tests,Negative Predictive Values,Positive Predictive Values,Predictive Value, Negative,Predictive Value, Positive
D005820 Genetic Testing Detection of a MUTATION; GENOTYPE; KARYOTYPE; or specific ALLELES associated with genetic traits, heritable diseases, or predisposition to a disease, or that may lead to the disease in descendants. It includes prenatal genetic testing. Genetic Predisposition Testing,Genetic Screening,Predictive Genetic Testing,Predictive Testing, Genetic,Testing, Genetic Predisposition,Genetic Predictive Testing,Genetic Screenings,Genetic Testing, Predictive,Predisposition Testing, Genetic,Screening, Genetic,Screenings, Genetic,Testing, Genetic,Testing, Genetic Predictive,Testing, Predictive Genetic
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D001523 Mental Disorders Psychiatric illness or diseases manifested by breakdowns in the adaptational process expressed primarily as abnormalities of thought, feeling, and behavior producing either distress or impairment of function. Mental Illness,Psychiatric Diseases,Psychiatric Disorders,Psychiatric Illness,Behavior Disorders,Diagnosis, Psychiatric,Mental Disorders, Severe,Psychiatric Diagnosis,Illness, Mental,Mental Disorder,Mental Disorder, Severe,Mental Illnesses,Psychiatric Disease,Psychiatric Disorder,Psychiatric Illnesses,Severe Mental Disorder,Severe Mental Disorders
D055106 Genome-Wide Association Study An analysis comparing the allele frequencies of all available (or a whole GENOME representative set of) polymorphic markers to identify gene candidates or quantitative trait loci associated with a specific organism trait or specific disease or condition. Genome Wide Association Analysis,Genome Wide Association Study,GWA Study,Genome Wide Association Scan,Genome Wide Association Studies,Whole Genome Association Analysis,Whole Genome Association Study,Association Studies, Genome-Wide,Association Study, Genome-Wide,GWA Studies,Genome-Wide Association Studies,Studies, GWA,Studies, Genome-Wide Association,Study, GWA,Study, Genome-Wide Association
D018570 Risk Assessment The qualitative or quantitative estimation of the likelihood of adverse effects that may result from exposure to specified health hazards or from the absence of beneficial influences. (Last, Dictionary of Epidemiology, 1988) Assessment, Risk,Benefit-Risk Assessment,Risk Analysis,Risk-Benefit Assessment,Health Risk Assessment,Risks and Benefits,Analysis, Risk,Assessment, Benefit-Risk,Assessment, Health Risk,Assessment, Risk-Benefit,Benefit Risk Assessment,Benefit-Risk Assessments,Benefits and Risks,Health Risk Assessments,Risk Analyses,Risk Assessment, Health,Risk Assessments,Risk Benefit Assessment,Risk-Benefit Assessments
D020022 Genetic Predisposition to Disease A latent susceptibility to disease at the genetic level, which may be activated under certain conditions. Genetic Predisposition,Genetic Susceptibility,Predisposition, Genetic,Susceptibility, Genetic,Genetic Predispositions,Genetic Susceptibilities,Predispositions, Genetic,Susceptibilities, Genetic
D020412 Multifactorial Inheritance A pattern of inheritance of a trait that includes the contributions from more than one gene. Oligogenic Inheritance,Polygenic Inheritance,Polygenic Traits,Complex Inheritance,Complex Traits,Multigenic Inheritance,Multigenic Traits,Oligogenic Traits,Polygenic Characters,Character, Polygenic,Characters, Polygenic,Complex Trait,Inheritance, Complex,Inheritance, Multifactorial,Inheritance, Multigenic,Inheritance, Oligogenic,Inheritance, Polygenic,Multigenic Trait,Oligogenic Trait,Polygenic Character,Polygenic Trait,Trait, Complex,Trait, Multigenic,Trait, Oligogenic,Trait, Polygenic,Traits, Complex,Traits, Multigenic,Traits, Oligogenic,Traits, Polygenic

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