Machine learning for predicting successful extubation in patients receiving mechanical ventilation. 2022

Yutaka Igarashi, and Kei Ogawa, and Kan Nishimura, and Shuichiro Osawa, and Hayato Ohwada, and Shoji Yokobori
Department of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Nippon Medical School, Tokyo, Japan.

Ventilator liberation is one of the most critical decisions in the intensive care unit; however, prediction of extubation failure is difficult, and the proportion thereof remains high. Machine learning can potentially provide a breakthrough in the prediction of extubation success. A total of seven studies on the prediction of extubation success using machine learning have been published. These machine learning models were developed using data from electronic health records, 8-78 features, and algorithms such as artificial neural network, LightGBM, and XGBoost. Sensitivity ranged from 0.64 to 0.96, specificity ranged from 0.73 to 0.85, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranged from 0.70 to 0.98. The features deemed most important included duration of mechanical ventilation, PaO2, blood urea nitrogen, heart rate, and Glasgow Coma Scale score. Although the studies had limitations, prediction of extubation success by machine learning has the potential to be a powerful tool. Further studies are needed to assess whether machine learning prediction reduces the incidence of extubation failure or prolongs the duration of ventilator use, thereby increasing tracheostomy and ventilator-related complications and mortality.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries

Related Publications

Yutaka Igarashi, and Kei Ogawa, and Kan Nishimura, and Shuichiro Osawa, and Hayato Ohwada, and Shoji Yokobori
April 2024, Cardiovascular drugs and therapy,
Yutaka Igarashi, and Kei Ogawa, and Kan Nishimura, and Shuichiro Osawa, and Hayato Ohwada, and Shoji Yokobori
March 2024, PLOS digital health,
Yutaka Igarashi, and Kei Ogawa, and Kan Nishimura, and Shuichiro Osawa, and Hayato Ohwada, and Shoji Yokobori
November 2021, Journal of Nippon Medical School = Nippon Ika Daigaku zasshi,
Yutaka Igarashi, and Kei Ogawa, and Kan Nishimura, and Shuichiro Osawa, and Hayato Ohwada, and Shoji Yokobori
March 2023, Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland),
Yutaka Igarashi, and Kei Ogawa, and Kan Nishimura, and Shuichiro Osawa, and Hayato Ohwada, and Shoji Yokobori
July 2018, Tuberculosis and respiratory diseases,
Yutaka Igarashi, and Kei Ogawa, and Kan Nishimura, and Shuichiro Osawa, and Hayato Ohwada, and Shoji Yokobori
September 2020, Medicine,
Yutaka Igarashi, and Kei Ogawa, and Kan Nishimura, and Shuichiro Osawa, and Hayato Ohwada, and Shoji Yokobori
August 2021, Journal of clinical medicine,
Yutaka Igarashi, and Kei Ogawa, and Kan Nishimura, and Shuichiro Osawa, and Hayato Ohwada, and Shoji Yokobori
December 2020, Digestive diseases and sciences,
Yutaka Igarashi, and Kei Ogawa, and Kan Nishimura, and Shuichiro Osawa, and Hayato Ohwada, and Shoji Yokobori
May 2014, Thorax,
Yutaka Igarashi, and Kei Ogawa, and Kan Nishimura, and Shuichiro Osawa, and Hayato Ohwada, and Shoji Yokobori
July 2018, The American journal of the medical sciences,
Copied contents to your clipboard!