Development of a computed tomography-based radiomics nomogram for prediction of transarterial chemoembolization refractoriness in hepatocellular carcinoma. 2021

Xiang-Ke Niu, and Xiao-Feng He
Department of Interventional Radiology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou 510515, Guangdong Province, China.

BACKGROUND Some patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are more likely to experience disease progression despite continuous transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), which is called TACE refractoriness. At present, it is still difficult to predict TACE refractoriness, although some models/scoring systems have been developed. At present, radiological-based radiomics models have been successfully applied to predict cancer patient prognosis. OBJECTIVE To develop and validate a computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics nomogram for the pre-treatment prediction of TACE refractoriness. METHODS This retrospective study consisted of a training dataset (n = 137) and an external validation dataset (n = 81) of patients with clinically/pathologically confirmed HCC who underwent repeated TACE from March 2009 to March 2016. Radiomics features were retrospectively extracted from preoperative CT images of the arterial phase. The pre-treatment radiomics signature was generated using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression analysis. A CT-based radiomics nomogram incorporating clinical risk factors and the radiomics signature was built and verified by calibration curve and decision curve analyses. The usefulness of the CT-based radiomics nomogram was assessed by Kaplan-Meier curve analysis. We used the concordance index to conduct head-to-head comparisons of the radiomics nomogram with the other four models (Assessment for Retreatment with Transarterial Chemoembolization score; α-fetoprotein, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, Child-Pugh, and Response score; CT-based radiomics signature; and clinical model). All analyses were conducted according to the transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis statement. RESULTS The median duration of follow-up was 61.3 mo (interquartile range, 25.5-69.3 mo) for the training cohort and 67.1 mo (interquartile range, 32.4-71.3 mo) for the validation cohort. The median number of TACE sessions was 4 (range, 3-7) in both cohorts. Eight radiomics features were chosen from 869 candidate features to build a radiomics signature. The CT-based radiomics nomogram included the radiomics score (hazard ratio = 3.9, 95% confidence interval: 3.1-8.8, P < 0.001) and four clinical factors and classified patients into high-risk (score > 3.5) and low-risk (score ≤ 3.5) groups with markedly different prognoses (overall survival: 12.3 mo vs 23.6 mo, P < 0.001). The accuracy of the nomogram was considerably higher than that of the other four models. The calibration curve and decision curve analyses verified the usefulness of the CT-based radiomics nomogram for clinical practice. CONCLUSIONS The newly constructed CT-based radiomics nomogram can be used for the pre-treatment prediction of TACE refractoriness, which may provide better guidance for decision making regarding further TACE treatment.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008113 Liver Neoplasms Tumors or cancer of the LIVER. Cancer of Liver,Hepatic Cancer,Liver Cancer,Cancer of the Liver,Cancer, Hepatocellular,Hepatic Neoplasms,Hepatocellular Cancer,Neoplasms, Hepatic,Neoplasms, Liver,Cancer, Hepatic,Cancer, Liver,Cancers, Hepatic,Cancers, Hepatocellular,Cancers, Liver,Hepatic Cancers,Hepatic Neoplasm,Hepatocellular Cancers,Liver Cancers,Liver Neoplasm,Neoplasm, Hepatic,Neoplasm, Liver
D006528 Carcinoma, Hepatocellular A primary malignant neoplasm of epithelial liver cells. It ranges from a well-differentiated tumor with EPITHELIAL CELLS indistinguishable from normal HEPATOCYTES to a poorly differentiated neoplasm. The cells may be uniform or markedly pleomorphic, or form GIANT CELLS. Several classification schemes have been suggested. Hepatocellular Carcinoma,Hepatoma,Liver Cancer, Adult,Liver Cell Carcinoma,Liver Cell Carcinoma, Adult,Adult Liver Cancer,Adult Liver Cancers,Cancer, Adult Liver,Cancers, Adult Liver,Carcinoma, Liver Cell,Carcinomas, Hepatocellular,Carcinomas, Liver Cell,Cell Carcinoma, Liver,Cell Carcinomas, Liver,Hepatocellular Carcinomas,Hepatomas,Liver Cancers, Adult,Liver Cell Carcinomas
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D012189 Retrospective Studies Studies used to test etiologic hypotheses in which inferences about an exposure to putative causal factors are derived from data relating to characteristics of persons under study or to events or experiences in their past. The essential feature is that some of the persons under study have the disease or outcome of interest and their characteristics are compared with those of unaffected persons. Retrospective Study,Studies, Retrospective,Study, Retrospective
D014057 Tomography, X-Ray Computed Tomography using x-ray transmission and a computer algorithm to reconstruct the image. CAT Scan, X-Ray,CT Scan, X-Ray,Cine-CT,Computerized Tomography, X-Ray,Electron Beam Computed Tomography,Tomodensitometry,Tomography, Transmission Computed,X-Ray Tomography, Computed,CAT Scan, X Ray,CT X Ray,Computed Tomography, X-Ray,Computed X Ray Tomography,Computerized Tomography, X Ray,Electron Beam Tomography,Tomography, X Ray Computed,Tomography, X-Ray Computer Assisted,Tomography, X-Ray Computerized,Tomography, X-Ray Computerized Axial,Tomography, Xray Computed,X Ray Computerized Tomography,X Ray Tomography, Computed,X-Ray Computer Assisted Tomography,X-Ray Computerized Axial Tomography,Beam Tomography, Electron,CAT Scans, X-Ray,CT Scan, X Ray,CT Scans, X-Ray,CT X Rays,Cine CT,Computed Tomography, Transmission,Computed Tomography, X Ray,Computed Tomography, Xray,Computed X-Ray Tomography,Scan, X-Ray CAT,Scan, X-Ray CT,Scans, X-Ray CAT,Scans, X-Ray CT,Tomographies, Computed X-Ray,Tomography, Computed X-Ray,Tomography, Electron Beam,Tomography, X Ray Computer Assisted,Tomography, X Ray Computerized,Tomography, X Ray Computerized Axial,Transmission Computed Tomography,X Ray Computer Assisted Tomography,X Ray Computerized Axial Tomography,X Ray, CT,X Rays, CT,X-Ray CAT Scan,X-Ray CAT Scans,X-Ray CT Scan,X-Ray CT Scans,X-Ray Computed Tomography,X-Ray Computerized Tomography,Xray Computed Tomography
D016461 Chemoembolization, Therapeutic Administration of antineoplastic agents together with an embolizing vehicle. This allows slow release of the agent as well as obstruction of the blood supply to the neoplasm. Therapeutic Chemoembolization,Chemoembolizations, Therapeutic,Therapeutic Chemoembolizations
D049451 Nomograms Graphical representation of a statistical model containing scales for calculating the prognostic weight of a value for each individual variable. Nomograms are instruments that can be used to predict outcomes using specific clinical parameters. They use ALGORITHMS that incorporate several variables to calculate the predicted probability that a patient will achieve a particular clinical endpoint. Partin Nomograms,Partin Tables,Nomogram,Nomogram, Partin,Nomograms, Partin,Partin Nomogram,Partin Table,Table, Partin,Tables, Partin

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