Prediction of imminent preeclampsia at 35-37 weeks gestation. 2019

Anca Ciobanu, and Alan Wright, and Anca Panaitescu, and Argyro Syngelaki, and David Wright, and Kypros H Nicolaides
Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College, London, UK.

In the weeks preceding the clinical onset of preeclampsia, the maternal serum level of the angiogenic placental growth factor is decreased and that of the antiangiogenic factor soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 is increased. Women presenting at specialist clinics with signs or symptoms of hypertensive disorders have been stratified according to concentrations of placental growth factor or the ratio of concentrations of soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 and placental growth factor to determine clinical management for the subsequent 1-4 weeks. An alternative approach for the prediction of preeclampsia is use of the competing risks model, a Bayes' theorem based method, to derive patient-specific risk for preeclampsia by various combinations of maternal characteristics and medical history with multiples of the median values of biomarkers. The purpose of this study was to compare the performance of screening for delivery with preeclampsia at ≤2 and ≤4 weeks after assessment at 35+0-36+6 weeks gestation between the use of percentile cut-offs in placental growth factor alone or the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio and the competing risks model. This was a prospective observational study in women who attended a routine hospital visit at 35+0-36+6 weeks gestation in 2 maternity hospitals in England. The visits included the recording of maternal demographic characteristics and medical history and the measurement of serum placental growth factor and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 and mean arterial pressure. The areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves were used to compare the predictive performance for preeclampsia with delivery at ≤2 and ≤4 weeks from assessment of screening by placental growth factor alone and the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio with that of a previously developed competing risks model with a combination of maternal factors, placental growth factor, soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1, and mean arterial pressure (triple test). First, the study population of 15,247 pregnancies included 326 pregnancies (2.1%) that subsequently experienced preeclampsia. Second, in the screening for delivery with preeclampsia at ≤2 and ≤4 weeks from assessment, the performance of the triple test was superior to that of placental growth factor alone or the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curves for preeclampsia at ≤2 weeks in screening by the triple test (0.975; 95% confidence interval, 0.964-0.985) was higher than that of placental growth factor alone (0.900; 95% confidence interval, 0.866-0.935; P<.0001) and the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio (0.932; 95% confidence interval, 0.904-0.960; P=.0001). Similarly, the areas under the receiver operating characteristics curves for preeclampsia at ≤4 weeks in screening by the triple test (0.907; 95% confidence interval, 0.886-0.928) was higher than that of placental growth factor alone (0.827; 95% confidence interval, 0.800-0.854; P<.0001) or the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio (0.857; 95% confidence interval, 0.830-0.883; P<.0001). Third, at most, screen-positive rates of 2-30% the detection rate of delivery with preeclampsia at ≤2 and ≤4 weeks that was achieved by the triple test was approximately 10% higher than that of the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio and 20% higher than that of placental growth factor alone; the negative predictive value was similar for the 3 tests. At 35+0-36+6 weeks gestation, the performance of screening for imminent delivery with preeclampsia by the competing risks model is superior to that of placental growth factor alone or the soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1/placental growth factor ratio.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D011225 Pre-Eclampsia A complication of PREGNANCY, characterized by a complex of symptoms including maternal HYPERTENSION and PROTEINURIA with or without pathological EDEMA. Symptoms may range between mild and severe. Pre-eclampsia usually occurs after the 20th week of gestation, but may develop before this time in the presence of trophoblastic disease. Toxemias, Pregnancy,EPH Complex,EPH Gestosis,EPH Toxemias,Edema-Proteinuria-Hypertension Gestosis,Gestosis, EPH,Hypertension-Edema-Proteinuria Gestosis,Preeclampsia,Preeclampsia Eclampsia 1,Pregnancy Toxemias,Proteinuria-Edema-Hypertension Gestosis,Toxemia Of Pregnancy,1, Preeclampsia Eclampsia,1s, Preeclampsia Eclampsia,EPH Toxemia,Eclampsia 1, Preeclampsia,Eclampsia 1s, Preeclampsia,Edema Proteinuria Hypertension Gestosis,Gestosis, Edema-Proteinuria-Hypertension,Gestosis, Hypertension-Edema-Proteinuria,Gestosis, Proteinuria-Edema-Hypertension,Hypertension Edema Proteinuria Gestosis,Of Pregnancies, Toxemia,Of Pregnancy, Toxemia,Pre Eclampsia,Preeclampsia Eclampsia 1s,Pregnancies, Toxemia Of,Pregnancy Toxemia,Pregnancy, Toxemia Of,Proteinuria Edema Hypertension Gestosis,Toxemia Of Pregnancies,Toxemia, EPH,Toxemia, Pregnancy,Toxemias, EPH
D011247 Pregnancy The status during which female mammals carry their developing young (EMBRYOS or FETUSES) in utero before birth, beginning from FERTILIZATION to BIRTH. Gestation,Pregnancies
D011263 Pregnancy Trimester, Third The last third of a human PREGNANCY, from the beginning of the 29th through the 42nd completed week (197 to 294 days) of gestation. Pregnancy, Third Trimester,Trimester, Third,Last Trimester,Last Trimesters,Pregnancies, Third Trimester,Pregnancy Trimesters, Third,Third Pregnancy Trimester,Third Pregnancy Trimesters,Third Trimester,Third Trimester Pregnancies,Third Trimester Pregnancy,Third Trimesters,Trimester, Last,Trimesters, Last,Trimesters, Third
D011446 Prospective Studies Observation of a population for a sufficient number of persons over a sufficient number of years to generate incidence or mortality rates subsequent to the selection of the study group. Prospective Study,Studies, Prospective,Study, Prospective
D004739 England A part of Great Britain within the United Kingdom.
D005260 Female Females
D005865 Gestational Age The age of the conceptus, beginning from the time of FERTILIZATION. In clinical obstetrics, the gestational age is often estimated from the onset of the last MENSTRUATION which is about 2 weeks before OVULATION and fertilization. It is also estimated to begin from fertilization, estrus, coitus, or artificial insemination. Embryologic Age,Fetal Maturity, Chronologic,Chronologic Fetal Maturity,Fetal Age,Maturity, Chronologic Fetal,Age, Embryologic,Age, Fetal,Age, Gestational,Ages, Embryologic,Ages, Fetal,Ages, Gestational,Embryologic Ages,Fetal Ages,Gestational Ages
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000072483 Placenta Growth Factor An angiogenic protein belonging to the Vascular Endothelial Growth Factor family of growth factors originally isolated and cloned from human placental cDNA library. There are four isoforms of PLGF 1-4 which result from alternative splicing. Placenta Growth Factor is secreted as a glycosylated homodimer which acts as a mitogen for endothelial cells, and its expression is markedly upregulated during hypoxia and in tissue inflammation and cancer. Placenta Growth Factor, PLGF-1 Isoform,Placenta Growth Factor, PLGF-2 Isoform,Placenta Growth Factor, PLGF-3 Isoform,Placenta Growth Factor, PLGF-4 Isoform,Factor, Placenta Growth,Growth Factor, Placenta,Placenta Growth Factor, PLGF 1 Isoform,Placenta Growth Factor, PLGF 2 Isoform,Placenta Growth Factor, PLGF 3 Isoform,Placenta Growth Factor, PLGF 4 Isoform
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults

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