Prediction of weaning from mechanical ventilation using Convolutional Neural Networks. 2021

Yan Jia, and Chaitanya Kaul, and Tom Lawton, and Roderick Murray-Smith, and Ibrahim Habli
Department of Computer Science, University of York, York, UK. Electronic address: yj914@york.ac.uk.

Weaning from mechanical ventilation covers the process of liberating the patient from mechanical support and removing the associated endotracheal tube. The management of weaning from mechanical ventilation comprises a significant proportion of the care of critically ill intubated patients in Intensive Care Units (ICUs). Both prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation and premature extubation expose patients to an increased risk of complications and increased health care costs. This work aims to develop a decision support model using routinely-recorded patient information to predict extubation readiness. In order to do so, we have deployed Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to predict the most appropriate treatment action in the next hour for a given patient state, using historical ICU data extracted from MIMIC-III. The model achieved 86% accuracy and 0.94 area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC). We also performed feature importance analysis for the CNN model and interpreted these features using the DeepLIFT method. The results of the feature importance assessment show that the CNN model makes predictions using clinically meaningful and appropriate features. Finally, we implemented counterfactual explanations for the CNN model. This can help clinicians understand what feature changes for a particular patient would lead to a desirable outcome, i.e. readiness to extubate.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D007362 Intensive Care Units Hospital units providing continuous surveillance and care to acutely ill patients. ICU Intensive Care Units,Intensive Care Unit,Unit, Intensive Care
D012121 Respiration, Artificial Any method of artificial breathing that employs mechanical or non-mechanical means to force the air into and out of the lungs. Artificial respiration or ventilation is used in individuals who have stopped breathing or have RESPIRATORY INSUFFICIENCY to increase their intake of oxygen (O2) and excretion of carbon dioxide (CO2). Ventilation, Mechanical,Mechanical Ventilation,Artificial Respiration,Artificial Respirations,Mechanical Ventilations,Respirations, Artificial,Ventilations, Mechanical
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D015300 Ventilator Weaning Techniques for effecting the transition of the respiratory-failure patient from mechanical ventilation to spontaneous ventilation, while meeting the criteria that tidal volume be above a given threshold (greater than 5 ml/kg), respiratory frequency be below a given count (less than 30 breaths/min), and oxygen partial pressure be above a given threshold (PaO2 greater than 50mm Hg). Weaning studies focus on finding methods to monitor and predict the outcome of mechanical ventilator weaning as well as finding ventilatory support techniques which will facilitate successful weaning. Present methods include intermittent mandatory ventilation, intermittent positive pressure ventilation, and mandatory minute volume ventilation. Mechanical Ventilator Weaning,Respirator Weaning,Ventilator Weaning, Mechanical,Weaning, Mechanical Ventilator,Weaning, Respirator,Weaning, Ventilator
D016571 Neural Networks, Computer A computer architecture, implementable in either hardware or software, modeled after biological neural networks. Like the biological system in which the processing capability is a result of the interconnection strengths between arrays of nonlinear processing nodes, computerized neural networks, often called perceptrons or multilayer connectionist models, consist of neuron-like units. A homogeneous group of units makes up a layer. These networks are good at pattern recognition. They are adaptive, performing tasks by example, and thus are better for decision-making than are linear learning machines or cluster analysis. They do not require explicit programming. Computational Neural Networks,Connectionist Models,Models, Neural Network,Neural Network Models,Neural Networks (Computer),Perceptrons,Computational Neural Network,Computer Neural Network,Computer Neural Networks,Connectionist Model,Model, Connectionist,Model, Neural Network,Models, Connectionist,Network Model, Neural,Network Models, Neural,Network, Computational Neural,Network, Computer Neural,Network, Neural (Computer),Networks, Computational Neural,Networks, Computer Neural,Networks, Neural (Computer),Neural Network (Computer),Neural Network Model,Neural Network, Computational,Neural Network, Computer,Neural Networks, Computational,Perceptron
D016638 Critical Illness A disease or state in which death is possible or imminent. Critically Ill,Critical Illnesses,Illness, Critical,Illnesses, Critical

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