Spatial differentiation and scenario simulation of cultivated land in mountainous areas of Western Hubei, China: a PLUS model. 2023

Peng Han, and Jingwei Xiang, and Qinglin Zhao
School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430074, China.

A useful spatial pattern of cultivated land utilization in mountainous areas is a basic prerequisite for promoting efficient utilization of cultivated land and has a practical use for ensuring regional food security and rural revitalization. In this paper, we use Enshi and Lichuan cities as case studies and the PLUS model to analyze the spatial differentiation characteristics of cultivated land from 2000 to 2020. In addition, we simulated the spatial pattern of cultivated land in 2030 concerning the ecological priority scenario (scenario I) and the ecological and economic coordination scenario (scenario II). The results show that (1) the degree of cultivated land fragmentation from 2000 to 2020 is characterized as "high in the east and low in the west," and the spatial aggregation of cultivated land decreases slightly over time and that there is a risk of increasing fragmentation of cultivated land in the future. (2) The complexity of cultivated land shape shows a fluctuating decrease between 2000 and 2030, and an overall trend of landscape homogenization. (3) The spatial distribution of cultivated land is concentrated in the peak cluster depressions and river valleys. The imbalance in the distribution of cultivated land has increased in the past two decades which should be curbed in the future. (4) In 2030, concerning the ecological priority development scenario, cultivated land use tends to evolve in the direction of balanced distribution and a relatively complex shape. (5) Concerning the coordinated ecological and economic development scenario, the spatial aggregation of cultivated land is higher and the patches of cultivated land are more regular, but the distribution imbalance is more serious. The results can provide scientific references for sustainable and effective use of cultivated land in mountainous areas.

UI MeSH Term Description Entries
D002681 China A country spanning from central Asia to the Pacific Ocean. Inner Mongolia,Manchuria,People's Republic of China,Sinkiang,Mainland China
D002947 Cities A large or important municipality of a country, usually a major metropolitan center. Municipalities,Towns
D003247 Conservation of Natural Resources The protection, preservation, restoration, and rational use of all resources in the total environment. Carrying Capacity,Deforestation,Desertification,Environmental Protection,Natural Resources Conservation,Protection, Environmental,Capacities, Carrying,Capacity, Carrying,Carrying Capacities,Conservation, Natural Resources
D006801 Humans Members of the species Homo sapiens. Homo sapiens,Man (Taxonomy),Human,Man, Modern,Modern Man
D000383 Agriculture The science, art or practice of cultivating soil, producing crops, and raising livestock. Agronomy,Agricultural Development,Farming,Agronomies,Development, Agricultural
D012424 Rural Population The inhabitants of rural areas or of small towns classified as rural. Rural Residence,Rural Communities,Rural Spatial Distribution,Communities, Rural,Community, Rural,Distribution, Rural Spatial,Distributions, Rural Spatial,Population, Rural,Populations, Rural,Residence, Rural,Rural Community,Rural Populations,Rural Residences,Rural Spatial Distributions
D017753 Ecosystem A functional system which includes the organisms of a natural community together with their environment. (McGraw Hill Dictionary of Scientific and Technical Terms, 4th ed) Ecosystems,Biome,Ecologic System,Ecologic Systems,Ecological System,Habitat,Niche, Ecological,System, Ecological,Systems, Ecological,Biomes,Ecological Niche,Ecological Systems,Habitats,System, Ecologic,Systems, Ecologic
D045483 Rivers Large natural streams of FRESH WATER formed by converging tributaries and which empty into a body of water (lake or ocean). Streams,River,Stream

Related Publications

Peng Han, and Jingwei Xiang, and Qinglin Zhao
July 2017, Zhongguo xue xi chong bing fang zhi za zhi = Chinese journal of schistosomiasis control,
Peng Han, and Jingwei Xiang, and Qinglin Zhao
April 2023, iScience,
Peng Han, and Jingwei Xiang, and Qinglin Zhao
April 2021, Environmental science and pollution research international,
Peng Han, and Jingwei Xiang, and Qinglin Zhao
August 2022, International journal of environmental research and public health,
Peng Han, and Jingwei Xiang, and Qinglin Zhao
August 2023, Environmental science and pollution research international,
Peng Han, and Jingwei Xiang, and Qinglin Zhao
October 2022, International journal of environmental research and public health,
Peng Han, and Jingwei Xiang, and Qinglin Zhao
May 2023, Environmental monitoring and assessment,
Peng Han, and Jingwei Xiang, and Qinglin Zhao
January 2023, Journal of environmental management,
Copied contents to your clipboard!