Trajectory-Based Classification of Recovery in Sensorimotor Complete Traumatic Cervical Spinal Cord Injury. 2021

Blessing N R Jaja, and Jetan Badhiwala, and James Guest, and James Harrop, and Chris Shaffrey, and Max Boakye, and Shekar Kurpad, and Robert Grossman, and Elizabeth Toups, and Fred Geisler, and Brian Kwon, and Bizhan Aarabi, and Mark Kotter, and Michael G Fehlings, and Jefferson R Wilson
From the Division of Neurosurgery and Spine Program (B.N.R.J., M.G.F.), Toronto Western Hospital, Division of Neurosurgery and Spine Program (J.B.), and Division of Neurosurgery and Spine Program, St. Michael's Hospital (J.R.W.), University of Toronto, Canada; Division of Neurosurgery (J.G.), University of Miami, FL; Division of Neurosurgery (J.H.), Thomas Jefferson University Hospital, Philadelphia, PA; Duke Spine Division (C.S.), Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC; Division of Neurosurgery (M.B.), University of Louisville, KY; Division of Neurosurgery (S.K.), Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee; Division of Neurosurgery (R.G., E.T.), Methodist Hospital, Houston, TX; Chicago Institute of Neurosurgery and Neuroresearch (F.G.), Rush University, IL; Division of Spine Surgery (B.K.), Vancouver General Hospital, University of British Columbia, Canada; Division of Neurosurgery, Shock Trauma (B.A.), University of Maryland, Baltimore; and Division of Neurosurgery, Department of Clinical Neurosciences (M.K.), University of Cambridge, UK.

OBJECTIVE To test the hypothesis that sensorimotor complete traumatic cervical spinal cord injury (SCI) is a heterogenous clinical entity comprising several subpopulations that follow fundamentally different trajectories of neurologic recovery. METHODS We analyzed demographic and injury data from 655 patients who were pooled from 4 prospective longitudinal multicenter studies. Group-based trajectory modeling was applied to model neurologic recovery trajectories over the initial 12 months postinjury and to identify predictors of recovery trajectories. Neurologic outcomes included upper extremity motor score, total motor scores, and American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS) grade improvement. RESULTS The analysis identified 3 distinct trajectories of neurologic recovery. These clinical courses included (1) marginal recovery trajectory, characterized by minimal or no improvement in motor strength or change in AIS grade status (remained grade A); (2) moderate recovery trajectory, characterized by low baseline motor scores that improved approximately 13 points or AIS conversion of 1 grade point; (3) good recovery trajectory, characterized by baseline motor scores in the upper quartile that improved to near maximum values within 3 months of injury. Patients following the moderate or good recovery trajectories were younger, had more caudally located injuries, had a higher degree of preserved motor and sensory function at baseline examination, and exhibited a greater extent of motor and sensory function in the zone of partial preservation. CONCLUSIONS Cervical complete SCI can be classified into one of 3 distinct subpopulations with fundamentally different trajectories of neurologic recovery. This study defines unique clinical phenotypes based on potential for recovery, rather than baseline severity of injury alone. This approach may prove beneficial in clinical prognostication and in the design and interpretation of clinical trials in SCI.

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