The area under the generalized receiver-operating characteristic curve. 2021

Pablo Martínez-Camblor, and Sonia Pérez-Fernández, and Susana Díaz-Coto
Department of Biomedical Data Science, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, 7 Lebanon Street, Suite 309, Hinman Box 7261, Hanover, NH 03755, USA.

The receiver operating-characteristic (ROC) curve is a well-known graphical tool routinely used for evaluating the discriminatory ability of continuous markers, referring to a binary characteristic. The area under the curve (AUC) has been proposed as a summarized accuracy index. Higher values of the marker are usually associated with higher probabilities of having the characteristic under study. However, there are other situations where both, higher and lower marker scores, are associated with a positive result. The generalized ROC (gROC) curve has been proposed as a proper extension of the ROC curve to fit these situations. Of course, the corresponding area under the gROC curve, gAUC, has also been introduced as a global measure of the classification capacity. In this paper, we study in deep the gAUC properties. The weak convergence of its empirical estimator is provided while deriving an explicit and useful expression for the asymptotic variance. We also obtain the expression for the asymptotic covariance of related gAUCs and propose a non-parametric procedure to compare them. The finite-samples behavior is studied through Monte Carlo simulations under different scenarios, presenting a real-world problem in order to illustrate its practical application. The R code functions implementing the procedures are provided as Supplementary Material.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D009010 Monte Carlo Method In statistics, a technique for numerically approximating the solution of a mathematical problem by studying the distribution of some random variable, often generated by a computer. The name alludes to the randomness characteristic of the games of chance played at the gambling casinos in Monte Carlo. (From Random House Unabridged Dictionary, 2d ed, 1993) Method, Monte Carlo
D012372 ROC Curve A graphic means for assessing the ability of a screening test to discriminate between healthy and diseased persons; may also be used in other studies, e.g., distinguishing stimuli responses as to a faint stimuli or nonstimuli. ROC Analysis,Receiver Operating Characteristic,Analysis, ROC,Analyses, ROC,Characteristic, Receiver Operating,Characteristics, Receiver Operating,Curve, ROC,Curves, ROC,ROC Analyses,ROC Curves,Receiver Operating Characteristics
D015415 Biomarkers Measurable and quantifiable biological parameters (e.g., specific enzyme concentration, specific hormone concentration, specific gene phenotype distribution in a population, presence of biological substances) which serve as indices for health- and physiology-related assessments, such as disease risk, psychiatric disorders, ENVIRONMENTAL EXPOSURE and its effects, disease diagnosis; METABOLIC PROCESSES; SUBSTANCE ABUSE; PREGNANCY; cell line development; EPIDEMIOLOGIC STUDIES; etc. Biochemical Markers,Biological Markers,Biomarker,Clinical Markers,Immunologic Markers,Laboratory Markers,Markers, Biochemical,Markers, Biological,Markers, Clinical,Markers, Immunologic,Markers, Laboratory,Markers, Serum,Markers, Surrogate,Markers, Viral,Serum Markers,Surrogate Markers,Viral Markers,Biochemical Marker,Biologic Marker,Biologic Markers,Clinical Marker,Immune Marker,Immune Markers,Immunologic Marker,Laboratory Marker,Marker, Biochemical,Marker, Biological,Marker, Clinical,Marker, Immunologic,Marker, Laboratory,Marker, Serum,Marker, Surrogate,Serum Marker,Surrogate End Point,Surrogate End Points,Surrogate Endpoint,Surrogate Endpoints,Surrogate Marker,Viral Marker,Biological Marker,End Point, Surrogate,End Points, Surrogate,Endpoint, Surrogate,Endpoints, Surrogate,Marker, Biologic,Marker, Immune,Marker, Viral,Markers, Biologic,Markers, Immune
D019540 Area Under Curve A statistical means of summarizing information from a series of measurements on one individual. It is frequently used in clinical pharmacology where the AUC from serum levels can be interpreted as the total uptake of whatever has been administered. As a plot of the concentration of a drug against time, after a single dose of medicine, producing a standard shape curve, it is a means of comparing the bioavailability of the same drug made by different companies. (From Winslade, Dictionary of Clinical Research, 1992) AUC,Area Under Curves,Curve, Area Under,Curves, Area Under,Under Curve, Area,Under Curves, Area

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