Statistical and practical considerations in designing of immuno-oncology trials. 2020

Pralay Mukhopadhyay, and Wenmei Huang, and Paul Metcalfe, and Fredrik Öhrn, and Mary Jenner, and Andrew Stone
Oncology Biometrics, AstraZeneca, Gaithersburg, USA.

The novel mechanism of action of immunotherapy agents, in treatment of various types of cancer, poses unique challenges during the designing of clinical trials. It is important to account for possibility of a delayed treatment effect and adjust sample size accordingly. This paper provides an analytical approach for computing sample size in the presence of a delayed effect using a piece-wise proportional hazards model. Failing to account for an anticipated treatment delay may result in considerable loss in power. The overall hazard ratio (HR), which now represents the average HR across the entire treatment period, can remain a meaningful measure of average benefit to patients in the trial. We show that, special consideration needs to be given for the designing of interim analyses related to futility, so as not to increase the probability of incorrectly stopping an effective agent. It is shown that the weighted log-rank test, using the Fleming-Harrington class of weights, can be used as supportive analysis to better reflect the impact of a delayed effect and possible long-term benefit in a subset of the overall population.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007167 Immunotherapy Manipulation of the host's immune system in treatment of disease. It includes both active and passive immunization as well as immunosuppressive therapy to prevent graft rejection. Immunotherapies
D009369 Neoplasms New abnormal growth of tissue. Malignant neoplasms show a greater degree of anaplasia and have the properties of invasion and metastasis, compared to benign neoplasms. Benign Neoplasm,Cancer,Malignant Neoplasm,Tumor,Tumors,Benign Neoplasms,Malignancy,Malignant Neoplasms,Neoplasia,Neoplasm,Neoplasms, Benign,Cancers,Malignancies,Neoplasias,Neoplasm, Benign,Neoplasm, Malignant,Neoplasms, Malignant
D011336 Probability The study of chance processes or the relative frequency characterizing a chance process. Probabilities
D012107 Research Design A plan for collecting and utilizing data so that desired information can be obtained with sufficient precision or so that an hypothesis can be tested properly. Experimental Design,Data Adjustment,Data Reporting,Design, Experimental,Designs, Experimental,Error Sources,Experimental Designs,Matched Groups,Methodology, Research,Problem Formulation,Research Methodology,Research Proposal,Research Strategy,Research Technics,Research Techniques,Scoring Methods,Adjustment, Data,Adjustments, Data,Data Adjustments,Design, Research,Designs, Research,Error Source,Formulation, Problem,Formulations, Problem,Group, Matched,Groups, Matched,Matched Group,Method, Scoring,Methods, Scoring,Problem Formulations,Proposal, Research,Proposals, Research,Reporting, Data,Research Designs,Research Proposals,Research Strategies,Research Technic,Research Technique,Scoring Method,Source, Error,Sources, Error,Strategies, Research,Strategy, Research,Technic, Research,Technics, Research,Technique, Research,Techniques, Research
D002986 Clinical Trials as Topic Works about pre-planned studies of the safety, efficacy, or optimum dosage schedule (if appropriate) of one or more diagnostic, therapeutic, or prophylactic drugs, devices, or techniques selected according to predetermined criteria of eligibility and observed for predefined evidence of favorable and unfavorable effects. This concept includes clinical trials conducted both in the U.S. and in other countries. Clinical Trial as Topic
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D016016 Proportional Hazards Models Statistical models used in survival analysis that assert that the effect of the study factors on the hazard rate in the study population is multiplicative and does not change over time. Cox Model,Cox Proportional Hazards Model,Hazard Model,Hazards Model,Hazards Models,Models, Proportional Hazards,Proportional Hazard Model,Proportional Hazards Model,Cox Models,Cox Proportional Hazards Models,Hazard Models,Proportional Hazard Models,Hazard Model, Proportional,Hazard Models, Proportional,Hazards Model, Proportional,Hazards Models, Proportional,Model, Cox,Model, Hazard,Model, Hazards,Model, Proportional Hazard,Model, Proportional Hazards,Models, Cox,Models, Hazard,Models, Hazards,Models, Proportional Hazard
D018401 Sample Size The number of units (persons, animals, patients, specified circumstances, etc.) in a population to be studied. The sample size should be big enough to have a high likelihood of detecting a true difference between two groups. (From Wassertheil-Smoller, Biostatistics and Epidemiology, 1990, p95) Sample Sizes,Size, Sample,Sizes, Sample

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