Estimating false-positive and false-negative errors in analyses of hormonal pulsatility. 1988

E Van Cauter
Institute of Interdisciplinary Research, Free University of Brussels, Belgium.

Previous studies evaluating computer algorithms for endocrine pulse detection have estimated the rate of false-positive pulses in series of purely random variations (i.e., "noise") and have determined pulse-detection criteria associated with low levels of such false-positive rates. The present study investigates the relationship between the false-positive rate and the sizes of the false-positive and false-negative errors on pulse frequency for series including both pulses and noise. The algorithm used (ULTRA) proceeds by eliminating all peaks of concentration for which either the increment or the decrement does not exceed a threshold expressed in multiples of the local intra-assay coefficient of variation. A total of 336 computer-generated series was analyzed using thresholds of two and three coefficients of variation. The effects of noise level, pulse frequency, pulse amplitude, and presence of a base-line variation on the sizes of the false-positive and false-negative errors were evaluated. The false-positive rate in noise series exceeded the false-positive rate by a 4- to 10-fold factor in series including at least 8 pulses/100 samples. When pulse frequency increased, the false-positive error decreased, but the false-negative error increased. In series with more than 8 pulses/100 samples, the use of thresholds aimed at maintaining the false-positive rate in noise series below 1% resulted in a false-negative error in excess of 20%. In conclusion, for hormonal profiles that include 8 or more pulses/100 samples, the use of pulse-detection criteria tailored to minimize the false-positive rate in noise series may result in an underestimation of pulse frequency.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D003201 Computers Programmable electronic devices designed to accept data, perform prescribed mathematical and logical operations at high speed, and display the results of these operations. Calculators, Programmable,Computer Hardware,Computers, Digital,Hardware, Computer,Calculator, Programmable,Computer,Computer, Digital,Digital Computer,Digital Computers,Programmable Calculator,Programmable Calculators
D005188 False Negative Reactions Negative test results in subjects who possess the attribute for which the test is conducted. The labeling of diseased persons as healthy when screening in the detection of disease. (Last, A Dictionary of Epidemiology, 2d ed) False Negative Reaction,Reaction, False Negative,Reactions, False Negative
D005189 False Positive Reactions Positive test results in subjects who do not possess the attribute for which the test is conducted. The labeling of healthy persons as diseased when screening in the detection of disease. (Last, A Dictionary of Epidemiology, 2d ed) False Positive Reaction,Positive Reaction, False,Positive Reactions, False,Reaction, False Positive,Reactions, False Positive
D006728 Hormones Chemical substances having a specific regulatory effect on the activity of a certain organ or organs. The term was originally applied to substances secreted by various ENDOCRINE GLANDS and transported in the bloodstream to the target organs. It is sometimes extended to include those substances that are not produced by the endocrine glands but that have similar effects. Hormone,Hormone Receptor Agonists,Agonists, Hormone Receptor,Receptor Agonists, Hormone
D000465 Algorithms A procedure consisting of a sequence of algebraic formulas and/or logical steps to calculate or determine a given task. Algorithm
D012984 Software Sequential operating programs and data which instruct the functioning of a digital computer. Computer Programs,Computer Software,Open Source Software,Software Engineering,Software Tools,Computer Applications Software,Computer Programs and Programming,Computer Software Applications,Application, Computer Software,Applications Software, Computer,Applications Softwares, Computer,Applications, Computer Software,Computer Applications Softwares,Computer Program,Computer Software Application,Engineering, Software,Open Source Softwares,Program, Computer,Programs, Computer,Software Application, Computer,Software Applications, Computer,Software Tool,Software, Computer,Software, Computer Applications,Software, Open Source,Softwares, Computer Applications,Softwares, Open Source,Source Software, Open,Source Softwares, Open,Tool, Software,Tools, Software

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