Permutation inference methods for multivariate meta-analysis. 2020

Hisashi Noma, and Kengo Nagashima, and Toshi A Furukawa
Department of Data Science, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan.

Multivariate meta-analysis is gaining prominence in evidence synthesis research because it enables simultaneous synthesis of multiple correlated outcome data, and random-effects models have generally been used for addressing between-studies heterogeneities. However, coverage probabilities of confidence regions or intervals for standard inference methods for random-effects models (eg, restricted maximum likelihood estimation) cannot retain their nominal confidence levels in general, especially when the number of synthesized studies is small because their validities depend on large sample approximations. In this article, we provide permutation-based inference methods that enable exact joint inferences for average outcome measures without large sample approximations. We also provide accurate marginal inference methods under general settings of multivariate meta-analyses. We propose effective approaches for permutation inferences using optimal weighting based on the efficient score statistic. The effectiveness of the proposed methods is illustrated via applications to bivariate meta-analyses of diagnostic accuracy studies for airway eosinophilia in asthma and a network meta-analysis for antihypertensive drugs on incident diabetes, as well as through simulation experiments. In numerical evaluations performed via simulations, our methods generally provided accurate confidence regions or intervals under a broad range of settings, whereas the current standard inference methods exhibited serious undercoverage properties.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D009010 Monte Carlo Method In statistics, a technique for numerically approximating the solution of a mathematical problem by studying the distribution of some random variable, often generated by a computer. The name alludes to the randomness characteristic of the games of chance played at the gambling casinos in Monte Carlo. (From Random House Unabridged Dictionary, 2d ed, 1993) Method, Monte Carlo
D011336 Probability The study of chance processes or the relative frequency characterizing a chance process. Probabilities
D011657 Pulmonary Eosinophilia A condition characterized by infiltration of the lung with EOSINOPHILS due to inflammation or other disease processes. Major eosinophilic lung diseases are the eosinophilic pneumonias caused by infections, allergens, or toxic agents. Eosinophilia, Pulmonary,Eosinophilic Pneumonia,Loeffler Syndrome,Pneumonia, Eosinophilic,Eosinophilias, Pulmonary,Pulmonary Eosinophilias,Simple Pulmonary Eosinophilia,Tropical Eosinophilic Pneumonia,Eosinophilic Pneumonia, Tropical,Eosinophilic Pneumonias,Eosinophilic Pneumonias, Tropical,Pneumonias, Eosinophilic,Pulmonary Eosinophilia, Simple,Simple Pulmonary Eosinophilias,Syndrome, Loeffler,Tropical Eosinophilic Pneumonias
D003198 Computer Simulation Computer-based representation of physical systems and phenomena such as chemical processes. Computational Modeling,Computational Modelling,Computer Models,In silico Modeling,In silico Models,In silico Simulation,Models, Computer,Computerized Models,Computer Model,Computer Simulations,Computerized Model,In silico Model,Model, Computer,Model, Computerized,Model, In silico,Modeling, Computational,Modeling, In silico,Modelling, Computational,Simulation, Computer,Simulation, In silico,Simulations, Computer
D003627 Data Interpretation, Statistical Application of statistical procedures to analyze specific observed or assumed facts from a particular study. Data Analysis, Statistical,Data Interpretations, Statistical,Interpretation, Statistical Data,Statistical Data Analysis,Statistical Data Interpretation,Analyses, Statistical Data,Analysis, Statistical Data,Data Analyses, Statistical,Interpretations, Statistical Data,Statistical Data Analyses,Statistical Data Interpretations
D003920 Diabetes Mellitus A heterogeneous group of disorders characterized by HYPERGLYCEMIA and GLUCOSE INTOLERANCE.
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000071076 Network Meta-Analysis Meta-analysis of randomized trials in which estimates of comparative treatment effects are visualized and interpreted from a network of interventions that may or may not have been evaluated directly against each other. Common considerations in network meta-analysis include conceptual and statistical heterogeneity and incoherence. Mixed Treatment Meta-Analysis,Multiple Treatment Comparison Meta-Analysis,Meta-Analyses, Mixed Treatment,Meta-Analyses, Network,Meta-Analysis, Mixed Treatment,Meta-Analysis, Network,Mixed Treatment Meta Analysis,Mixed Treatment Meta-Analyses,Multiple Treatment Comparison Meta Analysis,Network Meta Analysis,Network Meta-Analyses
D000465 Algorithms A procedure consisting of a sequence of algebraic formulas and/or logical steps to calculate or determine a given task. Algorithm
D000959 Antihypertensive Agents Drugs used in the treatment of acute or chronic vascular HYPERTENSION regardless of pharmacological mechanism. Among the antihypertensive agents are DIURETICS; (especially DIURETICS, THIAZIDE); ADRENERGIC BETA-ANTAGONISTS; ADRENERGIC ALPHA-ANTAGONISTS; ANGIOTENSIN-CONVERTING ENZYME INHIBITORS; CALCIUM CHANNEL BLOCKERS; GANGLIONIC BLOCKERS; and VASODILATOR AGENTS. Anti-Hypertensive,Anti-Hypertensive Agent,Anti-Hypertensive Drug,Antihypertensive,Antihypertensive Agent,Antihypertensive Drug,Anti-Hypertensive Agents,Anti-Hypertensive Drugs,Anti-Hypertensives,Antihypertensive Drugs,Antihypertensives,Agent, Anti-Hypertensive,Agent, Antihypertensive,Agents, Anti-Hypertensive,Agents, Antihypertensive,Anti Hypertensive,Anti Hypertensive Agent,Anti Hypertensive Agents,Anti Hypertensive Drug,Anti Hypertensive Drugs,Anti Hypertensives,Drug, Anti-Hypertensive,Drug, Antihypertensive,Drugs, Anti-Hypertensive,Drugs, Antihypertensive

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