Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis for Assessing Adverse Effects of Anti-hepatitis B Drugs. 2019

Yi Shen, and Yulong Jia, and Jie Zhou, and Juling Ji, and Pengcheng Xun
Department of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Nantong University, Nantong, Jiangsu, China.

OBJECTIVE Oral nucleoside/nucleotide analogues (NAs) have been advocated for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) treatment with good efficacy. However, less attention has been put on their adverse events. Therefore, a Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) was performed to evaluate the relative safety of five NAs (lamivudine, adefovir dipivoxil, entecavir, telbivudine, and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate) in CHB treatment among adults. METHODS Eligible randomized clinical trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies were systematically and thoroughly searched until May 1, 2019. Poisson-prior-based Bayesian NMA was performed to synthesize both direct and indirect evidence with reporting hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% credible intervals (CrIs) for serious adverse events (SAEs) and hepatic/renal impairments. RESULTS Thirty-three RCTs and 11 prospective cohort studies were identified. As to SAEs, no statistically significant difference was found of any comparison among five NAs. In terms of hepatotoxicity, lamivudine was safer than telbivudine (HR 0.45; 95% CrI 0.21, 0.85), and entecavir increased the risk by 102% (entecavir vs lamivudine: HR 2.02; 95% CrI 1.19, 3.27). CONCLUSIONS The findings from this large NMA could influence clinical practice, and the methodological framework of this study could provide evidence-based support to analyze sparse safety data in the field.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D011446 Prospective Studies Observation of a population for a sufficient number of persons over a sufficient number of years to generate incidence or mortality rates subsequent to the selection of the study group. Prospective Study,Studies, Prospective,Study, Prospective
D006147 Guanine
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000068698 Tenofovir An adenine analog REVERSE TRANSCRIPTASE INHIBITOR with antiviral activity against HIV-1 and HEPATITIS B. It is used to treat HIV INFECTIONS and CHRONIC HEPATITIS B, in combination with other ANTIVIRAL AGENTS, due to the emergence of ANTIVIRAL DRUG RESISTANCE when it is used alone. (R)-9-(2-phosphonylmethoxypropyl)adenine,9-(2-Phosphonomethoxypropyl)adenine,9-(2-Phosphonylmethoxypropyl)adenine,9-(2-Phosphonylmethoxypropyl)adenine, (+-)-isomer,9-(2-Phosphonylmethoxypropyl)adenine, (R)-isomer - T357098,9-(2-Phosphonylmethoxypropyl)adenine, (S)-isomer,9-PMPA (tenofovir),Tenofovir Disoproxil,Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate,Viread,Disoproxil Fumarate, Tenofovir,Disoproxil, Tenofovir,Fumarate, Tenofovir Disoproxil
D000071076 Network Meta-Analysis Meta-analysis of randomized trials in which estimates of comparative treatment effects are visualized and interpreted from a network of interventions that may or may not have been evaluated directly against each other. Common considerations in network meta-analysis include conceptual and statistical heterogeneity and incoherence. Mixed Treatment Meta-Analysis,Multiple Treatment Comparison Meta-Analysis,Meta-Analyses, Mixed Treatment,Meta-Analyses, Network,Meta-Analysis, Mixed Treatment,Meta-Analysis, Network,Mixed Treatment Meta Analysis,Mixed Treatment Meta-Analyses,Multiple Treatment Comparison Meta Analysis,Network Meta Analysis,Network Meta-Analyses
D000077712 Telbivudine A thymidine derivative and antiviral agent that inhibits DNA synthesis by HEPATITIS B VIRUS and is used for the treatment of CHRONIC HEPATITIS B. 1-(2-Deoxy-beta-L-erythropentafuranosyl)-5-methyl-2,4(1H,3H)-pyrimidinedione,Telbivudin,Tyzeka,beta-L-2'-Deoxythymidine,beta L 2' Deoxythymidine
D000225 Adenine A purine base and a fundamental unit of ADENINE NUCLEOTIDES. Vitamin B 4,4, Vitamin B,B 4, Vitamin
D000998 Antiviral Agents Agents used in the prophylaxis or therapy of VIRUS DISEASES. Some of the ways they may act include preventing viral replication by inhibiting viral DNA polymerase; binding to specific cell-surface receptors and inhibiting viral penetration or uncoating; inhibiting viral protein synthesis; or blocking late stages of virus assembly. Antiviral,Antiviral Agent,Antiviral Drug,Antivirals,Antiviral Drugs,Agent, Antiviral,Agents, Antiviral,Drug, Antiviral,Drugs, Antiviral
D001499 Bayes Theorem A theorem in probability theory named for Thomas Bayes (1702-1761). In epidemiology, it is used to obtain the probability of disease in a group of people with some characteristic on the basis of the overall rate of that disease and of the likelihood of that characteristic in healthy and diseased individuals. The most familiar application is in clinical decision analysis where it is used for estimating the probability of a particular diagnosis given the appearance of some symptoms or test result. Bayesian Analysis,Bayesian Estimation,Bayesian Forecast,Bayesian Method,Bayesian Prediction,Analysis, Bayesian,Bayesian Approach,Approach, Bayesian,Approachs, Bayesian,Bayesian Approachs,Estimation, Bayesian,Forecast, Bayesian,Method, Bayesian,Prediction, Bayesian,Theorem, Bayes
D019259 Lamivudine A reverse transcriptase inhibitor and ZALCITABINE analog in which a sulfur atom replaces the 3' carbon of the pentose ring. It is used to treat HIV disease. 2',3'-Dideoxy-3'-thiacytidine,2(1H)-Pyrimidinone, 4-amino-1-(2-(hydroxymethyl)-1,3-oxathiolan-5-yl)-, (2R-cis)-,3TC Lamivudine,Lamivudine, (+)-cis-,Lamivudine, (+-)-trans-,BCH-189,Epivir,GR-109714X,GR109714X,Lamivudine, (2S-cis)-Isomer,2',3' Dideoxy 3' thiacytidine,BCH 189,BCH189,GR 109714X,Lamivudine, 3TC

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