The prognostic value of urinary cytology after trimodal therapy (TMT) for muscle-invasive bladder cancer. 2022

Louise C McLoughlin, and Sophie O'Halloran, and Michael Tjong, and Khaled Ajib, and Katherine Lajkosz, and Heather Ruff, and Sikei Lou, and Peter Chung, and Srinivas Raman, and Girish S Kulkarni, and Alexandre R Zlotta, and Neil E Fleshner, and Alejandro Berlin
Department of Surgical Oncology (Urology), Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, Canada. Electronic address: louisemcloughlin@rcsi.ie.

Urine cytology and cystoscopy are routinely employed during follow-up of patients after trimodal therapy (TMT) for muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). The significance of positive or equivocal cytology without visible disease recurrence on cystoscopy during follow-up is unknown, and studies informing outcomes in this scenario are lacking. This study aims to investigate the temporal trends of positive/equivocal cytology in the absence of visible disease recurrence and the association with bladder cancer recurrence and survival outcomes. One hundred and twenty-nine patients with available post-TMT cytology data and negative cystoscopy from a single academic institution between 2002 and 2017 with a median follow-up of 3.4 (range 0.1-14.2) years were analyzed. Cytology results, first post-TMT cytology positive/equivocal (CP) and negative (CN), were evaluated for association with disease recurrence and survival. Kaplan. Meier and competing risks methods were used to assess time-to-negative cytology in CP patients with ≥2 interval post-TMT cytology results (n = 33), time-to-recurrence, and disease-specific mortality (DSM) stratified by first post-TMT cytology result. At first follow-up (6-8 weeks post-TMT completion), CP was observed in 41 (32%) and CN in 88 (68%) of patients. With further follow-up of CP patients with ≥2 interval post-TMT cytology results, the probability of developing negative cytology was 57% (95% CI 42, 77) at 6 months post-TMT, and the median time-to-negative cytology was 3.2 months (95% CI 2.99, 5.80). The median time-to-recurrence was reduced in CP patients compared to CN (24.3 vs. 78.1 months, p = 0.1), corresponding with an apparent increase in the cumulative incidence of recurrence rate at 3 years in the CP vs. CN group (62% vs. 42%, p = 0.1). No significant difference was observed in the 3-year DSM rates. On univariable analysis, the hazards of recurrence and DSM for patients with CP were 1.5 (95% CI 0.9, 2.5, p = 0.1) and 2.1 (95% CI 0.9, 4.7, p = 0.07) respectively. This is the first study to investigate the significance of a positive/equivocal cytology without visible disease following TMT for MIBC. Positive cytology is common and does not preclude subsequent negative cytology supporting a watchful waiting approach rather than proceeding immediately to biopsy. However, cytology that remains positive at subsequent follow-up may be associated with adverse recurrence and survival outcomes.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D009132 Muscles Contractile tissue that produces movement in animals. Muscle Tissue,Muscle,Muscle Tissues,Tissue, Muscle,Tissues, Muscle
D009364 Neoplasm Recurrence, Local The local recurrence of a neoplasm following treatment. It arises from microscopic cells of the original neoplasm that have escaped therapeutic intervention and later become clinically visible at the original site. Local Neoplasm Recurrence,Local Neoplasm Recurrences,Locoregional Neoplasm Recurrence,Neoplasm Recurrence, Locoregional,Neoplasm Recurrences, Local,Recurrence, Local Neoplasm,Recurrence, Locoregional Neoplasm,Recurrences, Local Neoplasm,Locoregional Neoplasm Recurrences,Neoplasm Recurrences, Locoregional,Recurrences, Locoregional Neoplasm
D011379 Prognosis A prediction of the probable outcome of a disease based on a individual's condition and the usual course of the disease as seen in similar situations. Prognostic Factor,Prognostic Factors,Factor, Prognostic,Factors, Prognostic,Prognoses
D001749 Urinary Bladder Neoplasms Tumors or cancer of the URINARY BLADDER. Bladder Cancer,Bladder Neoplasms,Cancer of Bladder,Bladder Tumors,Cancer of the Bladder,Malignant Tumor of Urinary Bladder,Neoplasms, Bladder,Urinary Bladder Cancer,Bladder Cancers,Bladder Neoplasm,Bladder Tumor,Cancer, Bladder,Cancer, Urinary Bladder,Neoplasm, Bladder,Neoplasm, Urinary Bladder,Tumor, Bladder,Tumors, Bladder,Urinary Bladder Neoplasm
D003558 Cystoscopy Endoscopic examination, therapy or surgery of the urinary bladder. Cystoscopic Surgical Procedures,Surgical Procedures, Cystoscopic,Cystoscopic Surgery,Surgery, Cystoscopic,Cystoscopic Surgeries,Cystoscopic Surgical Procedure,Cystoscopies,Procedure, Cystoscopic Surgical,Procedures, Cystoscopic Surgical,Surgeries, Cystoscopic,Surgical Procedure, Cystoscopic
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man

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