Predicting Length of Stay and Discharge Destination for Surgical Patients: A Cohort Study. 2020

Fabrizio Bert, and Omar Kakaa, and Alessio Corradi, and Annamaria Mascaro, and Stefano Roggero, and Daniela Corsi, and Antonio Scarmozzino, and Roberta Siliquini
Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Torino, 10126 Torino, Italy.

Discharge planning is important to prevent surgical site infections, reduce costs, and improve the hospitalization experience. The identification of early variables that can predict a longer-than-expected length of stay or the need for a discharge with additional needs can improve this process. A cohort study was conducted in the largest hospital of Northern Italy, collecting discharge records from January 2017 to January 2020 and pre-admission visits in the last three months. Socio-demographic and clinical data were collected. Linear and logistic regression models were fitted. The main outcomes were the length of stay (LOS) and discharge destination. The main predictors of a longer LOS were the need for additional care at discharge (+10.76 days), hospitalization from the emergency department (ED) (+5.21 days), and age (+0.04 days per year), accounting for clinical variables (p < 0.001 for all variables). Each year of age and hospitalization from the ED were associated with a higher probability of needing additional care at discharge (OR 1.02 and 1.77, respectively, p < 0.001). No additional findings came from pre-admission forms. Discharge difficulties seem to be related mainly to age and hospitalization procedures: those factors are probably masking underlying social risk factors that do not show up in patients with planned admissions.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007558 Italy A country in southern Europe, a peninsula extending into the central Mediterranean Sea, northeast of Tunisia. The capital is Rome. Sardinia
D007902 Length of Stay The period of confinement of a patient to a hospital or other health facility. Hospital Stay,Hospital Stays,Stay Length,Stay Lengths,Stay, Hospital,Stays, Hospital
D008297 Male Males
D010351 Patient Discharge The administrative process of discharging the patient, alive or dead, from hospitals or other health facilities. Discharge Planning,Discharge Plannings,Discharge, Patient,Discharges, Patient,Patient Discharges,Planning, Discharge,Plannings, Discharge
D004636 Emergency Service, Hospital Hospital department responsible for the administration and provision of immediate medical or surgical care to the emergency patient. Emergency Outpatient Unit,Emergency Services Utilization,Hospital Emergency Room,Hospital Emergency Service,Hospital Emergency Services Utilization,Accident and Emergency Department,Emergency Departments,Emergency Hospital Service,Emergency Room,Emergency Units,Emergency Ward,Hospital Service Emergency,Service, Hospital Emergency,Department, Emergency,Departments, Emergency,Emergencies, Hospital Service,Emergency Department,Emergency Hospital Services,Emergency Outpatient Units,Emergency Room, Hospital,Emergency Rooms,Emergency Rooms, Hospital,Emergency Services, Hospital,Emergency Unit,Emergency Wards,Emergency, Hospital Service,Hospital Emergency Rooms,Hospital Emergency Services,Hospital Service Emergencies,Hospital Service, Emergency,Hospital Services, Emergency,Outpatient Unit, Emergency,Outpatient Units, Emergency,Room, Emergency,Room, Hospital Emergency,Rooms, Emergency,Rooms, Hospital Emergency,Service Emergencies, Hospital,Service Emergency, Hospital,Service, Emergency Hospital,Services Utilization, Emergency,Services Utilizations, Emergency,Services, Emergency Hospital,Services, Hospital Emergency,Unit, Emergency,Unit, Emergency Outpatient,Units, Emergency,Units, Emergency Outpatient,Utilization, Emergency Services,Ward, Emergency,Wards, Emergency
D005260 Female Females
D006760 Hospitalization The confinement of a patient in a hospital. Hospitalizations
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D012189 Retrospective Studies Studies used to test etiologic hypotheses in which inferences about an exposure to putative causal factors are derived from data relating to characteristics of persons under study or to events or experiences in their past. The essential feature is that some of the persons under study have the disease or outcome of interest and their characteristics are compared with those of unaffected persons. Retrospective Study,Studies, Retrospective,Study, Retrospective
D015331 Cohort Studies Studies in which subsets of a defined population are identified. These groups may or may not be exposed to factors hypothesized to influence the probability of the occurrence of a particular disease or other outcome. Cohorts are defined populations which, as a whole, are followed in an attempt to determine distinguishing subgroup characteristics. Birth Cohort Studies,Birth Cohort Study,Closed Cohort Studies,Cohort Analysis,Concurrent Studies,Historical Cohort Studies,Incidence Studies,Analysis, Cohort,Cohort Studies, Closed,Cohort Studies, Historical,Studies, Closed Cohort,Studies, Concurrent,Studies, Historical Cohort,Analyses, Cohort,Closed Cohort Study,Cohort Analyses,Cohort Studies, Birth,Cohort Study,Cohort Study, Birth,Cohort Study, Closed,Cohort Study, Historical,Concurrent Study,Historical Cohort Study,Incidence Study,Studies, Birth Cohort,Studies, Cohort,Studies, Incidence,Study, Birth Cohort,Study, Closed Cohort,Study, Cohort,Study, Concurrent,Study, Historical Cohort,Study, Incidence

Related Publications

Fabrizio Bert, and Omar Kakaa, and Alessio Corradi, and Annamaria Mascaro, and Stefano Roggero, and Daniela Corsi, and Antonio Scarmozzino, and Roberta Siliquini
January 2004, Acta medica portuguesa,
Fabrizio Bert, and Omar Kakaa, and Alessio Corradi, and Annamaria Mascaro, and Stefano Roggero, and Daniela Corsi, and Antonio Scarmozzino, and Roberta Siliquini
November 2018, Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer,
Fabrizio Bert, and Omar Kakaa, and Alessio Corradi, and Annamaria Mascaro, and Stefano Roggero, and Daniela Corsi, and Antonio Scarmozzino, and Roberta Siliquini
July 2001, Brain injury,
Fabrizio Bert, and Omar Kakaa, and Alessio Corradi, and Annamaria Mascaro, and Stefano Roggero, and Daniela Corsi, and Antonio Scarmozzino, and Roberta Siliquini
August 2021, British journal of neurosurgery,
Fabrizio Bert, and Omar Kakaa, and Alessio Corradi, and Annamaria Mascaro, and Stefano Roggero, and Daniela Corsi, and Antonio Scarmozzino, and Roberta Siliquini
August 2005, ANZ journal of surgery,
Fabrizio Bert, and Omar Kakaa, and Alessio Corradi, and Annamaria Mascaro, and Stefano Roggero, and Daniela Corsi, and Antonio Scarmozzino, and Roberta Siliquini
January 2017, Surgical neurology international,
Fabrizio Bert, and Omar Kakaa, and Alessio Corradi, and Annamaria Mascaro, and Stefano Roggero, and Daniela Corsi, and Antonio Scarmozzino, and Roberta Siliquini
August 2005, American journal of physical medicine & rehabilitation,
Fabrizio Bert, and Omar Kakaa, and Alessio Corradi, and Annamaria Mascaro, and Stefano Roggero, and Daniela Corsi, and Antonio Scarmozzino, and Roberta Siliquini
February 2021, Annals of medicine and surgery (2012),
Fabrizio Bert, and Omar Kakaa, and Alessio Corradi, and Annamaria Mascaro, and Stefano Roggero, and Daniela Corsi, and Antonio Scarmozzino, and Roberta Siliquini
August 2022, JPEN. Journal of parenteral and enteral nutrition,
Fabrizio Bert, and Omar Kakaa, and Alessio Corradi, and Annamaria Mascaro, and Stefano Roggero, and Daniela Corsi, and Antonio Scarmozzino, and Roberta Siliquini
June 2016, Health services research,
Copied contents to your clipboard!