Toward an efficient approximate analytical solution for 4-compartment COVID-19 fractional mathematical model. 2022

O O Okundalaye, and W A M Othman, and A S Oke
Department of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science, Adekunle Ajasin University, Akungba-Akoko, Ondo State, P. M. B 001, Nigeria.

With the recent trend in the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19), there is a need for an accurate approximate analytical solution from which several intrinsic features of COVID-19 dynamics can be extracted. This study proposes a time-fractional model for the SEIR COVID-19 mathematical model to predict the trend of COVID-19 epidemic in China. The efficient approximate analytical solution of multistage optimal homotopy asymptotic method (MOHAM) is used to solve the model for a closed-form series solution and mathematical representation of COVID-19 model which is indeed a field where MOHAM has not been applied. The equilibrium points and basic reproduction number are obtained and the local stability analysis is carried out on the model. The behaviour of the pandemic is studied based on the data obtained from the World Health Organization. We show on tables and graphs the performance, behaviour, and mathematical representation of the various fractional-order of the model. The study aimed to expand the application areas of fractional-order analysis. The results indicate that the infected class decreases gradually until 14 October 2021, and it will still decrease slightly if people are being vaccinated. Lastly, we carried out the implementation using Maple software 2021a.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries

Related Publications

O O Okundalaye, and W A M Othman, and A S Oke
August 2021, Mathematical methods in the applied sciences,
O O Okundalaye, and W A M Othman, and A S Oke
April 2022, Chaos, solitons, and fractals,
O O Okundalaye, and W A M Othman, and A S Oke
January 2020, Advances in difference equations,
O O Okundalaye, and W A M Othman, and A S Oke
September 2020, Chaos, solitons, and fractals,
O O Okundalaye, and W A M Othman, and A S Oke
October 2022, Journal of King Saud University. Science,
O O Okundalaye, and W A M Othman, and A S Oke
January 2023, Physica A,
O O Okundalaye, and W A M Othman, and A S Oke
May 1996, Computers in biology and medicine,
O O Okundalaye, and W A M Othman, and A S Oke
June 1999, Nuclear medicine communications,
O O Okundalaye, and W A M Othman, and A S Oke
May 2022, Mathematical methods in the applied sciences,
O O Okundalaye, and W A M Othman, and A S Oke
November 2020, Chaos, solitons, and fractals,
Copied contents to your clipboard!