Clinical risk score for central precocious puberty among girls with precocious pubertal development: a cross sectional study. 2021

Jingyu You, and Xianying Cheng, and Xiaojing Li, and Mingqing Li, and Li Yao, and Feihong Luo, and Ruoqian Cheng, and Li Xi, and Jiangfeng Ye
Department of Pediatric Endocrinology and Inborn Metabolic Diseases, Children's Hospital, Fudan University, 399 Wanyuan Road, Shanghai, 201102, China.

BACKGROUND The gold standard for the diagnosis of central precocious puberty (CPP) is gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) or GnRH analogs (GnRHa) stimulation test. But the stimulation test is time-consuming and costly. Our objective was to develop a risk score model readily adoptable by clinicians and patients. METHODS A cross-sectional study based on the electronic medical record system was conducted in the Children's Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China from January 2010 to August 2016. Patients with precocious puberty were randomly split into the training (n = 314) and validation (n = 313) sample. In the training sample, variables associated with CPP (P < 0.2) in univariate analyses were introduced in a multivariable logistic regression model. Prediction model was selected using a forward stepwise analysis. A risk score model was built with the scaled coefficients of the model and tested in the validation sample. RESULTS CPP was diagnosed in 54.8% (172/314) and 55.0% (172/313) of patients in the training and validation sample, respectively. The CPP risk score model included age at the onset of puberty, basal luteinizing hormone (LH) concentration, largest ovarian volume, and uterine volume. The C-index was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.81-0.89) and 0.86 (95% CI: 0.82-0.90) in the training and the validation sample, respectively. Two cut-off points were selected to delimitate a low- (< 10 points), median- (10-19 points), and high-risk (≥ 20 points) group. CONCLUSIONS A risk score model for the risk of CPP had a moderate predictive performance, which offers the advantage of helping evaluate the requirement for further diagnostic tests (GnRH or GnRHa stimulation test).

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D011629 Puberty, Precocious Development of SEXUAL MATURATION in boys and girls at a chronological age that is 2.5 standard deviations below the mean age at onset of PUBERTY in the population. This early maturation of the hypothalamic-pituitary-gonadal axis results in sexual precocity, elevated serum levels of GONADOTROPINS and GONADAL STEROID HORMONES such as ESTRADIOL and TESTOSTERONE. Familial Precocious Puberty,Idiopathic Sexual Precocity,Precocious Puberty,Precocious Puberty, Central,Precocious Puberty, Male Limited,Precocious Puberty, Male-Limited,Pubertas Praecox,Sexual Precocity,Testotoxicosis,Central Precocious Puberties,Central Precocious Puberty,Familial Precocious Puberties,Idiopathic Sexual Precocities,Male-Limited Precocious Puberties,Male-Limited Precocious Puberty,Praecox, Pubertas,Precocious Puberties,Precocious Puberties, Central,Precocious Puberties, Familial,Precocious Puberties, Male-Limited,Precocious Puberty, Familial,Precocities, Idiopathic Sexual,Precocities, Sexual,Precocity, Idiopathic Sexual,Precocity, Sexual,Puberties, Central Precocious,Puberties, Familial Precocious,Puberties, Male-Limited Precocious,Puberties, Precocious,Puberty, Central Precocious,Puberty, Familial Precocious,Puberty, Male-Limited Precocious,Sexual Precocities,Sexual Precocities, Idiopathic,Sexual Precocity, Idiopathic
D002648 Child A person 6 to 12 years of age. An individual 2 to 5 years old is CHILD, PRESCHOOL. Children
D002657 Child Development The continuous sequential physiological and psychological maturing of an individual from birth up to but not including ADOLESCENCE. Infant Development,Development, Child,Development, Infant
D002675 Child, Preschool A child between the ages of 2 and 5. Children, Preschool,Preschool Child,Preschool Children
D002681 China A country spanning from central Asia to the Pacific Ocean. Inner Mongolia,Manchuria,People's Republic of China,Sinkiang,Mainland China
D003430 Cross-Sectional Studies Studies in which the presence or absence of disease or other health-related variables are determined in each member of the study population or in a representative sample at one particular time. This contrasts with LONGITUDINAL STUDIES which are followed over a period of time. Disease Frequency Surveys,Prevalence Studies,Analysis, Cross-Sectional,Cross Sectional Analysis,Cross-Sectional Survey,Surveys, Disease Frequency,Analyses, Cross Sectional,Analyses, Cross-Sectional,Analysis, Cross Sectional,Cross Sectional Analyses,Cross Sectional Studies,Cross Sectional Survey,Cross-Sectional Analyses,Cross-Sectional Analysis,Cross-Sectional Study,Cross-Sectional Surveys,Disease Frequency Survey,Prevalence Study,Studies, Cross-Sectional,Studies, Prevalence,Study, Cross-Sectional,Study, Prevalence,Survey, Cross-Sectional,Survey, Disease Frequency,Surveys, Cross-Sectional
D005260 Female Females
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D012307 Risk Factors An aspect of personal behavior or lifestyle, environmental exposure, inborn or inherited characteristic, which, based on epidemiological evidence, is known to be associated with a health-related condition considered important to prevent. Health Correlates,Risk Factor Scores,Risk Scores,Social Risk Factors,Population at Risk,Populations at Risk,Correlates, Health,Factor, Risk,Factor, Social Risk,Factors, Social Risk,Risk Factor,Risk Factor Score,Risk Factor, Social,Risk Factors, Social,Risk Score,Score, Risk,Score, Risk Factor,Social Risk Factor

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