A model for planning health care in patients with end-stage renal disease. 1978

A A Rimm, and A B Weinstein, and W Piering, and J Lemann, and W D Shelp, and H M Kauffman, and J L Hussey, and E E Giefer

Treatment modalities of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients include in-center dialysis, home dialysis, and kidney transplant. We present a model to account for all aspects of modality use to aid in planning regional facilities. Five years of data for 979 patients on dialysis in Wisconsin between 1970 and 1975 are used. The model shows movement (transit probabilities) from one modality to another, eg, transition from in-center dialysis to transplantation, and data were used to derive all transitional probabilities characterizing patient movement from one modality to another. Model and probabilities were used to predict number of patients in each modality in 1976, and the model was used to predict number of patients in each treatment modality through 1990. These figures may be used for planning regional facilities. Extrapolation of this model and derived probabilities for nationwide projections may be possible.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D008297 Male Males
D008875 Middle Aged An adult aged 45 - 64 years. Middle Age
D008962 Models, Theoretical Theoretical representations that simulate the behavior or activity of systems, processes, or phenomena. They include the use of mathematical equations, computers, and other electronic equipment. Experimental Model,Experimental Models,Mathematical Model,Model, Experimental,Models (Theoretical),Models, Experimental,Models, Theoretic,Theoretical Study,Mathematical Models,Model (Theoretical),Model, Mathematical,Model, Theoretical,Models, Mathematical,Studies, Theoretical,Study, Theoretical,Theoretical Model,Theoretical Models,Theoretical Studies
D010347 Patient Care Planning Usually a written medical and nursing care program designed for a particular patient. Nursing Care Plans,Goals of Care,Plans, Nursing Care,Care Goal,Care Goals,Care Plan, Nursing,Care Planning, Patient,Care Plans, Nursing,Nursing Care Plan,Plan, Nursing Care,Planning, Patient Care
D012040 Regional Health Planning Planning for health resources at a regional or multi-state level. Annual Implementation Plans,Appropriateness Review,Areawide Planning,Comprehensive Health Planning,Review, Appropriateness,Annual Implementation Plan,Appropriateness Reviews,Health Planning, Comprehensive,Health Planning, Regional,Implementation Plan, Annual,Implementation Plans, Annual,Plan, Annual Implementation,Planning, Areawide,Planning, Comprehensive Health,Planning, Regional Health,Plans, Annual Implementation,Reviews, Appropriateness
D005260 Female Females
D006435 Renal Dialysis Therapy for the insufficient cleansing of the BLOOD by the kidneys based on dialysis and including hemodialysis, PERITONEAL DIALYSIS, and HEMODIAFILTRATION. Dialysis, Extracorporeal,Dialysis, Renal,Extracorporeal Dialysis,Hemodialysis,Dialyses, Extracorporeal,Dialyses, Renal,Extracorporeal Dialyses,Hemodialyses,Renal Dialyses
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000293 Adolescent A person 13 to 18 years of age. Adolescence,Youth,Adolescents,Adolescents, Female,Adolescents, Male,Teenagers,Teens,Adolescent, Female,Adolescent, Male,Female Adolescent,Female Adolescents,Male Adolescent,Male Adolescents,Teen,Teenager,Youths
D000328 Adult A person having attained full growth or maturity. Adults are of 19 through 44 years of age. For a person between 19 and 24 years of age, YOUNG ADULT is available. Adults

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