Prognostic factors in nursing and healthcare-associated pneumonia. 2020

Akira Yamagata, and Akihiro Ito, and Yosuke Nakanishi, and Tadashi Ishida
Department of Respiratory Medicine, Ohara Healthcare Foundation, Kurashiki Central Hospital, 1-1-1 Miwa, Kurashiki, Okayama 710-8602, Japan. Electronic address: akira.y1122@gmail.com.

OBJECTIVE Nursing and healthcare-associated pneumonia (NHCAP) is a category of healthcare-associated pneumonia modified for the healthcare system in Japan. To date, only a few studies have examined the prognostic factors of NHCAP in a prospective cohort. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic factors related to 30-day mortality in patients with NHCAP by analyzing prospective data. METHODS We analyzed patients hospitalized for NHCAP who were enrolled between October 2010 and February 2017. Age, sex, comorbidities, vital signs and laboratory findings were used as prognostic variables. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. RESULTS Of 817 NHCAP patients identified, the mean age was 78.0 ± 11.1 years, 580 (71.0%) were men and 30-day mortality was 13.1% (107/817). On multivariate analysis, male sex (odds ratio [OR]: 2.07, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.18-3.63), malignancy (OR: 2.35, 95%CI: 1.38-4.01), performance status (PS) (OR: 1.55, 95%CI: 1.23-1.96), body temperature (OR: 0.77, 95%CI: 0.61-0.97), heart rate (OR: 1.02, 95%CI: 1.01-1.03), respiratory rate (OR: 1.04, 95%CI: 1.01-1.08), serum albumin (Alb) (OR: 0.45, 95%CI: 0.30-0.66) and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) (OR: 1.02, 95%CI: 1.01-1.03) were significantly related to 30-day mortality. On the other hand, the risk factors for involvement by drug-resistant pathogens predicted a better prognosis (OR: 0.39, 95%CI: 0.19-0.82). CONCLUSIONS Male sex, malignancy, poor PS, hypothermia, tachycardia, tachypnea, low serum Alb and high BUN are worse prognostic factors. Thus, the risk of drug-resistant pathogens is not necessarily related to poor prognosis.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007564 Japan A country in eastern Asia, island chain between the North Pacific Ocean and the Sea of Japan, east of the Korean Peninsula. The capital is Tokyo. Bonin Islands
D007711 Klebsiella pneumoniae Gram-negative, non-motile, capsulated, gas-producing rods found widely in nature and associated with urinary and respiratory infections in humans. Bacillus pneumoniae,Bacterium pneumoniae crouposae,Hyalococcus pneumoniae,Klebsiella pneumoniae aerogenes,Klebsiella rhinoscleromatis
D008297 Male Males
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D011446 Prospective Studies Observation of a population for a sufficient number of persons over a sufficient number of years to generate incidence or mortality rates subsequent to the selection of the study group. Prospective Study,Studies, Prospective,Study, Prospective
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000077299 Healthcare-Associated Pneumonia Infection of the lung often accompanied by inflammation that is acquired through an interaction within a healthcare institution often through a therapeutic experience (e.g., use of catheters or ventilators). Hospital Acquired Pneumonia,Nosocomial Pneumonia,Healthcare Associated Pneumonia,Healthcare-Associated Pneumonias,Hospital Acquired Pneumonias,Nosocomial Pneumonias,Pneumonia, Healthcare-Associated,Pneumonia, Hospital Acquired,Pneumonia, Nosocomial
D000368 Aged A person 65 years of age or older. For a person older than 79 years, AGED, 80 AND OVER is available. Elderly
D000369 Aged, 80 and over Persons 80 years of age and older. Oldest Old

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